Neftchi Fargona (Uzb) vs Al Quwa Al Jawiya (Irq) Prediction & Tips | AFC Champions League - League phase | FootballTips.app
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Who wins?
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AI Prediction
verified Very High Model Confidence
11.67
X3.48
24.97
Recommended Bet
No tip
No qualifying edge — see Value Comparison below
Key Factors
Season: Home 2.00 PPG vs Away 1.60 PPG
Recent Form (weighted): Home 1.80 PPG vs Away 1.00 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 2.40 GPG vs Away 2.00 GPG
Defense (venue): Home 0.40 conc vs Away 1.60 conc
donut_small Win Probabilities
55%
23%
21%
Neftchi Fargona (Uzb)
Draw
Al Quwa Al Jawiya (Irq)
payments
Value Comparison
| Outcome | Market Odds | True Odds (AI) | Fair Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 Goals | 1.95 | 1.74 | 2.07 | +11.9% |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 1.82 | 2.35 | 1.93 | -22.4% |
| Neftchi Win | 1.61 | 1.81 | 1.73 | -11.1% |
| Draw | 3.80 | 4.28 | 4.08 | -11.2% |
| Al Quwa Al Jawiya Win | 5.30 | 4.86 | 5.69 | +9.0% |
| BTTS - Yes | 1.97 | 1.71 | 2.13 | +14.9% |
| BTTS - No | 1.75 | 2.40 | 1.89 | -27.1% |
Fair Odds remove the bookmaker margin. Value is raw EV vs market odds; hover a badge for the edge vs fair odds.
history Recent Form
Neftchi Fargona (Uzb)W
L
W
L
W
Al Quwa Al Jawiya (Irq)L
W
L
D
D
Current Form Comparison
Form (Overall)
2.00
Form (Overall)
1.60
Neftchi Fargona (Uzb) is +25% better in terms of Points Per Game
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