New Mexico vs Indy Eleven Prediction & Tips | USL Championship | FootballTips.app
New Mexico
HomeFull Time
2 - 2
HT: 2 - 0
Saturday 12 September
Indy Eleven
AwayNew MexicoTimelineIndy Eleven
1st Half
Archimede L.
sports_soccer
16'
Hurst G. (Archimede L.)
sports_soccer
18'
Hafferty J.
45+2'
Melto Quiah J.
45+2'
2nd Half
Harris D.Out: Melto Quiah J.
sync_alt
46'
Henry-Scott M.
sports_soccer
50'
Blake J.
sports_soccer
59'
LaCava J.Out: Blackett T.
sync_alt
67'
Dennis C.Out: Archimede L.
sync_alt
67'
Wilkerson C.Out: Zelalem G.
sync_alt
67'
Rendon B.Out: Henry-Scott M.
sync_alt
73'
Sharp C.Out: Mesanvi L.
sync_alt
73'
Nava C.Out: Harris D.
sync_alt
86'
Jabang O.
88'
Keller K.
90+3'
No statistics available for this match
auto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified Very High Model Confidence
12.13
X3.50
22.83
Recommended Bet
No tip
No qualifying edge — see Value Comparison below
Key Factors
⚠️ Using limited statistical data
Attack Quality: Home 34% on target vs Away 36% on target
Standings: Home GD +10 (40pts) vs Away GD +0 (29pts)
Sofascore Stats: Home superiority - Best: Possession (+36), Defense (+14)
donut_small Win Probabilities
60%
New Mexico Win
22%
Draw
17%
Indy Eleven Win
New Mexico
Draw
Indy Eleven
payments
Value Comparison
| Outcome | Market Odds | True Odds (AI) | Fair Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 Goals | 1.48 | 1.90 | 1.64 | -22.1% |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 2.33 | 2.11 | 2.57 | +10.4% |
| Home Win | 2.00 | 1.65 | 2.23 | +20.9% |
| Draw | 3.70 | 4.49 | 4.13 | -17.5% |
| Away Win | 2.90 | 5.80 | 3.23 | -50.0% |
| BTTS - Yes | 2.37 | 1.81 | 2.55 | +30.7% |
| BTTS - No | 1.53 | 2.23 | 1.65 | -31.4% |
Fair Odds remove the bookmaker margin. Value is raw EV vs market odds; hover a badge for the edge vs fair odds.
Match Preview
New Mexico United are set to face Indy Eleven in the USL Championship elimination phase at Stadion Patriot on September 12, 2026.
Recent form highlights New Mexico United’s home advantage, with four wins in their last six matches played at home in the league.
Indy Eleven, meanwhile, have struggled on their travels, losing five of their previous six away fixtures in the USL Championship.
Head to head history this season strongly favors New Mexico United, who have secured victory in all three encounters against Indy Eleven.
Our algorithm gives New Mexico United a 58 percent probability to win this encounter.
compareTeam Comparison
Based on 21 matchesNew MexicovsIndy Eleven
1.48Goals / Match1.24
1.00Conceded / Match1.24
7Clean Sheets3
4.05Shots on Target / Match4.86
55.7%Possession %40.7%
84.7%Pass Accuracy %73.2%
radarTeam Profile
New Mexico
Indy Eleven
sports_soccer
45Attack42
shield
48Defense34
swap_horiz
54Possession18
gps_fixed
72Efficiency57
auto_fix_high
56Creativity47
gavel
27Discipline52
sports_soccerGoals & Scoring
31Goals Scored26
21Goals Conceded26
7Clean Sheets3
48Big Chances50
27Big Chances Missed34
3Penalty Goals1
gps_fixedShooting
247Total Shots283
85Shots on Target102
swap_horizPassing & Possession
55.7%Avg Possession40.7%
9,168Total Passes6,563
84.7%Pass Accuracy73.2%
shieldDefending
218Tackles266
147Interceptions153
79Saves65
48.2%Duels Won52.0%
gavelDiscipline
282Fouls272
65Yellow Cards36
1Red Cards0
53Offsides40
analyticsOther
87Corners105
100Successful Dribbles89
5Errors Leading to Goal0
6.87Avg Rating6.83
League Standings Context
For New Mexico
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | El Paso Locomotive | 23 | 12 | 4 | 7 | 40 |
| 2 | New Mexico United | 21 | 12 | 4 | 5 | 40 |
| 3 | FC Tulsa | 22 | 10 | 6 | 6 | 36 |
For Indy Eleven
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Rhode Island | 21 | 8 | 5 | 8 | 29 |
| 8 | Indy Eleven | 21 | 8 | 5 | 8 | 29 |
| 9 | Miami FC II | 23 | 5 | 8 | 10 | 23 |
Advanced Stats (Avg per match)
47.4/ 79.0
Dangerous Attacks
58.3/ 89.8
34.0%
Shots on Target
36.0%
11.7
Total Shots
13.6
56.0%
Possession
40.0%
Team Performance (Avg)
1.5
Goals Scored / Match
1.3
1.2
Goals Conceded / Match
1.2
Head-to-Head Summary
3
New Mexico Wins
100%
0
Draws
0%
0
Indy Eleven Wins
0%
Total H2H Matches: 3
Recent Form Stats
| Market | New Mexico | Indy Eleven |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 61%14/23 | 74%17/23 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 57%13/23 | 52%12/23 |
| Both Teams to Score | 52%12/23 | 57%13/23 |
* Based on last 23 matches
Past Matches
Last 6: New Mexico
Us2
New Mexico United
1 - 2
San Antonio FC
Us2
New Mexico United
2 - 1
Lexington
Us2
New Mexico United
1 - 0
FC Tulsa
Us2
New Mexico United
1 - 0
CS Switchbacks
Us2
New Mexico United
2 - 1
Oakland Roots
Us2
New Mexico United
1 - 1
Orange County SC
Home Games: New Mexico
Us2
New Mexico United
1 - 2
San Antonio FC
Us2
New Mexico United
2 - 1
Lexington
Us2
New Mexico United
1 - 0
FC Tulsa
Us2
New Mexico United
1 - 0
CS Switchbacks
Us2
New Mexico United
2 - 1
Oakland Roots
Us2
New Mexico United
1 - 1
Orange County SC
Last 6: Indy Eleven
Us2
Phoenix Rising
2 - 1
Indy Eleven
Us2
Sporting JAX
0 - 1
Indy Eleven
Us2
San Antonio FC
3 - 1
Indy Eleven
Us2
Detroit City FC
2 - 0
Indy Eleven
Us2
Miami FC II
2 - 0
Indy Eleven
Us2
Pittsburgh Riverhounds
1 - 0
Indy Eleven
Away Games: Indy Eleven
Us2
Phoenix Rising
2 - 1
Indy Eleven
Us2
Sporting JAX
0 - 1
Indy Eleven
Us2
San Antonio FC
3 - 1
Indy Eleven
Us2
Detroit City FC
2 - 0
Indy Eleven
Us2
Miami FC II
2 - 0
Indy Eleven
Us2
Pittsburgh Riverhounds
1 - 0
Indy Eleven
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