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New Mexico vs Orange County SC Prediction & Tips | USL Championship | FootballTips.app

New Mexico

New Mexico

Home
Full Time
1 - 1
HT: 1 - 1
Sunday 14 June
Orange County SC

Orange County SC

Away
New MexicoTimelineOrange County SC
1st Half
Keller K. (Hamalainen N.)
sports_soccer
2'
Benalcazar N. (Hegardt C.)
sports_soccer
18'
2nd Half
Ciotta N.Out: Doghman R.
sync_alt
58'
Rennicks J.Out: Zelalem G.
sync_alt
69'
Blackett T.Out: Gloster C.
sync_alt
69'
Cambridge B.Out: MacKinnon L.
sync_alt
75'
Sanchez D.
76'
Guimaraes P.Out: Hegardt C.
sync_alt
83'
Solis E.Out: Kelly S.
sync_alt
83'
Sylla O.
89'
Nava C.Out: Reid-Stephen N.
sync_alt
89'

Top stats

1.04Expected goals (xG)1.85
63%Ball possession37%
13Total shots15
3Shots on target1
3Big chances2
3Corner kicks4
84% (395/471)Passes75% (202/269)
0Yellow cards1

Shots

1.04Expected goals (xG)1.85
0.96xG on target (xGOT)0.95
13Total shots15
3Shots on target1
6Shots off target9
4Blocked shots5
7Shots inside the box11
6Shots outside the box4
2Hit the woodwork0
1Headed goals0

Attack

3Big chances2
3Corner kicks4
27Touches in opposition box24
0Accurate through passes0
1Offsides2
9Free kicks18

Passes

84% (395/471)Passes75% (202/269)
48% (27/56)Long passes45% (22/49)
73% (112/153)Passes in final third68% (50/73)
38% (8/21)Crosses33% (4/12)
1.22Expected assists (xA)1.57
21Throw ins18

Defense

18Fouls9
86% (6/7)Tackles70% (7/10)
30Duels won39
14Clearances17
5Interceptions5
0Errors leading to shot0
0Errors leading to goal0

Goalkeeping

0Goalkeeper saves2
0.95xGOT faced0.96
-0.05Goals prevented-0.04
auto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified Medium Confidence
11.85
X3.43
23.57

Recommended Bet

Home Win
Stake: Low (2/10)
23
Opp. Value

Key Factors

League Rank: Home #16 vs Away #4
Season: Home 1.40 PPG vs Away 1.73 PPG
Recent Form (weighted): Home 1.60 PPG vs Away 1.60 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 1.80 GPG vs Away 1.40 GPG

donut_small Win Probabilities

40%
34%
26%
New Mexico
Draw
Orange County SC

Lineups

Lineup Predictions & Ratings

New Mexico

Starting 11
5Dayonn Harris
RW6.19
10Greg Hurst
CF6.82
7Niall Reid-Stephen
RM6.96
15Ousman Jabang
CDM7.10
19Zico Bailey
CDM6.91
21Valentin Noël
CM6.71
2Nicholas Hamalainen
LB6.82
3Chris Gloster
LB6.67
4Kipp Keller
CB6.93
27Maliek Howell
CB5.54
13Kristopher Shakes
GK5.81
Substitutes
9Justin Rennicks
CF5.84
11Cristian Nava
LW5.68
29Luther Archimède
CF5.74
6Gedion Zelalem
CDM6.69
-Marlon Vargas
CAM
28Cullen Wilkerson
CM4.35
-Tyler Blackett
CB
-Taren Wente

Orange County SC

Starting 11
11Lyam MacKinnon
LW6.84
22Apolo Marinch
CF0.79
8Ousmane Sylla
CAM6.01
10Christopher Hegardt
CM7.02
25Efren Solis
MF1.33
2Grayson Patrick Doody
RB3.24
4Nico Benalcazar
CB7.03
5Tom Brewitt
CB6.81
15Tyson Espy
CB5.48
32Nicola Ciotta
RB4.28
-Tetsuya Kadono
GK
Substitutes
12Yaniv Bazini
CF6.20
23Brandon Cambridge
RW5.69
-Oliver Kurnik
MF
13Pedro Guimaraes
LB6.44
21Mouhamadou War
RB6.80
23Ryan Doghman
LB6.49
1Alexander Rando
GK6.86
Ratings based on player performance in recent matches

compareTeam Comparison

Based on 10 / 11 matches
New MexicovsOrange County SC

radarTeam Profile

New Mexico
Orange County SC
AttackDefensePossessionEfficiencyCreativityDiscipline
sports_soccer
32Attack24
shield
44Defense55
swap_horiz
49Possession32
gps_fixed
59Efficiency78
auto_fix_high
32Creativity16
gavel
28Discipline43

sports_soccerGoals & Scoring

11Goals Scored14
12Goals Conceded10
3Clean Sheets5
19Big Chances14
12Big Chances Missed6
1Penalty Goals0

gps_fixedShooting

116Total Shots111
41Shots on Target38

swap_horizPassing & Possession

53.7%Avg Possession44.5%
4,155Total Passes3,889
83.6%Pass Accuracy77.9%

shieldDefending

102Tackles135
76Interceptions72
39Saves26
46.8%Duels Won52.2%

gavelDiscipline

141Fouls142
34Yellow Cards20
0Red Cards1
19Offsides17

analyticsOther

45Corners36
44Successful Dribbles52
3Errors Leading to Goal2
6.73Avg Rating6.81

history Recent Form

New MexicoNew Mexico
1.4 GPG
D
W
L
W
D
Orange County SCOrange County SC
1.7 GPG
W
D
L
D
W

group Head to Head

PL5 Apr 2026
Orange County SC
0-1
New Mexico United
PL9 Nov 2025
New Mexico United
2-1
Orange County SC
PL12 Oct 2025
New Mexico United
3-3
Orange County SC
PL18 May 2025
Orange County SC
0-3
New Mexico United
PL20 Oct 2024
Orange County SC
0-0
New Mexico United
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
50%
Both Team Score

Head-to-Head Detailed

Over 1.5 Goals
75%
9 / 12 matches
Over 2.5 Goals
50%
6 / 12 matches
Over 3.5 Goals
25%
3 / 12 matches
Both Teams to Score
50%
6 / 12 matches
New Mexico CS
33%
Clean Sheets
Orange County SC CS
25%
Clean Sheets

Recent Matches

5 Apr 2026
Orange County SC
0 - 1
New Mexico United
9 Nov 2025
New Mexico United
2 - 1
Orange County SC
12 Oct 2025
New Mexico United
3 - 3
Orange County SC
18 May 2025
Orange County SC
0 - 3
New Mexico United
20 Oct 2024
Orange County SC
0 - 0
New Mexico United
4 Jul 2024
New Mexico United
2 - 0
Orange County SC
30 Jul 2023
Orange County SC
1 - 0
New Mexico United
30 Apr 2023
New Mexico United
3 - 1
Orange County SC
5 Jun 2022
Orange County SC
1 - 2
New Mexico United
26 Mar 2022
New Mexico United
1 - 1
Orange County SC
1 Sept 2019
New Mexico United
0 - 2
Orange County SC
24 Mar 2019
Orange County SC
2 - 2
New Mexico United

Current Form Comparison

Form (Overall)
New Mexico
1.40
Form (Overall)
Orange County SC
1.73

Orange County SC is +24% better in terms of Points Per Game

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3 - 2
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0 - 0
Lexington
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0 - 1
Orange County SC

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