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Nacional vs Alverca Prediction & Tips | Liga Portugal | FootballTips.app

Nacional

Nacional

Home
Full Time
1 - 3
HT: 0 - 3
Saturday 12 September
Alverca

Alverca

Away
NacionalTimelineAlverca
1st Half
Bojang Y.
18'
Chissumba (Chiquinho)
sports_soccer
34'
Camara D.Assist: Spencer D.
sports_soccer
37'
Camara D. (Spencer D.)
sports_soccer
42'
2nd Half
Song Min-KyuOut: Jensen M.
sync_alt
46'
Djalo M.Out: Daniel Junior
sync_alt
46'
Camara D.
48'
Labidi C.Out: Matheus Dias
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54'
Vidigal A.Out: Figueiredo
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65'
Matheus FrancaOut: Chiquinho
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66'
Obando A.Out: Gavriel S.
sync_alt
69'
Semedo V.Out: Camara D.
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72'
Spencer D.
74'
Nava F.Out: Pablo Ruan
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79'
Rayan LucasOut: Gui D.
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79'
Nuozzi C.Out: James I.
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79'
Djalo M.
sports_soccer
81'
No statistics available for this match
auto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified Very High Model Confidence
12.63
X3.18
22.68

Recommended Bet

No tip
No qualifying edge — see Value Comparison below
79
Best near-miss

Key Factors

⚠️ Using limited statistical data
SofaScore scoring form: Home 1.44 GPG vs Away 1.00 GPG
SofaScore goals: Home 1.44 GPG vs Away 1.00 GPG
SofaScore defense: Home 1.30 conc vs Away 2.00 conc

donut_small Win Probabilities

60%
23%
18%
Nacional
Draw
Alverca
payments

Value Comparison

OutcomeMarket OddsTrue Odds (AI)Value
Nacional Win2.631.68+56.7%
Draw3.184.43-28.2%
Alverca Win2.685.61-52.2%

Fair Odds remove the bookmaker margin. Value is raw EV vs market odds; hover a badge for the edge vs fair odds.

Lineup Predictions & Ratings

Nacional

Starting 11
-Renato Marin
GK6.92
-Matheus Dias
DC6.58
-Zé Vítor
DC6.92
-Francisco Gonçalves
DC6.42
-William Kokolo
DML6.52
-Miguel Baeza
MC6.42
-Matchoi Djaló
MC5.77
-Wesley Andrade
DMR6.72
-Stavros Gavriel
FWL6.34
-Pablo Ruan
FW6.62
-Markus Jensen
FWR6.40

Alverca

Starting 11
-Mateus
GK
-Sergi Gómez
DC6.10
-Yaya Bojang
DC6.32
-Steven Baseya
DC6.77
-Isaac James
DML6.50
-Davy Gui
MC6.03
-Ian Luccas
MC6.30
-Toni Tamarit
DMR6.74
-Figueiredo
AMC6.72
-Chiquinho
AMC6.78
-Vivaldo Semedo
FW6.39
Ratings based on player performance in recent matches

Match Preview

Nacional were no match for Sporting CP in gameweek five, losing 2-0 on the road at Estádio José Alvalade with the damage done after 50 minutes. The Madeira-based side are looking to snap a three-game losing streak on Saturday.

Chiquinho gave Alverca an early lead from the penalty spot against Liga Portugal giants Sporting Braga last time out, only for Pau Victor's brace to leave the hosts empty-handed. Sergio Ferreira's side sit 16th in the standings, winless in the league after five games.

compareTeam Comparison

Based on 27 / 5 matches
NacionalvsAlverca
1.44Goals / Match1.00
1.30Conceded / Match2.00
8Clean Sheets0
54.0%Possession %43.0%
77.1%Pass Accuracy %78.8%

radarTeam Profile

Nacional
Alverca
AttackDefensePossessionEfficiencyCreativityDiscipline
sports_soccer
33Attack25
shield
48Defense29
swap_horiz
56Possession40
gps_fixed
40Efficiency59
auto_fix_high
30Creativity41
gavel
23Discipline27

sports_soccerGoals & Scoring

39Goals Scored5
35Goals Conceded10
8Clean Sheets0
6Penalty Goals1

gps_fixedShooting

363Total Shots50

swap_horizPassing & Possession

54.0%Avg Possession43.0%
10,526Total Passes1,749
77.1%Pass Accuracy78.8%

shieldDefending

1,052Interceptions35
57Saves17
50.1%Duels Won50.6%

gavelDiscipline

349Fouls62
66Yellow Cards12
6Red Cards1
47Offsides7

analyticsOther

178Corners27
351Successful Dribbles37

Statistical Comparison

NacionalMetricAlverca
6
Goals
5
4
Assists
4
6.5
Average Ratings
6.3
23.6
Average Age
23.5
183.4
Average Height (cm)
185.4
0.8
Shots pg
0.9
53%
Aerial Duel Success
46%
0.6
Dribbles pg
1
1.4
Tackles pg
1.6

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