Motherwell vs Hearts Prediction & Tips | Premiership - Championship Group | FootballTips.app

Motherwell

Motherwell

Home
Full Time
1 - 1
HT: 1 - 1
Saturday 9 May
Hearts

Hearts

Away
MotherwellTimelineHearts
1st Half
Just E.
15'
Kingsley S.
sports_soccer
25'
Shankland L.
sports_soccer
43'
2nd Half
Kyziridis A.Out: Leonard M.
sync_alt
46'
Steinwender M.
47'
Altena J.
58'
Kent F.Out: Halkett C.
sync_alt
63'
Kabore P.Out: Braga C.
sync_alt
72'
Koutroumbis J.Out: Said I.
sync_alt
77'
Findlay S.
79'
Hendry C.Out: Maswanhise T.
sync_alt
86'
Charles-Cook R.Out: Just E.
sync_alt
86'
McCart J.Out: Kingsley S.
sync_alt
87'
Devlin C.Out: Spittal B.
sync_alt
87'

Top stats

0.45Expected goals (xG)1.09
46%Ball possession54%
8Total shots11
1Shots on target5
0Big chances3
2Corner kicks6
77% (299/389)Passes75% (331/443)
1Yellow cards3

Shots

0.45Expected goals (xG)1.09
0.03xG on target (xGOT)0.90
8Total shots11
1Shots on target5
6Shots off target4
1Blocked shots2
4Shots inside the box9
4Shots outside the box2
0Hit the woodwork0

Attack

0Big chances3
2Corner kicks6
13Touches in opposition box27
0Accurate through passes0
4Offsides1
14Free kicks9

Passes

77% (299/389)Passes75% (331/443)
38% (23/61)Long passes39% (31/80)
57% (45/79)Passes in final third53% (70/132)
25% (2/8)Crosses27% (7/26)
0.67Expected assists (xA)0.97
17Throw ins18

Defense

9Fouls14
50% (4/8)Tackles54% (13/24)
54Duels won50
40Clearances21
8Interceptions8
1Errors leading to shot0
0Errors leading to goal0

Goalkeeping

3Goalkeeper saves1
0.90xGOT faced0.03
-0.10Goals prevented0.03
auto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified Medium Confidence
12.88
X3.45
22.33

Recommended Bet

Draw
Stake: Medium (5/10)
54
Opp. Value

Key Factors

Season: Home 1.63 PPG vs Away 2.17 PPG
Recent Form (weighted): Home 0.85 PPG vs Away 2.70 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 1.71 GPG vs Away 1.65 GPG
Defense (venue): Home 0.53 conc vs Away 1.12 conc

donut_small Win Probabilities

33%
36%
30%
Motherwell
Draw
Hearts

Match Preview

An intriguing Scottish Premiership encounter takes place on Saturday night, as Europe-chasing Motherwell host a Hearts team that is looking to create history and aiming for the league title.

Motherwell are now winless in seven league visits to Falkirk (D3 L4), scoring just one goal in a horror run dating back to February 2007, having been beaten by the Bairns in three of four Scottish Premiership meetings this season after defeat last Saturday. With just one win in their last seven league games, the Well will hope to return to winning ways this weekend and aim to move a step closer to sealing European qualification for 2026/27.

Hearts head into Saturday night's showdown with the Steelmen having essentially eliminated Rangers from the Scottish Premiership title race, after defeating the Gers 2-1 at Tynecastle on Monday night. The Jambos became just the second team to have won five league games in a season against both Rangers and Celtic - the other being Aberdeen in 1977/78, 1979/80 and 1982/83 all under the legendary Sir Alex Ferguson.

Hearts left it late to beat Motherwell at Tynecastle last month, but the other two meetings between the two teams have ended in draws so a third wouldn't be a surprise given how close the previous meetings have proved.

Lineups

Lineup Predictions & Ratings

Motherwell

Starting 11
-Calum Ward
GK
-Stephen O'Donnell
DL
-Stephen Welsh
DC
-Paul McGinn
DC
-Tom Sparrow
DR
-Elliot Watt
DMC
-Lukas Fadinger
DMC
-Emmanuel Longelo
AML
-Callum Slattery
AMC
-Elijah Just
AMR
-Tawanda Maswanhise
FW

Hearts

Starting 11
-Alexander Schwolow
GK
-Stephen Kingsley
DL
-Stuart Findlay
DC
-Craig Halkett
DC
-Michael Steinwender
DR
-Blair Spittal
ML
-Marc Leonard
MC
-Beni Baningime
MC
-Alexandros Kyziridis
MR
-Lawrence Shankland
FW
-Cláudio Braga
FW
Ratings based on player performance in recent matches

compareTeam Comparison

Based on 35 matches
MotherwellvsHearts

radarTeam Profile

Motherwell
Hearts
AttackDefensePossessionEfficiencyCreativityDiscipline
sports_soccer
49Attack56
shield
65Defense69
swap_horiz
75Possession44
gps_fixed
71Efficiency69
auto_fix_high
48Creativity35
gavel
54Discipline46

sports_soccerGoals & Scoring

55Goals Scored62
32Goals Conceded30
17Clean Sheets16
81Big Chances85
50Big Chances Missed53
8Penalty Goals4

gps_fixedShooting

466Total Shots507
174Shots on Target178

swap_horizPassing & Possession

58.7%Avg Possession53.6%
18,964Total Passes14,632
85.6%Pass Accuracy77.2%

shieldDefending

512Tackles596
255Interceptions303
98Saves72
48.9%Duels Won51.8%

gavelDiscipline

412Fouls388
54Yellow Cards63
2Red Cards5
79Offsides42

analyticsOther

136Corners195
305Successful Dribbles205
6Errors Leading to Goal3
6.93Avg Rating6.91

Statistical Comparison

MotherwellMetricHearts
3
Goals
3
26.7
Average Age
28.4
180.5
Average Height (cm)
183.7

history Recent Form

MotherwellMotherwell
1.6 GPG
L
W
L
L
D
HeartsHearts
2.2 GPG
W
W
W
D
W

group Head to Head

PL11 Apr 2026
Hearts
3-1
Motherwell
PL29 Nov 2025
Motherwell
0-0
Hearts
PL23 Aug 2025
Hearts
3-3
Motherwell
PL10 May 2025
Hearts
3-0
Motherwell
PL12 Apr 2025
Motherwell
0-0
Hearts
51%
Over 2.5 Goals
44%
Both Team Score

Head-to-Head Detailed

Over 1.5 Goals
71%
29 / 41 matches
Over 2.5 Goals
51%
21 / 41 matches
Over 3.5 Goals
24%
10 / 41 matches
Both Teams to Score
44%
18 / 41 matches
Motherwell CS
22%
Clean Sheets
Hearts CS
41%
Clean Sheets

Recent Matches

11 Apr 2026
Hearts
3 - 1
Motherwell
29 Nov 2025
Motherwell
0 - 0
Hearts
23 Aug 2025
Hearts
3 - 3
Motherwell
10 May 2025
Hearts
3 - 0
Motherwell
12 Apr 2025
Motherwell
0 - 0
Hearts
2 Jan 2025
Hearts
1 - 0
Motherwell
25 Aug 2024
Motherwell
3 - 1
Hearts
17 Feb 2024
Hearts
2 - 0
Motherwell
11 Nov 2023
Motherwell
1 - 2
Hearts
3 Sept 2023
Hearts
0 - 1
Motherwell
19 Feb 2023
Motherwell
2 - 0
Hearts
6 Nov 2022
Hearts
3 - 2
Motherwell

Current Form Comparison

Form (Overall)
Motherwell
1.63
Form (Overall)
Hearts
2.17

Hearts is +33% better in terms of Points Per Game

Falkirk
1 - 0
Motherwell
Rangers
2 - 3
Motherwell
Hearts
3 - 1
Motherwell
Motherwell
2 - 3
Falkirk
Motherwell
0 - 0
Hibernian
Hearts
2 - 1
Rangers
Hibernian
1 - 2
Hearts
Hearts
3 - 1
Motherwell
Livingston
2 - 2
Hearts
Hearts
1 - 0
Dundee

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