NAC Breda

NAC Breda

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Full Time
0 - 2
HT: 0 - 2
Friday 6 February
Excelsior

Excelsior

Away
NAC BredaTimelineExcelsior
1st Half
Hillen R.
12'
Bergraaf J.Out: Naujoks N.
sync_alt
14'
Hansson E. ()
sports_soccer
18'
Yegoian I. (de Regt G.)
sports_soccer
31'
Valerius C.Out: Candelaria J.
sync_alt
34'
2nd Half
Jonathans M.Out: Hansson E.
sync_alt
46'
Zagre A.
52'
Salama A.Out: Talvitie J.
sync_alt
55'
Janssen S.Out: Zagre A.
sync_alt
62'
Nassoh M.
63'
Jonathans M.
69'
Henderikx S.Out: Hartjes L.
sync_alt
70'
Carlen A.Out: Schouten L.
sync_alt
70'
Ayew A.Out: Sowah K.
sync_alt
73'
Holtby L.Out: Nassoh M.
sync_alt
73'
Leemans C.Out: Brym C.
sync_alt
73'
Leemans C.
89'

Top stats

1.08Expected goals (xG)0.86
49%Ball possession51%
14Total shots9
6Shots on target6
1Big chances1
8Corner kicks3
69% (291/419)Passes77% (342/442)
2Yellow cards2
1Red cards0

Shots

1.08Expected goals (xG)0.86
1.60xG on target (xGOT)2.13
14Total shots9
6Shots on target6
6Shots off target3
2Blocked shots0
7Shots inside the box8
7Shots outside the box1
0Hit the woodwork0

Attack

1Big chances1
8Corner kicks3
30Touches in opposition box25
0Accurate through passes0
2Offsides0
15Free kicks6

Passes

69% (291/419)Passes77% (342/442)
19% (14/72)Long passes55% (47/85)
52% (82/157)Passes in final third66% (65/99)
26% (7/27)Crosses31% (5/16)
1.47Expected assists (xA)1.10
32Throw ins13

Defense

6Fouls15
82% (9/11)Tackles73% (8/11)
46Duels won48
17Clearances45
10Interceptions9
0Errors leading to shot0
0Errors leading to goal0

Goalkeeping

4Goalkeeper saves6
2.13xGOT faced1.60
0.13Goals prevented1.60
auto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified High Confidence
11.80
X3.84
24.43

Recommended Bet

Draw
Stake: Medium (7/10)
70
Opp. Value

Key Factors

League Rank: Home #17 vs Away #13
Season: Home 0.76 PPG vs Away 1.10 PPG
Recent Form (weighted): Home 0.70 PPG vs Away 0.90 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 1.27 GPG vs Away 1.00 GPG

donut_small Win Probabilities

37%
40%
23%
NAC Breda
Draw
Excelsior

Match Preview

NAC Breda is set to square off against Excelsior in an Eredivisie clash at the Rat Verlegh Stadion on 2026-02-06 GMT.

NAC Breda currently sits in 17th place, while Excelsior is positioned 13th in the league standings.

With 16 points, NAC Breda trails behind Excelsior, who boast 23 points this season.

In their head-to-head matchups, NAC Breda has maintained a strong record, scoring 2+ goals in 70% of their last 10 encounters against Excelsior.

Excelsior, on the other hand, has seen over 2.5 goals in 70% of their last 10 away matches in the Eredivisie.

Both teams will be looking to secure valuable points in this fixture.

Prediction: NAC Breda and Excelsior to draw.

A relegation six-pointer in everything but name opens matchday 22 as NAC Breda host Excelsior at the Rat Verlegh Stadium. NAC begin the round 17th on 16 points and badly need a win to arrest a slide that has left them without a victory in ten league matches, while 13th-placed Excelsior arrive on 23 points still searching for the result that turns a string of draws into genuine separation from the bottom three.

NAC’s recent pattern is familiar: competitive, stubborn, but unable to land a finishing blow. Their 2–2 draw with Twente last time out at least showed spirit, yet it also extended a run of D-D-L-D-L over the last five. That lack of cutting edge has kept Carl Hoefkens’ side in the relegation zone despite a home scoring rate that is passable by lower-table standards at 1.17 goals per match, alongside 1.33 conceded.

Excelsior’s run has been even more draw-heavy. Ruben den Uil’s side come into this after a 2–2 home draw with Ajax, but their last five league matches read D-D-D-D-L, and they have struggled badly away from home, conceding 2.3 goals per away match and ranking among the weakest travelling defences in the division. Still, they have had the edge in this fixture recently, winning three of the last five meetings including a 1–0 victory in November, and they have scored in each of their last three away league trips to NAC.

This looks like a match of competing frustrations: NAC’s long winless run against Excelsior’s inability to turn draws into wins. The hosts should have spells of territory and set-piece pressure, while Excelsior’s best moments are likely to come in transitions, particularly if NAC’s wing-backs push high and leave space behind them. With both sides conceding regularly and Excelsior especially leaky away from home, the game feels more likely to open up than settle into a stalemate, but the decisive factor may be which side shows more composure in the box.

Lineups

Lineup Predictions & Ratings

NAC Breda

Starting 11
-Daniel Bielica
GK6.78
-Denis Odoi
DC6.36
-Rio Hillen
DC6.77
-Leo Greiml
DC7.28
-Boy Kemper
ML6.83
-Max Balard
MC6.47
-Kamal Sowah
MC6.45
-Cherrion Valerius
MR6.49
-Lewis Holtby
AMC6.62
-Moussa Soumano
FW6.64
-Charles-Andreas Brym
FW6.76

Excelsior

Starting 11
-Stijn van Gassel
GK6.82
-Arthur Zagré
DL6.63
-Casper Widell
DC6.65
-Rick Meissen
DC6.59
-Ilias Bronkhorst
DR6.63
-Lennard Hartjes
DMC6.36
-Emil Hansson
ML6.05
-Noah Naujoks
MC6.71
-Irakli Yegoian
MC6.88
-Derensili Sanches Fernandes
MR6.51
-Jerolldino Bergraaf
FW6.22
Ratings based on player performance in recent matches

compareTeam Comparison

Based on 21 matches
NAC BredavsExcelsior

radarTeam Profile

NAC Breda
Excelsior
AttackDefensePossessionEfficiencyCreativityDiscipline
sports_soccer
35Attack30
shield
37Defense42
swap_horiz
42Possession38
gps_fixed
46Efficiency54
auto_fix_high
27Creativity24
gavel
40Discipline44

sports_soccerGoals & Scoring

23Goals Scored22
34Goals Conceded37
2Clean Sheets4
42Big Chances46
29Big Chances Missed32
2Penalty Goals2

gps_fixedShooting

281Total Shots242
86Shots on Target82

swap_horizPassing & Possession

49.0%Avg Possession45.0%
8,509Total Passes8,115
78.9%Pass Accuracy77.6%

shieldDefending

357Tackles304
163Interceptions197
79Saves86
52.1%Duels Won46.2%

gavelDiscipline

236Fouls271
39Yellow Cards31
4Red Cards3
30Offsides18

analyticsOther

110Corners86
124Successful Dribbles134
3Errors Leading to Goal3
6.77Avg Rating6.72

Statistical Comparison

NAC BredaMetricExcelsior
22
Goals
22
16
Assists
14
6.4
Average Ratings
6.4
26.2
Average Age
23.8
183.3
Average Height (cm)
180.2
0.9
Shots pg
0.7
55%
Aerial Duel Success
50%
0.5
Dribbles pg
0.6
1.5
Tackles pg
1.1

League Standings Context

For NAC Breda

PosTeamPWDLPts
16Heracles21521417
17NAC Breda21371116
18SC Telstar21371116

For Excelsior

PosTeamPWDLPts
12Utrecht2066824
13Excelsior21651023
14Go Ahead Eagles20410622

Advanced Stats (Avg per match)

43.9/ 96.8
Dangerous Attacks
43.0/ 99.1
31.0%
Shots on Target
33.0%
13.4
Total Shots
11.9
50.0%
Possession
46.0%

Team Performance (Avg)

1.1
Goals Scored / Match
1.0
1.7
Goals Conceded / Match
1.7

Head-to-Head Summary

2
NAC Breda Wins
33%
1
Draws
17%
3
Excelsior Wins
50%
Total H2H Matches: 6

Recent Form Stats

MarketNAC BredaExcelsior
Over 1.5 Goals
68%15/22
73%16/22
Over 2.5 Goals
59%13/22
59%13/22
Both Teams to Score
59%13/22
59%13/22
* Based on last 22 matches

Past Matches

Last 6: NAC Breda

Nl1
NAC Breda
2 - 2
Twente
Nl1
PSV Eindhoven
2 - 2
NAC Breda
Nl1
NAC Breda
3 - 4
Nijmegen
Nl1
Groningen
0 - 0
NAC Breda
Nl1
NAC Breda
0 - 1
SC Telstar
Nl1
NAC Breda
1 - 1
Utrecht

Home Games: NAC Breda

Nl1
NAC Breda
2 - 2
Twente
Nl1
NAC Breda
3 - 4
Nijmegen
Nl1
NAC Breda
0 - 1
SC Telstar
Nl1
NAC Breda
1 - 1
Utrecht
Nl1
NAC Breda
0 - 1
PSV Eindhoven
Nl1
NAC Breda
1 - 0
Go Ahead Eagles

Last 6: Excelsior

Nl1
Excelsior
2 - 2
Ajax
Nl1
Twente
0 - 0
Excelsior
Nl1
AZ Alkmaar
1 - 1
Excelsior
Nl1
Excelsior
2 - 2
SC Telstar
Nl1
PSV Eindhoven
5 - 1
Excelsior
Nl1
Excelsior
2 - 1
PEC Zwolle

Away Games: Excelsior

Nl1
Twente
0 - 0
Excelsior
Nl1
AZ Alkmaar
1 - 1
Excelsior
Nl1
PSV Eindhoven
5 - 1
Excelsior
Nl1
Ajax
1 - 2
Excelsior
Nl1
SC Telstar
2 - 2
Excelsior
NlC
Excelsior Maassluis
0 - 0
Excelsior

history Recent Form

NAC BredaNAC Breda
0.8 GPG
D
D
L
D
L
ExcelsiorExcelsior
1.1 GPG
D
D
D
D
L

group Head to Head

PL29 Nov 2025
Excelsior
1-0
NAC Breda
PL2 Jun 2024
Excelsior
4-1
NAC Breda
PL28 May 2024
NAC Breda
6-2
Excelsior
PL22 Jul 2023
NAC Breda
2-0
Excelsior
PL6 May 2022
Excelsior
2-2
NAC Breda
63%
Over 2.5 Goals
53%
Both Team Score

Head-to-Head Detailed

Over 1.5 Goals
84%
16 / 19 matches
Over 2.5 Goals
63%
12 / 19 matches
Over 3.5 Goals
37%
7 / 19 matches
Both Teams to Score
53%
10 / 19 matches
NAC Breda CS
26%
Clean Sheets
Excelsior CS
32%
Clean Sheets

Recent Matches

29 Nov 2025
Excelsior
1 - 0
NAC Breda
2 Jun 2024
Excelsior
4 - 1
NAC Breda
28 May 2024
NAC Breda
6 - 2
Excelsior
22 Jul 2023
NAC Breda
2 - 0
Excelsior
6 May 2022
Excelsior
2 - 2
NAC Breda
1 Oct 2021
NAC Breda
4 - 1
Excelsior
23 Apr 2021
NAC Breda
1 - 2
Excelsior
3 Jan 2021
Excelsior
0 - 3
NAC Breda
31 Jan 2020
Excelsior
2 - 2
NAC Breda
20 Sept 2019
NAC Breda
2 - 1
Excelsior
3 Apr 2019
Excelsior
1 - 2
NAC Breda
25 Aug 2018
NAC Breda
0 - 2
Excelsior

Current Form Comparison

Form (Overall)
NAC Breda
0.76
Form (Overall)
Excelsior
1.10

Excelsior is +45% better in terms of Points Per Game

NAC Breda
2 - 2
Twente
PSV
2 - 2
NAC Breda
NAC Breda
3 - 4
NEC
Groningen
0 - 0
NAC Breda
NAC Breda
0 - 1
Telstar
Excelsior
2 - 2
Ajax
Twente
0 - 0
Excelsior
AZ
1 - 1
Excelsior
Excelsior
2 - 2
Telstar
PSV
5 - 1
Excelsior

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