New Mexico vs Lexington Prediction & Tips | USL Championship | FootballTips.app

New Mexico

New Mexico

Home
Full Time
2 - 1
HT: 0 - 0
Thursday 27 August
Lexington

Lexington

Away
New MexicoTimelineLexington
1st Half
Semmle O.
10'
Hurst G.
29'
2nd Half
Ferri B.Out: Fry M.
sync_alt
46'
Muir M.
sports_soccer
51'
Brown J.Out: Scott T.
sync_alt
56'
Bailey Z.
63'
Zelalem G.Out: Jabang O.
sync_alt
67'
Wilkerson C.Out: LaCava J.
sync_alt
67'
Blackett T.Out: Gloster C.
sync_alt
67'
Blackett T.
68'
Keller K. (Hurst G.)
sports_soccer
73'
Seagrist P.Out: Nick Firmino
sync_alt
75'
Reid-Stephen N.Assist: Harris D.
sports_soccer
78'
Seagrist P.
82'
Yosef M.Out: Zengue X.
sync_alt
84'
Nava C.Out: Harris D.
sync_alt
85'
Archimede L.Out: Hurst G.
sync_alt
85'
Wilkerson C.
90+4'

Top stats

2.44Expected goals (xG)0.85
66%Ball possession34%
17Total shots13
4Shots on target3
5Big chances1
6Corner kicks7
92% (514/558)Passes80% (224/279)
4Yellow cards2

Shots

2.44Expected goals (xG)0.85
2.46xG on target (xGOT)1.21
17Total shots13
4Shots on target3
9Shots off target3
4Blocked shots7
11Shots inside the box9
6Shots outside the box4
2Hit the woodwork0
0Headed goals1

Attack

5Big chances1
6Corner kicks7
34Touches in opposition box24
0Accurate through passes0
3Offsides3
14Free kicks5

Passes

92% (514/558)Passes80% (224/279)
57% (23/40)Long passes48% (22/46)
81% (134/166)Passes in final third59% (44/75)
28% (5/18)Crosses21% (3/14)
2.74Expected assists (xA)0.92
15Throw ins15

Defense

5Fouls14
83% (10/12)Tackles94% (15/16)
37Duels won31
25Clearances23
4Interceptions8
0Errors leading to shot0
1Errors leading to goal0

Goalkeeping

2Goalkeeper saves2
1.21xGOT faced2.46
0.21Goals prevented0.46
5Goal kicks12
auto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified High Confidence
12.27
X3.29
22.75

Recommended Bet

check_circle
Home Win
Stake: Medium (5/10)
52
Opp. Value

Key Factors

League Rank: Home #4 vs Away #11
Season: Home 1.89 PPG vs Away 1.55 PPG
Recent Form (weighted): Home 2.40 PPG vs Away 2.05 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 1.56 GPG vs Away 1.22 GPG

donut_small Win Probabilities

43%
32%
25%
New Mexico
Draw
Lexington

Lineups

Lineup Predictions & Ratings

New Mexico

Starting 11
9Justin Rennicks
CF4.93
10Greg Hurst
CF7.02
17Jake LaCava
RW6.68
31Joseph Melto Quiah
6.61
7Niall Reid-Stephen
RM6.56
15Ousman Jabang
CDM7.11
19Zico Bailey
CDM6.93
2Nicholas Hamalainen
LB6.95
3Chris Gloster
LB6.79
4Kipp Keller
CB7.12
13Kristopher Shakes
GK7.37
Substitutes
5Dayonn Harris
RW6.51
11Cristian Nava
LW6.17
29Luther Archimède
CF5.97
6Gedion Zelalem
CDM5.93
28Cullen Wilkerson
CM4.79
24Tyler Blackett
CB4.13
-Andrew Pannenberg

Lexington

Starting 11
7Marcus Epps
RW7.00
9Phillip Goodrum
CF7.04
6Aaron Molloy
CDM7.58
8Elio Nicolas Firmino
CM7.04
18Noble Okello
CM6.67
16Blaine Ferri
CM7.33
2Jacob Greene
LB6.69
5Kendall Burks
CB6.69
12Xavier Zengue
6.46
23Javain Brown
RB6.59
17Oliver Semmle
GK6.76
Substitutes
19Tarik Scott
LW5.28
20Milo Yosef
RW3.25
34Malcolm Fry
RW6.31
14Andrew Caborn
LB
21Marqes Muir
CB6.26
-Brooks Thompson
GK
-Garrett Addams
GK
Ratings based on player performance in recent matches

compareTeam Comparison

Based on 18 / 20 matches
New MexicovsLexington
1.44Goals / Match1.50
0.94Conceded / Match1.15
7Clean Sheets8
4.17Shots on Target / Match4.05
54.3%Possession %50.4%
84.1%Pass Accuracy %83.2%

radarTeam Profile

New Mexico
Lexington
AttackDefensePossessionEfficiencyCreativityDiscipline
sports_soccer
43Attack45
shield
52Defense57
swap_horiz
52Possession51
gps_fixed
74Efficiency66
auto_fix_high
54Creativity58
gavel
28Discipline44

sports_soccerGoals & Scoring

26Goals Scored30
17Goals Conceded23
7Clean Sheets8
40Big Chances46
23Big Chances Missed30
3Penalty Goals0

gps_fixedShooting

206Total Shots245
75Shots on Target81

swap_horizPassing & Possession

54.3%Avg Possession50.4%
7,747Total Passes8,442
84.1%Pass Accuracy83.2%

shieldDefending

180Tackles254
128Interceptions199
72Saves40
47.4%Duels Won51.9%

gavelDiscipline

251Fouls247
49Yellow Cards43
1Red Cards1
35Offsides34

analyticsOther

71Corners95
84Successful Dribbles121
3Errors Leading to Goal1
6.87Avg Rating6.86

history Recent Form

New MexicoNew Mexico
1.9 GPG
D
W
W
W
W
LexingtonLexington
1.6 GPG
W
L
W
W
D

group Head to Head

PL16 Jul 2026
Lexington
1-4
New Mexico United
PL29 Sept 2025
New Mexico United
2-1
Lexington
PL15 Jun 2025
Lexington
2-1
New Mexico United
100%
Over 2.5 Goals
100%
Both Team Score

Head-to-Head Detailed

Over 1.5 Goals
100%
3 / 3 matches
Over 2.5 Goals
100%
3 / 3 matches
Over 3.5 Goals
33%
1 / 3 matches
Both Teams to Score
100%
3 / 3 matches
New Mexico CS
0%
Clean Sheets
Lexington CS
0%
Clean Sheets

Recent Matches

16 Jul 2026
Lexington
1 - 4
New Mexico United
29 Sept 2025
New Mexico United
2 - 1
Lexington
15 Jun 2025
Lexington
2 - 1
New Mexico United

Current Form Comparison

Form (Overall)
New Mexico
1.89
Form (Overall)
Lexington
1.55

New Mexico is +22% better in terms of Points Per Game

Loudoun United
0 - 0
New Mexico United
New Mexico United
1 - 0
Tulsa Roughnecks
Monterey Bay
2 - 5
New Mexico United
New Mexico United
1 - 0
Colorado Springs
Lexington
1 - 4
New Mexico United
Lexington
2 - 0
Las Vegas Lights
Sacramento Republic
1 - 0
Lexington
Lexington
1 - 0
Phoenix Rising
Lexington
3 - 2
Monterey Bay
Tulsa Roughnecks
0 - 0
Lexington

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