Newcastle vs Bournemouth Prediction & Tips | Premier League | FootballTips.app

Newcastle

Newcastle

Home
Full Time
2 - 2
HT: 1 - 2
Saturday 5 September
Bournemouth

Bournemouth

Away
NewcastleTimelineBournemouth
1st Half
Tavernier M.
sports_soccer
9'
Elanga A.
28'
Thiaw M.
sports_soccer
35'
Barnes H. (Hall L.)
sports_soccer
37'
2nd Half
Wissa Y.
57'
Fernandez-Pardo M.Out: Willock J.
sync_alt
63'
Ramsey J.Out: Miley L.
sync_alt
63'
Kluivert J.
66'
Jaissle M.
71'
Brooks D.Out: Kluivert J.
sync_alt
76'
Cook L.Out: Adams T.
sync_alt
76'
Steur S.Out: Nico
sync_alt
77'
Murphy J.Out: Elanga A.
sync_alt
77'
Truffert A.
87'
Ramsey J.
sports_soccer
88'
Jebbison D.Out: Tavernier M.
sync_alt
89'
Gannon-Doak B.Out: Rayan
sync_alt
89'
Livramento V.Out: Hall L.
sync_alt
90'
Smith A.
90+4'
Christie R.Out: Scott A.
sync_alt
90+6'

Top stats

0.71Expected goals (xG)1.37
58%Ball possession42%
8Total shots17
2Shots on target5
1Big chances2
4Corner kicks3
82% (377/459)Passes76% (256/335)
2Yellow cards3

Shots

0.71Expected goals (xG)1.37
1.67xG on target (xGOT)2.00
8Total shots17
2Shots on target5
4Shots off target5
2Blocked shots7
5Shots inside the box9
3Shots outside the box8
0Hit the woodwork1

Attack

1Big chances2
4Corner kicks3
20Touches in opposition box23
0Accurate through passes0
1Offsides1
17Free kicks19

Passes

82% (377/459)Passes76% (256/335)
41% (26/63)Long passes38% (18/47)
70% (64/92)Passes in final third61% (60/99)
18% (2/11)Crosses17% (2/12)
0.61Expected assists (xA)0.25
18Throw ins16

Defense

19Fouls17
40% (2/5)Tackles42% (5/12)
55Duels won61
13Clearances22
6Interceptions8
4Errors leading to shot0
0Errors leading to goal0

Goalkeeping

4Goalkeeper saves0
2.00xGOT faced1.67
1.00Goals prevented-0.33
7Goal kicks7
auto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified High Confidence
12.12
X3.87
23.18

Recommended Bet

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Away Win
Odds: 3.00Stake: Low (4/10)
39
Opp. Value

Key Factors

League Rank: Home #7 vs Away #14
Season: Home 1.50 PPG vs Away 1.60 PPG
Recent Form (weighted): Home 2.09 PPG vs Away 0.55 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 1.83 GPG vs Away 1.83 GPG

donut_small Win Probabilities

43%
25%
32%
Newcastle
Draw
Bournemouth
payments

Value Comparison

OutcomeMarket OddsTrue Odds (AI)Value
Over 2.5 Goals1.531.76-13.0%
Newcastle United Win2.082.32-10.4%
Draw3.603.95-8.9%
AFC Bournemouth Win3.003.16-5.2%
BTTS - Yes1.481.76-15.8%

Fair Odds remove the bookmaker margin. Value is raw EV vs market odds; hover a badge for the edge vs fair odds.

Lineup Predictions & Ratings

Newcastle

Starting 11
-Lukás Hornícek
GK7.28
-Lewis Hall
DL7.90
-Sven Botman
DC6.48
-Malick Thiaw
DC6.50
-Amar Dedic
DR7.24
-Nico González
DMC6.49
-Lewis Miley
DMC7.00
-Harvey Barnes
AML6.52
-Joe Willock
AMC6.82
-Anthony Elanga
AMR7.56
-Yoane Wissa
FW7.08

Bournemouth

Starting 11
-Djordje Petrovic
GK7.00
-Adrien Truffert
DL7.10
-António Silva
DC6.68
-James Hill
DC6.70
-Adam Smith
DR6.31
-Alex Scott
DMC7.28
-Lewis Cook
DMC6.55
-Marcus Tavernier
AML7.08
-Justin Kluivert
AMC6.92
-Rayan
AMR6.30
-Evanilson
FW7.12
Ratings based on player performance in recent matches

Match Preview

Newcastle are already firmly on track under new boss Matthias Jaissle after backing up their opening-day draw against Liverpool with a fine 2-0 win at Tottenham.

The Toon have won just two of their 10 Premier League meetings with Bournemouth (D5 L3) and have lost their last two at St James' Park.

Bournemouth put their first point on the board at Everton last weekend, but they are yet to really catch fire under Marco Rose.

The Cherries have only lost one top-flight game on their travels in 2026 — and that came at Manchester City in their first game of this season.

compareTeam Comparison

Based on 2 matches
NewcastlevsBournemouth
2.00Goals / Match1.00
1.00Conceded / Match1.50
1Clean Sheets0
3.00Shots on Target / Match4.50
40.5%Possession %46.5%
80.4%Pass Accuracy %80.8%

sports_soccerGoals & Scoring

4Goals Scored2
2Goals Conceded3
1Clean Sheets0
4Big Chances7
2Big Chances Missed6

gps_fixedShooting

24Total Shots22
6Shots on Target9

swap_horizPassing & Possession

40.5%Avg Possession46.5%
669Total Passes797
80.4%Pass Accuracy80.8%

shieldDefending

31Tackles34
7Interceptions22
9Saves9
51.1%Duels Won51.3%

gavelDiscipline

25Fouls22
7Yellow Cards5
3Offsides1

analyticsOther

9Corners13
10Successful Dribbles7
7.75Avg Rating7.21

Statistical Comparison

NewcastleMetricBournemouth
4
Goals
2
4
Assists
2
6.7
Average Ratings
6.5
24.8
Average Age
25.7
184.1
Average Height (cm)
181.4
1.2
Shots pg
1.6
52%
Aerial Duel Success
54%
0.8
Dribbles pg
0.8
1.6
Tackles pg
1.6

history Recent Form

NewcastleNewcastle
1.5 GPG
W
D
BournemouthBournemouth
1.6 GPG
D
L

group Head to Head

PL18 Apr 2026
Newcastle United
1-2
AFC Bournemouth
PL10 Jan 2026
Newcastle United
3-3
AFC Bournemouth
PL21 Sept 2025
AFC Bournemouth
0-0
Newcastle United
PL18 Jan 2025
Newcastle United
1-4
AFC Bournemouth
PL25 Aug 2024
AFC Bournemouth
1-1
Newcastle United
56%
Over 2.5 Goals
72%
Both Team Score

Head-to-Head Detailed

Over 1.5 Goals
78%
14 / 18 matches
Over 2.5 Goals
56%
10 / 18 matches
Over 3.5 Goals
39%
7 / 18 matches
Both Teams to Score
72%
13 / 18 matches
Newcastle CS
17%
Clean Sheets
Bournemouth CS
17%
Clean Sheets

Recent Matches

18 Apr 2026
Newcastle United
1 - 2
AFC Bournemouth
10 Jan 2026
Newcastle United
3 - 3
AFC Bournemouth
21 Sept 2025
AFC Bournemouth
0 - 0
Newcastle United
18 Jan 2025
Newcastle United
1 - 4
AFC Bournemouth
25 Aug 2024
AFC Bournemouth
1 - 1
Newcastle United
17 Feb 2024
Newcastle United
2 - 2
AFC Bournemouth
11 Nov 2023
AFC Bournemouth
2 - 0
Newcastle United
11 Feb 2023
AFC Bournemouth
1 - 1
Newcastle United
20 Dec 2022
Newcastle United
1 - 0
AFC Bournemouth
17 Sept 2022
Newcastle United
1 - 1
AFC Bournemouth
1 Jul 2020
AFC Bournemouth
1 - 4
Newcastle United
9 Nov 2019
Newcastle United
2 - 1
AFC Bournemouth

Current Form Comparison

Form (Overall)
Newcastle
1.50
Form (Overall)
Bournemouth
1.60

Bournemouth is +7% better in terms of Points Per Game

Tottenham Hotspur
0 - 2
Newcastle United
Newcastle United
2 - 2
Liverpool
AFC Bournemouth
1 - 1
Everton
Manchester City
2 - 1
AFC Bournemouth

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