Newcastle vs Bournemouth Prediction & Tips | Premier League | FootballTips.app

Newcastle

Newcastle

Home
4h
14:00
Premier League
Bournemouth

Bournemouth

Away
auto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified High Confidence
12.08
X3.85
23.47

Recommended Bet

Home Win
Stake: Low (5/10)
45
Opp. Value

Key Factors

League Rank: Home #14 vs Away #11
Season: Home 1.31 PPG vs Away 1.41 PPG
Recent Form (weighted): Home 1.05 PPG vs Away 1.60 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 1.81 GPG vs Away 1.56 GPG

donut_small Win Probabilities

40%
30%
30%
Newcastle
Draw
Bournemouth

Match Preview

Newcastle's wretched season went from bad to full blown crisis at Crystal Palace after a late collapse saw them suffer a seventh defeat in their last 10 Premier League games to leave them 14th in the table.

Despite their alarming situation, the Toon do still have an outside chance of European football, with the gap to seventh-place still just five points, but nothing less than a victory will be enough.

Bournemouth ended their five-match drawing run with one of the results of this season after they stunned leaders Arsenal to make it 12 top-flight games unbeaten.

The Cherries are have not lost any of their last six Premier League meetings against Newcastle, including a thumping 4-1 win in January 2025.

Lineups

Lineup Predictions & Ratings

Newcastle

Starting 11
-Nick Pope
GK6.67
-Lewis Hall
DL6.84
-Dan Burn
DC6.67
-Malick Thiaw
DC6.92
-Tino Livramento
DR6.70
-Sandro Tonali
DMC6.57
-Lewis Miley
DMC6.77
-Harvey Barnes
AML6.42
-Nick Woltemade
AMC6.62
-Anthony Elanga
AMR6.27
-Anthony Gordon
FW6.68

Bournemouth

Starting 11
-Djordje Petrovic
GK6.63
-Adrien Truffert
DL6.92
-Marcos Senesi
DC7.05
-James Hill
DC6.95
-Álex Jiménez
DR6.66
-Ryan Christie
DMC6.44
-Alex Scott
DMC6.86
-Marcus Tavernier
AML6.85
-Junior Kroupi
AMC6.59
-Rayan
AMR6.87
-Evanilson
FW6.61
Ratings based on player performance in recent matches

compareTeam Comparison

Based on 32 matches
NewcastlevsBournemouth

radarTeam Profile

Newcastle
Bournemouth
AttackDefensePossessionEfficiencyCreativityDiscipline
sports_soccer
43Attack47
shield
40Defense54
swap_horiz
57Possession51
gps_fixed
63Efficiency64
auto_fix_high
32Creativity35
gavel
54Discipline44

sports_soccerGoals & Scoring

45Goals Scored48
47Goals Conceded49
8Clean Sheets9
74Big Chances73
50Big Chances Missed44
6Penalty Goals4

gps_fixedShooting

416Total Shots442
149Shots on Target151

swap_horizPassing & Possession

52.9%Avg Possession50.3%
14,433Total Passes13,187
83.3%Pass Accuracy79.9%

shieldDefending

455Tackles552
230Interceptions313
91Saves96
50.6%Duels Won47.9%

gavelDiscipline

330Fouls385
55Yellow Cards74
3Red Cards1
43Offsides62

analyticsOther

208Corners178
222Successful Dribbles243
7Errors Leading to Goal3
6.81Avg Rating6.79

Statistical Comparison

NewcastleMetricBournemouth
45
Goals
48
26
Assists
28
6.5
Average Ratings
6.5
25.3
Average Age
24.2
185.5
Average Height (cm)
181.7
0.8
Shots pg
0.9
54%
Aerial Duel Success
46%
0.6
Dribbles pg
0.6
0.9
Tackles pg
1.3

history Recent Form

NewcastleNewcastle
1.3 GPG
L
L
W
W
L
BournemouthBournemouth
1.4 GPG
W
D
D
D
D

group Head to Head

PL10 Jan 2026
Newcastle United
3-3
AFC Bournemouth
PL21 Sept 2025
AFC Bournemouth
0-0
Newcastle United
PL18 Jan 2025
Newcastle United
1-4
AFC Bournemouth
PL25 Aug 2024
AFC Bournemouth
1-1
Newcastle United
PL17 Feb 2024
Newcastle United
2-2
AFC Bournemouth
53%
Over 2.5 Goals
71%
Both Team Score

Head-to-Head Detailed

Over 1.5 Goals
76%
13 / 17 matches
Over 2.5 Goals
53%
9 / 17 matches
Over 3.5 Goals
41%
7 / 17 matches
Both Teams to Score
71%
12 / 17 matches
Newcastle CS
18%
Clean Sheets
Bournemouth CS
18%
Clean Sheets

Recent Matches

10 Jan 2026
Newcastle United
3 - 3
AFC Bournemouth
21 Sept 2025
AFC Bournemouth
0 - 0
Newcastle United
18 Jan 2025
Newcastle United
1 - 4
AFC Bournemouth
25 Aug 2024
AFC Bournemouth
1 - 1
Newcastle United
17 Feb 2024
Newcastle United
2 - 2
AFC Bournemouth
11 Nov 2023
AFC Bournemouth
2 - 0
Newcastle United
11 Feb 2023
AFC Bournemouth
1 - 1
Newcastle United
20 Dec 2022
Newcastle United
1 - 0
AFC Bournemouth
17 Sept 2022
Newcastle United
1 - 1
AFC Bournemouth
1 Jul 2020
AFC Bournemouth
1 - 4
Newcastle United
9 Nov 2019
Newcastle United
2 - 1
AFC Bournemouth
16 Mar 2019
AFC Bournemouth
2 - 2
Newcastle United

Current Form Comparison

Form (Overall)
Newcastle
1.31
Form (Overall)
Bournemouth
1.41

Bournemouth is +8% better in terms of Points Per Game

Crystal Palace
2 - 1
Newcastle United
Newcastle United
1 - 2
Sunderland
Chelsea
0 - 1
Newcastle United
Newcastle United
2 - 1
Manchester United
Newcastle United
2 - 3
Everton
Arsenal
1 - 2
AFC Bournemouth
AFC Bournemouth
2 - 2
Manchester United
Burnley
0 - 0
AFC Bournemouth
AFC Bournemouth
0 - 0
Brentford
AFC Bournemouth
1 - 1
Sunderland

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