Necaxa vs Club America Prediction & Tips | Liga MX - Apertura | FootballTips.app
Necaxa
HomeFull Time
2 - 4
HT: 2 - 2
Monday 28 September
Club America
Awayauto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified Very High Model Confidence
13.62
X3.78
21.91
Recommended Bet
No tip
No qualifying edge — see Value Comparison below
65
Best near-miss
Key Factors
Season: Home 0.89 PPG vs Away 2.13 PPG
Recent Form (weighted): Home 0.30 PPG vs Away 1.65 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 1.20 GPG vs Away 1.75 GPG
Defense (venue): Home 1.60 conc vs Away 1.50 conc
donut_small Win Probabilities
25%
16%
58%
Necaxa
Draw
Club America
payments
Value Comparison
| Outcome | Market Odds | True Odds (AI) | Fair Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 Goals | 1.65 | 1.70 | 1.78 | -2.7% |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 2.11 | 2.44 | 2.28 | -13.4% |
| Necaxa Win | 3.67 | 3.94 | 3.85 | -6.8% |
| Draw | 3.70 | 6.15 | 3.89 | -39.9% |
| América Win | 1.97 | 1.95 | 2.07 | +1.1% |
| BTTS - Yes | 1.59 | 1.71 | 1.72 | -7.0% |
| BTTS - No | 2.21 | 2.41 | 2.39 | -8.3% |
Fair Odds remove the bookmaker margin. Value is raw EV vs market odds; hover a badge for the edge vs fair odds.
compareTeam Comparison
Based on 8 matchesNecaxavsClub America
0.38Goals / Match2.13
4.00Conceded / Match1.00
0Clean Sheets4
radarTeam Profile
Necaxa
Club America
sports_soccer
0Attack74
shield
0Defense69
swap_horiz
24Possession67
gps_fixed
50Efficiency64
auto_fix_high
0Creativity73
gavel
52Discipline46
sports_soccerGoals & Scoring
3Goals Scored17
32Goals Conceded8
0Clean Sheets4
0Penalty Goals1
gavelDiscipline
14Yellow Cards12
1Red Cards1
history Recent Form
NecaxaL
L
D
L
D
Club AmericaD
L
W
W
W
group Head to Head
PL31 Jan 2026
2-0
PL27 Jul 2025
1-1
PL15 Feb 2025
2-3
PL22 Sept 2024
1-1
PL28 Jan 2024
0-0
56%
Over 2.5 Goals
74%
Both Team Score
Head-to-Head Detailed
Over 1.5 Goals
85%
23 / 27 matches
Over 2.5 Goals
56%
15 / 27 matches
Over 3.5 Goals
30%
8 / 27 matches
Both Teams to Score
74%
20 / 27 matches
Necaxa CS
11%
Clean Sheets
Club America CS
19%
Clean Sheets
Recent Matches
31 Jan 2026
América
2 - 0
Necaxa
27 Jul 2025
Necaxa
1 - 1
América
15 Feb 2025
América
2 - 3
Necaxa
22 Sept 2024
Necaxa
1 - 1
América
28 Jan 2024
Necaxa
0 - 0
América
24 Aug 2023
América
3 - 2
Necaxa
11 Feb 2023
América
2 - 1
Necaxa
16 Dec 2022
América
3 - 3
Necaxa
11 Sept 2022
Necaxa
1 - 2
América
3 Apr 2022
Necaxa
0 - 1
América
1 Aug 2021
América
2 - 1
Necaxa
4 Apr 2021
América
2 - 1
Necaxa
Current Form Comparison
Form (Overall)
0.89
Form (Overall)
2.13
Club America is +139% better in terms of Points Per Game
Atlético San Luis
3 - 1
Necaxa
Necaxa
0 - 1
Puebla
Tigres UANL
1 - 1
Necaxa
Necaxa
1 - 3
Cruz Azul
Pumas UNAM
1 - 1
Necaxa
América
2 - 2
Guadalajara
Cruz Azul
4 - 3
América
América
2 - 0
Puebla
Juárez
1 - 2
América
América
3 - 0
Atlético San Luis
Weekly Newsletter
Subscribe for Betting Tips
Get exclusive predictions delivered to your inbox.
Join our community of smart bettors. Get exclusive predictions, value picks, and statistical analysis delivered straight to your inbox.
Free Weekly Tips
Value Opportunities