Nagoya Grampus vs Machida Prediction & Tips | J1 League | FootballTips.app
Nagoya Grampus
HomeFull Time
1 - 3
HT: 0 - 1
Sunday 6 September
Machida
AwayNagoya GrampusTimelineMachida
1st Half
Yamagishi Y.Out: Asano Y.
sync_alt
23'
Mochizuki H.Out: Okamura D.
sync_alt
36'
Izumi R.
43'
Shirasaki R.
sports_soccer
45+7'
2nd Half
Hara T.Out: Nogami Y.
sync_alt
46'
Akimoto T.
46'
Mochizuki H.
sports_soccer
55'
Koyamatsu T.Out: Nagai K.
sync_alt
65'
Yengi T.Out: Nishimura T.
sync_alt
66'
Shimoda H.Out: Shirasaki R.
sync_alt
66'
Sato Y.Out: Izumi R.
sync_alt
70'
Pisano A.Assist: Own goal
sports_soccer
75'
Takamine T.
85'
Matsuo Y.Out: Soma Y.
sync_alt
85'
Duke M.Out: Ogawa K.
sync_alt
86'
Matsuo Y.
sports_soccer
90+7'
Top stats
0.89Expected goals (xG)3.20
61%Ball possession39%
12Total shots12
1Shots on target5
1Big chances7
6Corner kicks2
87% (418/483)Passes77% (246/319)
2Yellow cards1
Shots
0.89Expected goals (xG)3.20
0.12xG on target (xGOT)2.52
12Total shots12
1Shots on target5
4Shots off target5
7Blocked shots2
10Shots inside the box10
2Shots outside the box2
0Hit the woodwork2
Attack
1Big chances7
6Corner kicks2
29Touches in opposition box26
0Accurate through passes1
2Offsides1
15Free kicks11
Passes
87% (418/483)Passes77% (246/319)
56% (35/63)Long passes42% (22/52)
73% (109/150)Passes in final third58% (52/89)
12% (4/33)Crosses38% (6/16)
0.80Expected assists (xA)1.09
22Throw ins13
Defense
11Fouls15
25% (1/4)Tackles69% (9/13)
23Duels won47
21Clearances43
3Interceptions8
0Errors leading to shot0
0Errors leading to goal0
Goalkeeping
2Goalkeeper saves1
2.52xGOT faced0.12
0.52Goals prevented0.12
7Goal kicks6
auto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified Very High Confidence
13.10
X3.43
22.21
Recommended Bet
check_circle
Away Win
Odds: 2.15Stake: High (9/10)
90
Opp. Value
Key Factors
⚠️ Using limited statistical data
Attack Quality: Home 34% on target vs Away 36% on target
Standings: Home GD -2 (6pts) vs Away GD +11 (13pts)
Sofascore Stats: Away superiority - Best: Attack (+48), Creativity (+36)
donut_small Win Probabilities
27%
Nagoya Grampus Win
17%
Draw
57%
Machida Win
Nagoya Grampus
Draw
Machida
payments
Value Comparison
| Outcome | Market Odds | True Odds (AI) | Fair Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 Goals | 1.85 | 1.64 | 1.95 | +13.1% |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 1.95 | 2.57 | 2.05 | -24.2% |
| Home Win | 3.25 | 3.77 | 3.51 | -13.8% |
| Draw | 3.25 | 5.95 | 3.51 | -45.4% |
| Away Win | 2.15 | 1.76 | 2.32 | +21.8% |
| BTTS - Yes | 2.10 | 1.75 | 2.26 | +19.8% |
| BTTS - No | 1.67 | 2.33 | 1.80 | -28.2% |
Fair Odds remove the bookmaker margin. Value is raw EV vs market odds; hover a badge for the edge vs fair odds.
Match Preview
Nagoya Grampus are set to face Machida Zelvia in the J1 League at Toyota Stadium on 2026-09-06 GMT.
Nagoya Grampus currently stand 13th with six points after dropping four of their last six matches, while league leaders Machida Zelvia sit on 13 points having won two of their last three away J1 League games.
Head to head history shows Nagoya Grampus have lost four out of the previous six league meetings between these teams.
Prediction: Machida Zelvia to win by 1-2
compareTeam Comparison
Based on 5 matchesNagoya GrampusvsMachida
1.20Goals / Match3.00
1.60Conceded / Match0.80
0Clean Sheets1
4.80Shots on Target / Match5.60
58.2%Possession %50.2%
83.2%Pass Accuracy %82.5%
radarTeam Profile
Nagoya Grampus
Machida
sports_soccer
37Attack85
shield
32Defense42
swap_horiz
58Possession43
gps_fixed
51Efficiency78
auto_fix_high
31Creativity67
gavel
75Discipline79
sports_soccerGoals & Scoring
6Goals Scored15
8Goals Conceded4
0Clean Sheets1
10Big Chances16
7Big Chances Missed11
1Penalty Goals0
gps_fixedShooting
71Total Shots79
24Shots on Target28
swap_horizPassing & Possession
58.2%Avg Possession50.2%
2,465Total Passes2,243
83.2%Pass Accuracy82.5%
shieldDefending
69Tackles61
41Interceptions39
17Saves11
54.5%Duels Won53.1%
gavelDiscipline
45Fouls53
6Yellow Cards2
9Offsides9
analyticsOther
28Corners22
27Successful Dribbles18
1Errors Leading to Goal0
7.16Avg Rating7.75
League Standings Context
For Nagoya Grampus
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Gamba Osaka | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 6 |
| 13 | Nagoya Grampus | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 |
| 14 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 |
For Machida
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Machida Zelvia | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 13 |
| 2 | Kashiwa Reysol | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 12 |
Advanced Stats (Avg per match)
56.5/ 101.7
Dangerous Attacks
55.2/ 98.7
34.0%
Shots on Target
36.0%
11.7
Total Shots
13.3
58.0%
Possession
52.0%
Team Performance (Avg)
1.2
Goals Scored / Match
3.0
1.8
Goals Conceded / Match
0.7
Head-to-Head Summary
0
Nagoya Grampus Wins
0%
2
Draws
33%
4
Machida Wins
67%
Total H2H Matches: 6
Recent Form Stats
| Market | Nagoya Grampus | Machida |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 83%5/6 | 100%6/6 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 83%5/6 | 83%5/6 |
| Both Teams to Score | 67%4/6 | 67%4/6 |
* Based on last 6 matches
Past Matches
Last 6: Nagoya Grampus
Jp1
Nagoya Grampus
2 - 1
Fagiano Okayama
JpC
Nagoya Grampus
1 - 3
Gainare Tottori
Jp1
Nagoya Grampus
3 - 1
Gamba Osaka
Jp1
Nagoya Grampus
0 - 1
Shimizu S-Pulse
Home Games: Nagoya Grampus
Jp1
Nagoya Grampus
2 - 1
Fagiano Okayama
JpC
Nagoya Grampus
1 - 3
Gainare Tottori
Jp1
Nagoya Grampus
3 - 1
Gamba Osaka
Jp1
Nagoya Grampus
0 - 1
Shimizu S-Pulse
Last 6: Machida
Jp1
Mito HollyHock
1 - 1
Machida Zelvia
Jp1
JEF United Chiba
0 - 4
Machida Zelvia
Jp1
FC Tokyo
1 - 5
Machida Zelvia
Away Games: Machida
Jp1
Mito HollyHock
1 - 1
Machida Zelvia
Jp1
JEF United Chiba
0 - 4
Machida Zelvia
Jp1
FC Tokyo
1 - 5
Machida Zelvia
Weekly Newsletter
Subscribe for Betting Tips
Get exclusive predictions delivered to your inbox.
Join our community of smart bettors. Get exclusive predictions, value picks, and statistical analysis delivered straight to your inbox.
Free Weekly Tips
Value Opportunities