Netherlands vs Serbia Prediction & Tips | UEFA Nations League - League A | FootballTips.app

Netherlands

Netherlands

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20h
18:45
UEFA Nations League - League A
Serbia

Serbia

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Who wins?

auto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified Very High Model Confidence
11.16
X7.78
214.90

Recommended Bet

No tip
No qualifying edge — see Value Comparison below

Key Factors

Season: Home 1.70 PPG vs Away 0.90 PPG
Recent Form (weighted): Home 1.70 PPG vs Away 0.00 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 1.71 GPG vs Away 0.67 GPG
Defense (venue): Home 1.14 conc vs Away 2.67 conc

donut_small Win Probabilities

60%
22%
17%
Netherlands
Draw
Serbia
payments

Value Comparison

OutcomeMarket OddsTrue Odds (AI)Value
Over 2.5 Goals1.501.95-23.1%
Under 2.5 Goals3.102.05+51.1%
Netherlands Win1.251.66-24.5%
Draw5.704.48+27.3%
Serbia Win12.509.45+32.3%
BTTS - Yes2.031.86+9.2%
BTTS - No1.742.16-19.6%

Fair Odds remove the bookmaker margin. Value is raw EV vs market odds; hover a badge for the edge vs fair odds.

Match Preview

The Netherlands entered the half-time break trailing 2-0 to an in-form Greece side on Saturday, but second-half goals from Virgil van Dijk and Tijjani Reijnders helped salvage a point. That result extended the hosts' unbeaten start to the Nations League campaign.

Serbia travel to Philips Stadion on Sunday looking to claim their first points of the Nations League group stage. Veljko Paunovic's side were beaten 2-0 by Germany last time out, marking their fifth straight defeat in all competitions.

Lineups

Lineup Predictions & Ratings

Netherlands

Starting 11
-Bart Verbruggen
GK6.45
-Micky van de Ven
DL6.72
-Jurriën Timber
DC6.45
-Virgil van Dijk
DC7.14
-Denzel Dumfries
DR6.85
-Tijjani Reijnders
MC7.03
-Ryan Gravenberch
MC6.56
-Joey Veerman
MC7.31
-Ruben van Bommel
FWL6.41
-Mexx Meerdink
FW6.99
-Crysencio Summerville
FWR6.95

Serbia

Starting 11
-Vanja Milinkovic-Savic
GK7.38
-Filip Kostic
DL6.55
-Strahinja Pavlovic
DC6.43
-Srdjan Babic
DC6.20
-Kosta Nedeljkovic
DR6.07
-Sasa Lukic
DMC6.39
-Sergej Milinkovic-Savic
DMC6.44
-Dusan Tadic
AML6.39
-Stefan Dzodic
AMC5.97
-Andrija Zivkovic
AMR6.59
-Luka Jovic
FW6.57
Ratings based on player performance in recent matches

Statistical Comparison

NetherlandsMetricSerbia
5
Goals
2
3
Assists
2
6.7
Average Ratings
6.4
26.1
Average Age
28.5
185.5
Average Height (cm)
186.8
1.5
Shots pg
1
55%
Aerial Duel Success
47%
1.2
Dribbles pg
0.4
1.3
Tackles pg
1.4

history Recent Form

NetherlandsNetherlands
1.7 GPG
D
W
D
D
W
SerbiaSerbia
0.9 GPG
L
L
L
L
L

group Head to Head

PL27 Sept 2026
Serbia
1-2
Netherlands
100%
Over 2.5 Goals
100%
Both Team Score

Head-to-Head Detailed

Over 1.5 Goals
100%
1 / 1 matches
Over 2.5 Goals
100%
1 / 1 matches
Over 3.5 Goals
0%
0 / 1 matches
Both Teams to Score
100%
1 / 1 matches
Netherlands CS
0%
Clean Sheets
Serbia CS
0%
Clean Sheets

Recent Matches

27 Sept 2026
Serbia
1 - 2
Netherlands

Current Form Comparison

Form (Overall)
Netherlands
1.70
Form (Overall)
Serbia
0.90

Netherlands is +89% better in terms of Points Per Game

Greece
2 - 2
Netherlands
Serbia
1 - 2
Netherlands
Netherlands
1 - 1
Germany
Netherlands
1 - 1
Morocco
Tunisia
1 - 3
Netherlands
Germany
2 - 0
Serbia
Serbia
1 - 2
Netherlands
Serbia
1 - 2
Greece
Mexico
5 - 1
Serbia
Cape Verde Islands
3 - 0
Serbia

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