Netherlands vs Germany Prediction & Tips | UEFA Nations League - League A | FootballTips.app

Netherlands

Netherlands

Home
Full Time
1 - 1
HT: 0 - 1
Thursday 24 September
Germany

Germany

Away
NetherlandsTimelineGermany
1st Half
Timber Q.
22'
van Hecke J. P.
24'
Ebnoutalib Y.Out: Havertz K.
sync_alt
30'
Nmecha F. (Adeyemi K.)
sports_soccer
32'
Meerdink M.Out: Brobbey B.
sync_alt
35'
2nd Half
Veerman J.Out: Timber Q.
sync_alt
57'
Fuhrich C.Out: Schade K.
sync_alt
64'
Stach A.Out: Nmecha F.
sync_alt
64'
Amiri N.
68'
van Dijk V.
69'
Engelhardt Y.Out: Amiri N.
sync_alt
80'
Gnabry S.Out: Adeyemi K.
sync_alt
80'
Til G.Out: Reijnders T.
sync_alt
83'
van Bommel R.Out: Summerville C.
sync_alt
83'
Gakpo C. (van Bommel R.)
sports_soccer
90+2'
No statistics available for this match
auto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified Medium Model Confidence
12.37
X3.77
22.65

Recommended Bet

No tip
No qualifying edge — see Value Comparison below

Key Factors

Season: Home 1.90 PPG vs Away 2.50 PPG
Recent Form (weighted): Home 2.10 PPG vs Away 1.65 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 2.13 GPG vs Away 2.25 GPG
Defense (venue): Home 1.00 conc vs Away 1.50 conc

donut_small Win Probabilities

38%
31%
30%
Netherlands
Draw
Germany
payments

Value Comparison

OutcomeMarket OddsTrue Odds (AI)Value
Over 2.5 Goals1.501.85-19.0%
Under 2.5 Goals2.502.17+15.0%
Netherlands Win2.372.62-9.5%
Draw3.743.19+17.2%
Germany Win2.803.28-14.7%
BTTS - Yes1.431.76-18.9%
BTTS - No2.662.31+15.1%

Fair Odds remove the bookmaker margin. Value is raw EV vs market odds; hover a badge for the edge vs fair odds.

Lineup Predictions & Ratings

Netherlands

Starting 11
-Bart Verbruggen
GK
-Jurriën Timber
DL
-Jan Paul van Hecke
DC
-Virgil van Dijk
DC
-Denzel Dumfries
DR
-Tijjani Reijnders
MC
-Joey Veerman
MC
-Ryan Gravenberch
MC
-Cody Gakpo
FWL
-Brian Brobbey
FW
-Crysencio Summerville
FWR

Germany

Starting 11
-Alexander Nübel
GK
-Nathaniel Brown
DL
-Nico Schlotterbeck
DC
-Jonathan Tah
DC
-Joshua Kimmich
DR
-Felix Nmecha
DMC
-Nadiem Amiri
DMC
-Serge Gnabry
AML
-Lennart Karl
AMC
-Jamal Musiala
AMR
-Kai Havertz
FW
Ratings based on player performance in recent matches

Match Preview

The Netherlands head into their Nations League campaign looking to avenge a frustrating World Cup round of 32 exit earlier this year. Xavi's side were beaten on penalties by Morocco after taking seven points from group games against Tunisia, Sweden and Japan.

Germany also failed to live up to expectations in North America this summer, crashing out of the World Cup to minnows Paraguay on penalties in the first knockout round. This will be Jürgen Klopp's first outing as manager of his home nation.

compareTeam Comparison

Based on 4 / 7 matches
NetherlandsvsGermany
2.75Goals / Match0.86
1.25Conceded / Match1.86
0Clean Sheets1

sports_soccerGoals & Scoring

11Goals Scored6
5Goals Conceded13
0Clean Sheets1
0Penalty Goals1

history Recent Form

NetherlandsNetherlands
1.9 GPG
D
W
W
D
W
GermanyGermany
2.5 GPG
D
L
W
W
W

group Head to Head

PL14 Oct 2024
Germany
1-0
Netherlands
PL10 Sept 2024
Netherlands
2-2
Germany
PL26 Mar 2024
Germany
2-1
Netherlands
PL29 Mar 2022
Netherlands
1-1
Germany
PL6 Sept 2019
Germany
2-4
Netherlands
75%
Over 2.5 Goals
75%
Both Team Score

Head-to-Head Detailed

Over 1.5 Goals
88%
7 / 8 matches
Over 2.5 Goals
75%
6 / 8 matches
Over 3.5 Goals
50%
4 / 8 matches
Both Teams to Score
75%
6 / 8 matches
Netherlands CS
13%
Clean Sheets
Germany CS
13%
Clean Sheets

Recent Matches

14 Oct 2024
Germany
1 - 0
Netherlands
10 Sept 2024
Netherlands
2 - 2
Germany
26 Mar 2024
Germany
2 - 1
Netherlands
29 Mar 2022
Netherlands
1 - 1
Germany
6 Sept 2019
Germany
2 - 4
Netherlands
24 Mar 2019
Netherlands
2 - 3
Germany
19 Nov 2018
Germany
2 - 2
Netherlands
13 Oct 2018
Netherlands
3 - 0
Germany

Current Form Comparison

Form (Overall)
Netherlands
1.90
Form (Overall)
Germany
2.50

Germany is +32% better in terms of Points Per Game

Netherlands
1 - 1
Morocco
Tunisia
1 - 3
Netherlands
Netherlands
5 - 1
Sweden
Netherlands
2 - 2
Japan
Netherlands
2 - 1
Uzbekistan
Germany
1 - 1
Paraguay
Ecuador
2 - 1
Germany
Germany
2 - 1
Ivory Coast
Germany
7 - 1
Curaçao
USMNT
1 - 2
Germany

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