Napoli vs AS Roma Prediction & Tips | Serie A | FootballTips.app

Napoli

Napoli

Home
Full Time
3:3
Saturday 24 October
AS Roma

AS Roma

Away
auto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified Low Model Confidence
12.80
X3.41
22.53

Recommended Bet

No tip
No qualifying edge — see Value Comparison below
52
Best near-miss

Key Factors

League Rank: Home #10 vs Away #3
Season: Home 1.43 PPG vs Away 2.43 PPG
Recent Form (weighted): Home 2.25 PPG vs Away 1.80 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 1.67 GPG vs Away 2.00 GPG

donut_small Win Probabilities

30%
23%
46%
Napoli
Draw
AS Roma
payments

Value Comparison

OutcomeMarket OddsTrue Odds (AI)Value
Over 2.5 Goals1.922.03-5.5%
Under 2.5 Goals1.921.97-2.5%
Napoli Win2.773.29-15.8%
Draw3.304.27-22.7%
Roma Win2.602.52+3.0%
BTTS - Yes1.661.82-8.6%
BTTS - No2.122.22-4.7%

Fair Odds remove the bookmaker margin. Value is raw EV vs market odds; hover a badge for the edge vs fair odds.

Lineup Predictions & Ratings

Napoli

Starting 11
-Alex Meret
GK6.57
-Sam Beukema
DC6.39
-Amir Rrahmani
DC7.12
-Benoît Badiashile
DC6.49
-Leonardo Spinazzola
DML6.26
-Stanislav Lobotka
MC6.87
-Billy Gilmour
MC6.44
-Giovanni Di Lorenzo
DMR6.74
-Scott McTominay
AMC6.76
-Giovane
AMC6.56
-Rasmus Højlund
FW6.66

AS Roma

Starting 11
-Pierluigi Gollini
GK7.34
-Mario Hermoso
DC7.23
-Evan Ndicka
DC6.91
-Gianluca Mancini
DC7.03
-Wesley
DML7.01
-Bryan Cristante
MC7.19
-Marten de Roon
MC6.63
-Emanuele Lulli
DMR7.01
-Matías Soulé
AMC7.26
-Niccolò Pisilli
AMC6.72
-Santiago Castro
FW6.69
Ratings based on player performance in recent matches

Match Preview

Napoli’s 1-0 defeat away to Venezia last Saturday marked their third loss in the opening seven Serie A matches of the campaign (3 wins, 1 draw)—their worst start in terms of defeats at this stage of a top-flight season since 2009/10.

Allegri’s side managed to quieten the growing pressure surrounding his future with a thrilling 4-3 mid-week UEFA Champions League triumph over Bodø/Glimt on Tuesday.

Roma snapped a two-game draw streak in Serie A with a 2-0 victory over Genoa last weekend, staying within two points of the summit.

The Giallorossi maintained that momentum on the European stage, brushing aside Slovan Bratislava 4-0 in mid-week.

Gasperini's men have amassed 17 points from their opening seven league fixtures (5 wins, 2 draws), representing their best start to a Serie A campaign since 2014/15.

History heavily favors the hosts on home turf: Napoli are undefeated in their last eight Serie A home encounters against Roma (4 wins, 4 draws), marking their longest such streak against the capital side since 1982.

compareTeam Comparison

Based on 7 matches
NapolivsAS Roma
1.43Goals / Match2.29
1.00Conceded / Match0.43
3Clean Sheets5
5.57Shots on Target / Match6.00
53.0%Possession %55.4%
86.8%Pass Accuracy %84.9%

radarTeam Profile

Napoli
AS Roma
AttackDefensePossessionEfficiencyCreativityDiscipline
sports_soccer
59Attack90
shield
58Defense89
swap_horiz
57Possession72
gps_fixed
52Efficiency69
auto_fix_high
59Creativity93
gavel
80Discipline41

sports_soccerGoals & Scoring

10Goals Scored16
7Goals Conceded3
3Clean Sheets5
20Big Chances28
13Big Chances Missed17
1Penalty Goals0

gps_fixedShooting

117Total Shots127
39Shots on Target42

swap_horizPassing & Possession

53.0%Avg Possession55.4%
3,578Total Passes3,702
86.8%Pass Accuracy84.9%

shieldDefending

105Tackles130
43Interceptions82
20Saves18
48.5%Duels Won52.9%

gavelDiscipline

62Fouls84
6Yellow Cards13
0Red Cards1
22Offsides25

analyticsOther

45Corners36
32Successful Dribbles65
1Errors Leading to Goal0
7.50Avg Rating7.83

Statistical Comparison

NapoliMetricAS Roma
10
Goals
16
7
Assists
9
6.6
Average Ratings
6.9
28.1
Average Age
26.7
185.3
Average Height (cm)
184.7
1.2
Shots pg
1.3
53%
Aerial Duel Success
56%
0.4
Dribbles pg
0.6
1.2
Tackles pg
1.4

history Recent Form

NapoliNapoli
2.0 GPG
W
W
W
L
L
AS RomaAS Roma
2.3 GPG
D
W
D
W
D

group Head to Head

PL15 Feb 2026
Napoli
2-2
Roma
PL30 Nov 2025
Roma
0-1
Napoli
PL2 Feb 2025
Roma
1-1
Napoli
PL24 Nov 2024
Napoli
1-0
Roma
PL28 Apr 2024
Napoli
2-2
Roma
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
53%
Both Team Score

Head-to-Head Detailed

Over 1.5 Goals
76%
29 / 38 matches
Over 2.5 Goals
50%
19 / 38 matches
Over 3.5 Goals
29%
11 / 38 matches
Both Teams to Score
53%
20 / 38 matches
Napoli CS
34%
Clean Sheets
AS Roma CS
18%
Clean Sheets

Recent Matches

15 Feb 2026
Napoli
2 - 2
Roma
30 Nov 2025
Roma
0 - 1
Napoli
2 Feb 2025
Roma
1 - 1
Napoli
24 Nov 2024
Napoli
1 - 0
Roma
28 Apr 2024
Napoli
2 - 2
Roma
23 Dec 2023
Roma
2 - 0
Napoli
29 Jan 2023
Napoli
2 - 1
Roma
23 Oct 2022
Roma
0 - 1
Napoli
18 Apr 2022
Napoli
1 - 1
Roma
24 Oct 2021
Roma
0 - 0
Napoli
21 Mar 2021
Roma
0 - 2
Napoli
29 Nov 2020
Napoli
4 - 0
Roma

Current Form Comparison

Form (Overall)
Napoli
2.00
Form (Overall)
AS Roma
2.33

AS Roma is +17% better in terms of Points Per Game

Napoli
4 - 3
FK Bodo - Glimt
Napoli
3 - 0
Frosinone
Napoli
1 - 0
Bologna
Napoli
0 - 1
Arsenal
Napoli
1 - 2
Como
Como
0 - 0
Roma
Torino
0 - 2
Roma
Fenerbahçe
1 - 1
Roma
Lecce
0 - 4
Roma
Borussia Dortmund
2 - 2
Roma

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