New Mexico vs Lexington Prediction & Tips | USL Championship | FootballTips.app

New Mexico
HomeFull Time
2 - 1
HT: 0 - 0
Thursday 27 August

Lexington
AwayNew MexicoTimelineLexington
1st Half
Semmle O.
10'
Hurst G.
29'
2nd Half
Ferri B.Out: Fry M.
sync_alt
46'
Muir M.
sports_soccer
51'
Brown J.Out: Scott T.
sync_alt
56'
Bailey Z.
63'
Zelalem G.Out: Jabang O.
sync_alt
67'
Wilkerson C.Out: LaCava J.
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67'
Blackett T.Out: Gloster C.
sync_alt
67'
Blackett T.
68'
Keller K. (Hurst G.)
sports_soccer
73'
Seagrist P.Out: Nick Firmino
sync_alt
75'
Reid-Stephen N.Assist: Harris D.
sports_soccer
78'
Seagrist P.
82'
Yosef M.Out: Zengue X.
sync_alt
84'
Nava C.Out: Harris D.
sync_alt
85'
Archimede L.Out: Hurst G.
sync_alt
85'
Wilkerson C.
90+4'
Top stats
2.44Expected goals (xG)0.85
66%Ball possession34%
17Total shots13
4Shots on target3
5Big chances1
6Corner kicks7
92% (514/558)Passes80% (224/279)
4Yellow cards2
Shots
2.44Expected goals (xG)0.85
2.46xG on target (xGOT)1.21
17Total shots13
4Shots on target3
9Shots off target3
4Blocked shots7
11Shots inside the box9
6Shots outside the box4
2Hit the woodwork0
0Headed goals1
Attack
5Big chances1
6Corner kicks7
34Touches in opposition box24
0Accurate through passes0
3Offsides3
14Free kicks5
Passes
92% (514/558)Passes80% (224/279)
57% (23/40)Long passes48% (22/46)
81% (134/166)Passes in final third59% (44/75)
28% (5/18)Crosses21% (3/14)
2.74Expected assists (xA)0.92
15Throw ins15
Defense
5Fouls14
83% (10/12)Tackles94% (15/16)
37Duels won31
25Clearances23
4Interceptions8
0Errors leading to shot0
1Errors leading to goal0
Goalkeeping
2Goalkeeper saves2
1.21xGOT faced2.46
0.21Goals prevented0.46
5Goal kicks12
auto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified High Confidence
12.27
X3.29
22.75
Recommended Bet
check_circle
Home Win
Stake: Medium (5/10)
52
Opp. Value
Key Factors
League Rank: Home #4 vs Away #11
Season: Home 1.89 PPG vs Away 1.55 PPG
Recent Form (weighted): Home 2.40 PPG vs Away 2.05 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 1.56 GPG vs Away 1.22 GPG
donut_small Win Probabilities
43%
New Mexico Win
32%
Draw
25%
Lexington Win
New Mexico
Draw
Lexington
Lineups
Lineup Predictions & Ratings
New Mexico
Starting 11
9Justin Rennicks
CF4.93
10Greg Hurst
CF7.02
17Jake LaCava
RW6.68
31Joseph Melto Quiah
6.61
7Niall Reid-Stephen
RM6.56
15Ousman Jabang
CDM7.11
19Zico Bailey
CDM6.93
2Nicholas Hamalainen
LB6.95
3Chris Gloster
LB6.79
4Kipp Keller
CB7.12
13Kristopher Shakes
GK7.37
Substitutes
5Dayonn Harris
RW6.51
11Cristian Nava
LW6.17
29Luther Archimède
CF5.97
6Gedion Zelalem
CDM5.93
28Cullen Wilkerson
CM4.79
24Tyler Blackett
CB4.13
-Andrew Pannenberg
Lexington
Starting 11
7Marcus Epps
RW7.00
9Phillip Goodrum
CF7.04
6Aaron Molloy
CDM7.58
8Elio Nicolas Firmino
CM7.04
18Noble Okello
CM6.67
16Blaine Ferri
CM7.33
2Jacob Greene
LB6.69
5Kendall Burks
CB6.69
12Xavier Zengue
6.46
23Javain Brown
RB6.59
17Oliver Semmle
GK6.76
Substitutes
19Tarik Scott
LW5.28
20Milo Yosef
RW3.25
34Malcolm Fry
RW6.31
14Andrew Caborn
LB
21Marqes Muir
CB6.26
-Brooks Thompson
GK
-Garrett Addams
GK
Ratings based on player performance in recent matches
compareTeam Comparison
Based on 18 / 20 matchesNew MexicovsLexington
1.44Goals / Match1.50
0.94Conceded / Match1.15
7Clean Sheets8
4.17Shots on Target / Match4.05
54.3%Possession %50.4%
84.1%Pass Accuracy %83.2%
radarTeam Profile
New Mexico
Lexington
sports_soccer
43Attack45
shield
52Defense57
swap_horiz
52Possession51
gps_fixed
74Efficiency66
auto_fix_high
54Creativity58
gavel
28Discipline44
sports_soccerGoals & Scoring
26Goals Scored30
17Goals Conceded23
7Clean Sheets8
40Big Chances46
23Big Chances Missed30
3Penalty Goals0
gps_fixedShooting
206Total Shots245
75Shots on Target81
swap_horizPassing & Possession
54.3%Avg Possession50.4%
7,747Total Passes8,442
84.1%Pass Accuracy83.2%
shieldDefending
180Tackles254
128Interceptions199
72Saves40
47.4%Duels Won51.9%
gavelDiscipline
251Fouls247
49Yellow Cards43
1Red Cards1
35Offsides34
analyticsOther
71Corners95
84Successful Dribbles121
3Errors Leading to Goal1
6.87Avg Rating6.86
history Recent Form
D
W
W
W
W
W
L
W
W
D
group Head to Head
PL16 Jul 2026
1-4
PL29 Sept 2025
2-1
PL15 Jun 2025
2-1
100%
Over 2.5 Goals
100%
Both Team Score
Head-to-Head Detailed
Over 1.5 Goals
100%
3 / 3 matches
Over 2.5 Goals
100%
3 / 3 matches
Over 3.5 Goals
33%
1 / 3 matches
Both Teams to Score
100%
3 / 3 matches
New Mexico CS
0%
Clean Sheets
Lexington CS
0%
Clean Sheets
Recent Matches
16 Jul 2026
Lexington
1 - 4
New Mexico United
29 Sept 2025
New Mexico United
2 - 1
Lexington
15 Jun 2025
Lexington
2 - 1
New Mexico United
Current Form Comparison
Form (Overall)
1.89
Form (Overall)
1.55
New Mexico is +22% better in terms of Points Per Game
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Lexington
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