Motherwell vs Falkirk Prediction & Tips | Premiership | FootballTips.app

Motherwell

Motherwell

Home
Full Time
2 - 3
HT: 1 - 2
Saturday 4 April
Falkirk

Falkirk

Away
MotherwellTimelineFalkirk
1st Half
Stewart B. (Miller C.)
sports_soccer
3'
Sparrow T.
25'
Watt E.
sports_soccer
34'
Henderson L.
42'
Broggio B.
sports_soccer
45'
2nd Half
Adams K.
56'
Said I.
61'
Miller C.(Penalty)
sports_soccer
62'
Nicholson S.Out: Sparrow T.
sync_alt
63'
Ross E.Out: Broggio B.
sync_alt
71'
Wilson K.Out: Yeats F.
sync_alt
71'
Priestman O.Out: Fadinger L.
sync_alt
73'
McGhee J.Out: O'Donnell S.
sync_alt
73'
Ross L.Out: Longelo E.
sync_alt
79'
Graham B.Out: Stewart B.
sync_alt
79'
Parkinson B.Out: Miller C.
sync_alt
84'
Spencer B.
85'
Maswanhise T. (Just E.)
sports_soccer
90+4'

Top stats

1.32Expected goals (xG)1.92
62%Ball possession38%
14Total shots12
7Shots on target5
3Big chances3
6Corner kicks2
83% (435/525)Passes74% (239/324)
2Yellow cards3

Shots

1.32Expected goals (xG)1.92
1.73xG on target (xGOT)2.07
14Total shots12
7Shots on target5
5Shots off target5
2Blocked shots2
6Shots inside the box7
8Shots outside the box5
0Hit the woodwork1
0Headed goals1

Attack

3Big chances3
6Corner kicks2
19Touches in opposition box20
2Accurate through passes0
0Offsides3
15Free kicks15

Passes

83% (435/525)Passes74% (239/324)
60% (41/68)Long passes42% (32/77)
78% (119/153)Passes in final third55% (62/112)
22% (5/23)Crosses20% (3/15)
1.26Expected assists (xA)0.73
20Throw ins13

Defense

15Fouls15
58% (11/19)Tackles65% (17/26)
51Duels won56
10Clearances21
8Interceptions14
0Errors leading to shot1
1Errors leading to goal1

Goalkeeping

2Goalkeeper saves5
2.07xGOT faced1.73
-0.93Goals prevented-0.27
auto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified Very High Confidence
11.81
X3.62
24.24

Recommended Bet

Home Win
Stake: High (10/10)
95
Opp. Value

Key Factors

League Rank: Home #4 vs Away #6
Season: Home 1.74 PPG vs Away 1.39 PPG
Recent Form (weighted): Home 1.05 PPG vs Away 0.85 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 1.69 GPG vs Away 0.87 GPG

donut_small Win Probabilities

83%
10%
8%
Motherwell
Draw
Falkirk

Match Preview

Motherwell and Falkirk meet for the third time in the Scottish Premiership this season, ahead of a potential fourth if the Bairns can be the last team to secure a top six spot in the 2025/26 season.

Motherwell missed out on the chance to record back-to-back league victories over Hibernian at Fir Park within a single season for the first time since the 2007/08 campaign, as the Hibees held them to a goalless draw before the international break. Six points clear of Hibs in fifth, the fourth-placed Well will be keen to return to winning ways this weekend but haven't beaten Falkirk in either meeting this season.

The Bairns beat Motherwell on their last visit to Fir Park, aiming to repeat the feat this weekend despite St Mirren winning in Falkirk for the second time this season in their match before the international break. Six points clear of Dundee United with two games to go before the Scottish Premiership split, the reigning Scottish Championship champions will aim to secure that spot themselves here.

Despite being winless in three Scottish Premiership matches, Motherwell will be desperate to return to winning ways this weekend and beat the Bairns for the first time this season.

Lineups

Lineup Predictions & Ratings

Motherwell

Starting 11
-Calum Ward
GK6.95
-Tom Sparrow
DL6.48
-Stephen Welsh
DC7.13
-Paul McGinn
DC7.02
-Stephen O'Donnell
DR6.65
-Elliot Watt
MC7.15
-Oscar Priestman
MC6.44
-Lukas Fadinger
MC6.82
-Elijah Just
AMC7.14
-Ibrahim Said
AMC6.66
-Tawanda Maswanhise
FW7.12

Falkirk

Starting 11
-Scott Bain
GK6.60
-Leon McCann
DL6.68
-Lewis Neilson
DC6.38
-Coll Donaldson
DC6.61
-Filip Lissah
DR7.13
-Dylan Tait
DMC6.55
-Brad Spencer
DMC6.84
-Calvin Miller
AML6.76
-Finn Yeats
AMC6.58
-Ben Broggio
AMR6.85
-Barney Stewart
FW7.26
Ratings based on player performance in recent matches

compareTeam Comparison

Based on 31 matches
MotherwellvsFalkirk

radarTeam Profile

Motherwell
Falkirk
AttackDefensePossessionEfficiencyCreativityDiscipline
sports_soccer
50Attack36
shield
68Defense56
swap_horiz
78Possession42
gps_fixed
70Efficiency58
auto_fix_high
49Creativity30
gavel
57Discipline48

sports_soccerGoals & Scoring

49Goals Scored39
23Goals Conceded40
17Clean Sheets8
74Big Chances64
46Big Chances Missed40
8Penalty Goals1

gps_fixedShooting

416Total Shots379
155Shots on Target122

swap_horizPassing & Possession

59.4%Avg Possession51.2%
17,203Total Passes12,558
86.1%Pass Accuracy77.3%

shieldDefending

450Tackles573
226Interceptions277
87Saves95
49.2%Duels Won49.8%

gavelDiscipline

360Fouls368
43Yellow Cards64
2Red Cards1
70Offsides65

analyticsOther

116Corners151
281Successful Dribbles185
4Errors Leading to Goal6
6.97Avg Rating6.80

Statistical Comparison

MotherwellMetricFalkirk
48
Goals
35
33
Assists
24
6.6
Average Ratings
6.5
26.1
Average Age
25
180.1
Average Height (cm)
180.5
0.9
Shots pg
0.9
46%
Aerial Duel Success
48%
0.6
Dribbles pg
0.5
1.1
Tackles pg
1.3

history Recent Form

MotherwellMotherwell
1.7 GPG
D
L
L
W
W
FalkirkFalkirk
1.4 GPG
L
D
W
L
L

group Head to Head

PL3 Dec 2025
Falkirk
0-0
Motherwell
PL18 Oct 2025
Motherwell
1-2
Falkirk
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
50%
Both Team Score

Head-to-Head Detailed

Over 1.5 Goals
50%
1 / 2 matches
Over 2.5 Goals
50%
1 / 2 matches
Over 3.5 Goals
0%
0 / 2 matches
Both Teams to Score
50%
1 / 2 matches
Motherwell CS
50%
Clean Sheets
Falkirk CS
50%
Clean Sheets

Recent Matches

3 Dec 2025
Falkirk
0 - 0
Motherwell
18 Oct 2025
Motherwell
1 - 2
Falkirk

Current Form Comparison

Form (Overall)
Motherwell
1.74
Form (Overall)
Falkirk
1.39

Motherwell is +25% better in terms of Points Per Game

Motherwell
0 - 0
Hibernian
Celtic
3 - 1
Motherwell
Dundee
2 - 1
Motherwell
Motherwell
2 - 0
Dundee United
St. Mirren
0 - 5
Motherwell
Falkirk
1 - 2
St. Mirren
Aberdeen
1 - 1
Falkirk
Falkirk
5 - 1
Kilmarnock
Hearts
1 - 0
Falkirk
Falkirk
2 - 3
Dundee United

Subscribe for Betting Tips

Get exclusive predictions delivered to your inbox.

No spam, unsubscribe at any time.