Neftchi Fargona vs Termez Surkhon Prediction & Tips | Super League | FootballTips.app
Neftchi Fargona
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Termez Surkhon
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Key Factors
donut_small Win Probabilities
Value Comparison
| Outcome | Market Odds | True Odds (AI) | Fair Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 Goals | 1.53 | 1.90 | 1.64 | -19.5% |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 2.38 | 2.11 | 2.56 | +12.8% |
| Home Win | 1.28 | 1.42 | 1.44 | -9.8% |
| Draw | 5.00 | 6.70 | 5.62 | -25.3% |
| Away Win | 7.00 | 6.85 | 7.87 | +2.1% |
| BTTS - Yes | 1.84 | 2.07 | 2.02 | -11.0% |
| BTTS - No | 1.80 | 1.94 | 1.98 | -7.1% |
Fair Odds remove the bookmaker margin. Value is raw EV vs market odds; hover a badge for the edge vs fair odds.
Match Preview
Neftchi Fergana takes on Surkhon in the Uzbekistan Professional Football League at Stadion Istiqlol on 2026-09-09 GMT.
Current league leaders Neftchi Fergana, sitting on 45 points, face a Surkhon side placed 12th with 23 points.
Neftchi Fergana have showcased strong home form with 11 wins from 13 home matches, while Surkhon comes into this match having won 50 percent of their last 6 away league fixtures.
In head to head history this season, Neftchi Fergana have recorded 10 victories from 17 matches against Surkhon.
Our model prediction: Neftchi Fergana to win 1-0.
compareTeam Comparison
Based on 20 matchesradarTeam Profile
sports_soccerGoals & Scoring
gps_fixedShooting
swap_horizPassing & Possession
shieldDefending
gavelDiscipline
analyticsOther
League Standings Context
For Neftchi Fargona
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Neftchi Fergana | 20 | 14 | 3 | 3 | 45 |
| 2 | Pakhtakor | 20 | 12 | 7 | 1 | 43 |
For Termez Surkhon
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Qyzylqum | 20 | 8 | 2 | 10 | 26 |
| 12 | Surkhon | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 23 |
| 13 | Qoqon FK | 20 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 20 |
Advanced Stats (Avg per match)
Team Performance (Avg)
Head-to-Head Summary
Recent Form Stats
| Market | Neftchi Fargona | Termez Surkhon |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 75%18/24 | 58%14/24 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 67%16/24 | 42%10/24 |
| Both Teams to Score | 38%9/24 | 46%11/24 |
Past Matches
Last 6: Neftchi Fargona
Home Games: Neftchi Fargona
Last 6: Termez Surkhon
Away Games: Termez Surkhon
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