Nacional vs Estrela Prediction & Tips | Liga Portugal | FootballTips.app
Nacional
HomeFull Time
2 - 3
HT: 1 - 1
Sunday 30 August
Estrela
AwayNacionalTimelineEstrela
1st Half
Wesley Gasolina (Kokolo W.)
sports_soccer
3'
Djalo M.Out: Soares F.
sync_alt
40'
Ze Vitor
45'
Stoica I.(Penalty)
sports_soccer
45+1'
2nd Half
Kokolo W.
48'
Marcus A. (Doue G.)
sports_soccer
62'
Pablo Ruan (Liziero)
sports_soccer
66'
Joan JordanOut: Robinho
sync_alt
67'
Gavriel S.Out: Daniel Junior
sync_alt
69'
Obando A.Out: Pablo Ruan
sync_alt
69'
Souza B.Out: Stoica I.
sync_alt
72'
Jensen M.Out: Kokolo W.
sync_alt
78'
de la Cruz D. I.Out: Wesley Gasolina
sync_alt
79'
Antonetti L.Assist: Doue G.
sports_soccer
83'
Antonetti L.
86'
Bernardo SchappoOut: Doue G.
sync_alt
89'
Top stats
0.84Expected goals (xG)2.10
51%Ball possession49%
10Total shots14
5Shots on target4
1Big chances4
4Corner kicks3
82% (337/410)Passes82% (319/390)
2Yellow cards1
Shots
0.84Expected goals (xG)2.10
1.71xG on target (xGOT)1.60
10Total shots14
5Shots on target4
2Shots off target8
3Blocked shots2
4Shots inside the box9
6Shots outside the box5
0Hit the woodwork0
1Headed goals1
Attack
1Big chances4
4Corner kicks3
12Touches in opposition box27
0Accurate through passes0
1Offsides1
9Free kicks12
Passes
82% (337/410)Passes82% (319/390)
43% (24/56)Long passes37% (20/54)
62% (53/85)Passes in final third67% (60/89)
12% (2/17)Crosses19% (3/16)
0.99Expected assists (xA)0.68
23Throw ins19
Defense
12Fouls9
53% (8/15)Tackles74% (14/19)
40Duels won44
21Clearances26
12Interceptions7
1Errors leading to shot0
1Errors leading to goal0
Goalkeeping
1Goalkeeper saves3
1.60xGOT faced1.71
-1.40Goals prevented-0.29
13Goal kicks5
auto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified High Confidence
12.41
X3.28
23.06
Recommended Bet
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Draw
Stake: High (8/10)
83
Opp. Value
Key Factors
⚠️ Using limited statistical data
Player Ratings Lineups: Home 6.9 vs Away 6.6
Model Consensus: 2-2 (Draw)
Statistical Edge: Away leads in 2 categories
donut_small Win Probabilities
19%
Nacional Win
55%
Draw
26%
Estrela Win
Nacional
Draw
Estrela
Match Preview
Nacional couldn't build on the momentum from their 2-0 home win over a 10-man Estoril side, losing 1-0 on the road against Vitoria Guimaraes in gameweek three. That result ended the Madeira-based side's unbeaten start to the Liga Portugal campaign.
Leonardo Antonetti's second-half opener had Estrela Amadora ahead for just seven minutes last weekend, and Pepa's side were eventually forced to come from behind to level just 18 minutes after first taking the lead. The draw with Alverca made it back-to-back stalemates for Sunday's visitors.
Lineups
Lineup Predictions & Ratings
Nacional
Starting 11
-Renato Marin
GK7.19
-Matheus Dias
DC6.69
-Zé Vítor
DC7.41
-Léo Santos
DC7.59
-Markus Jensen
DML6.73
-Liziero
MC6.94
-Filipe Soares
MC6.61
-Daniel de la Cruz
DMR6.12
-Daniel Júnior
FWL6.98
-Miguel Baeza
FW6.60
-Pablo Ruan
FWR6.55
Estrela
Starting 11
-Léo Linck
GK6.56
-Rafa Soares
DL6.86
-Stefan Lekovic
DC6.56
-Luan Patrick
DC6.52
-Max Scholze
DR6.30
-Robinho
DMC6.20
-Eddy Doué
DMC6.69
-Beni Souza
AML6.24
-Lovro Zvonarek
AMC6.31
-Abraham Marcus
AMR7.18
-Leandro Antonetti
FW7.32
Ratings based on player performance in recent matches
compareTeam Comparison
Based on 25 / 34 matchesNacionalvsEstrela
1.44Goals / Match1.12
1.32Conceded / Match1.65
7Clean Sheets8
55.5%Possession %46.8%
77.7%Pass Accuracy %80.0%
radarTeam Profile
Nacional
Estrela
sports_soccer
33Attack28
shield
47Defense46
swap_horiz
59Possession48
gps_fixed
39Efficiency61
auto_fix_high
30Creativity31
gavel
19Discipline21
sports_soccerGoals & Scoring
36Goals Scored38
33Goals Conceded56
7Clean Sheets8
6Penalty Goals7
gps_fixedShooting
342Total Shots367
swap_horizPassing & Possession
55.5%Avg Possession46.8%
9,951Total Passes12,062
77.7%Pass Accuracy80.0%
shieldDefending
939Interceptions321
51Saves99
50.1%Duels Won52.1%
gavelDiscipline
327Fouls491
63Yellow Cards88
6Red Cards5
45Offsides60
analyticsOther
169Corners113
341Successful Dribbles283
Statistical Comparison
NacionalMetricEstrela
4
Goals
3
2
Assists
3
6.6
Average Ratings
6.4
24.3
Average Age
23.6
182.3
Average Height (cm)
185.8
1.1
Shots pg
1.2
53%
Aerial Duel Success
51%
0.7
Dribbles pg
1
1.2
Tackles pg
1.5
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