Newcastle vs Brighton Prediction & Tips | Premier League | FootballTips.app
Newcastle
HomeFull Time
3 - 1
HT: 2 - 0
Saturday 2 May
Brighton
Awayauto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified Very High Confidence
12.63
X3.70
22.66
Recommended Bet
Away Win
Stake: High (9/10)
93
Opp. Value
Key Factors
League Rank: Home #15 vs Away #6
Season: Home 1.24 PPG vs Away 1.47 PPG
Recent Form (weighted): Home 0.30 PPG vs Away 2.50 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 1.76 GPG vs Away 1.24 GPG
donut_small Win Probabilities
18%
20%
62%
Newcastle
Draw
Brighton
Match Preview
Newcastle suffered a fourth defeat on the bounce at Arsenal last weekend and are now staring down the barrel at their worst Premier League finish since they were relegated 10 years ago.
The Toon lost just five top-flight home games throughout the whole of last season, but they've already matched that number in 2026 in what has been a miserable time for the club.
Brighton are heading in the opposite direction and find themselves in an excellent position to qualify for Europe for just the second time ever.
The Seagulls head to St James' Park five games unbeaten and have dropped just two points in that period.
Lineups
Lineup Predictions & Ratings
Newcastle
Starting 11
-Nick Pope
GK6.64
-Lewis Hall
DL6.81
-Sven Botman
DC6.79
-Malick Thiaw
DC6.90
-Kieran Trippier
DR6.58
-Sandro Tonali
MC6.57
-Bruno Guimarães
MC7.16
-Joelinton
MC6.77
-Harvey Barnes
FWL6.40
-William Osula
FW6.23
-Anthony Elanga
FWR6.26
Brighton
Starting 11
-Bart Verbruggen
GK6.62
-Ferdi Kadioglu
DL6.71
-Olivier Boscagli
DC6.80
-Jan Paul van Hecke
DC7.02
-Mats Wieffer
DR6.92
-Pascal Groß
MC7.07
-Carlos Baleba
MC6.30
-Jack Hinshelwood
MC6.41
-Kaoru Mitoma
FWL6.63
-Danny Welbeck
FW6.59
-Yankuba Minteh
FWR6.90
Ratings based on player performance in recent matches
compareTeam Comparison
Based on 34 / 19 matchesNewcastlevsBrighton
radarTeam Profile
Newcastle
Brighton
sports_soccer
41Attack37
shield
39Defense59
swap_horiz
57Possession53
gps_fixed
61Efficiency71
auto_fix_high
30Creativity42
gavel
54Discipline63
sports_soccerGoals & Scoring
46Goals Scored24
50Goals Conceded24
8Clean Sheets6
78Big Chances42
53Big Chances Missed29
6Penalty Goals0
gps_fixedShooting
441Total Shots210
155Shots on Target85
swap_horizPassing & Possession
53.0%Avg Possession49.3%
15,355Total Passes8,472
83.2%Pass Accuracy80.0%
shieldDefending
484Tackles353
244Interceptions152
95Saves63
50.5%Duels Won52.2%
gavelDiscipline
351Fouls190
59Yellow Cards32
3Red Cards0
45Offsides39
analyticsOther
212Corners81
232Successful Dribbles155
7Errors Leading to Goal4
6.81Avg Rating6.84
Statistical Comparison
NewcastleMetricBrighton
46
Goals
47
26
Assists
30
6.5
Average Ratings
6.5
26.9
Average Age
26.3
183
Average Height (cm)
182.6
0.8
Shots pg
0.8
54%
Aerial Duel Success
51%
0.4
Dribbles pg
0.5
1
Tackles pg
1.2
history Recent Form
NewcastleL
L
L
L
W
BrightonW
D
W
W
W
group Head to Head
PL18 Oct 2025
2-1
PL4 May 2025
1-1
PL2 Mar 2025
1-2
PL19 Oct 2024
0-1
PL11 May 2024
1-1
39%
Over 2.5 Goals
48%
Both Team Score
Head-to-Head Detailed
Over 1.5 Goals
65%
15 / 23 matches
Over 2.5 Goals
39%
9 / 23 matches
Over 3.5 Goals
9%
2 / 23 matches
Both Teams to Score
48%
11 / 23 matches
Newcastle CS
22%
Clean Sheets
Brighton CS
48%
Clean Sheets
Recent Matches
18 Oct 2025
Brighton & Hove Albion
2 - 1
Newcastle United
4 May 2025
Brighton & Hove Albion
1 - 1
Newcastle United
2 Mar 2025
Newcastle United
1 - 2
Brighton & Hove Albion
19 Oct 2024
Newcastle United
0 - 1
Brighton & Hove Albion
11 May 2024
Newcastle United
1 - 1
Brighton & Hove Albion
2 Sept 2023
Brighton & Hove Albion
3 - 1
Newcastle United
29 Jul 2023
Brighton & Hove Albion
1 - 2
Newcastle United
18 May 2023
Newcastle United
4 - 1
Brighton & Hove Albion
13 Aug 2022
Brighton & Hove Albion
0 - 0
Newcastle United
5 Mar 2022
Newcastle United
2 - 1
Brighton & Hove Albion
6 Nov 2021
Brighton & Hove Albion
1 - 1
Newcastle United
20 Mar 2021
Brighton & Hove Albion
3 - 0
Newcastle United
Current Form Comparison
Form (Overall)
1.24
Form (Overall)
1.47
Brighton is +19% better in terms of Points Per Game
Arsenal
1 - 0
Newcastle United
Newcastle United
1 - 2
AFC Bournemouth
Crystal Palace
2 - 1
Newcastle United
Newcastle United
1 - 2
Sunderland
Chelsea
0 - 1
Newcastle United
Brighton & Hove Albion
3 - 0
Chelsea
Tottenham Hotspur
2 - 2
Brighton & Hove Albion
Burnley
0 - 2
Brighton & Hove Albion
Brighton & Hove Albion
2 - 1
Liverpool
Sunderland
0 - 1
Brighton & Hove Albion
auto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified Very High Confidence
12.63
X3.70
22.66
Recommended Bet
Away Win
Stake: High (9/10)
93
Opp. Value
Key Factors
League Rank: Home #15 vs Away #6
Season: Home 1.24 PPG vs Away 1.47 PPG
Recent Form (weighted): Home 0.30 PPG vs Away 2.50 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 1.76 GPG vs Away 1.24 GPG
Match Preview
Newcastle suffered a fourth defeat on the bounce at Arsenal last weekend and are now staring down the barrel at their worst Premier League finish since they were relegated 10 years ago.
The Toon lost just five top-flight home games throughout the whole of last season, but they've already matched that number in 2026 in what has been a miserable time for the club.
Brighton are heading in the opposite direction and find themselves in an excellent position to qualify for Europe for just the second time ever.
The Seagulls head to St James' Park five games unbeaten and have dropped just two points in that period.
compareTeam Comparison
Based on 34 / 19 matchesNewcastlevsBrighton
radarTeam Profile
Newcastle
Brighton
sports_soccer
41Attack37
shield
39Defense59
swap_horiz
57Possession53
gps_fixed
61Efficiency71
auto_fix_high
30Creativity42
gavel
54Discipline63
sports_soccerGoals & Scoring
46Goals Scored24
50Goals Conceded24
8Clean Sheets6
78Big Chances42
53Big Chances Missed29
6Penalty Goals0
gps_fixedShooting
441Total Shots210
155Shots on Target85
swap_horizPassing & Possession
53.0%Avg Possession49.3%
15,355Total Passes8,472
83.2%Pass Accuracy80.0%
shieldDefending
484Tackles353
244Interceptions152
95Saves63
50.5%Duels Won52.2%
gavelDiscipline
351Fouls190
59Yellow Cards32
3Red Cards0
45Offsides39
analyticsOther
212Corners81
232Successful Dribbles155
7Errors Leading to Goal4
6.81Avg Rating6.84
history Recent Form
NewcastleL
L
L
L
W
BrightonW
D
W
W
W
Head-to-Head Detailed
Over 1.5 Goals
65%
15 / 23 matches
Over 2.5 Goals
39%
9 / 23 matches
Over 3.5 Goals
9%
2 / 23 matches
Both Teams to Score
48%
11 / 23 matches
Newcastle CS
22%
Clean Sheets
Brighton CS
48%
Clean Sheets
Recent Matches
18 Oct 2025
Brighton & Hove Albion
2 - 1
Newcastle United
4 May 2025
Brighton & Hove Albion
1 - 1
Newcastle United
2 Mar 2025
Newcastle United
1 - 2
Brighton & Hove Albion
19 Oct 2024
Newcastle United
0 - 1
Brighton & Hove Albion
11 May 2024
Newcastle United
1 - 1
Brighton & Hove Albion
2 Sept 2023
Brighton & Hove Albion
3 - 1
Newcastle United
29 Jul 2023
Brighton & Hove Albion
1 - 2
Newcastle United
18 May 2023
Newcastle United
4 - 1
Brighton & Hove Albion
13 Aug 2022
Brighton & Hove Albion
0 - 0
Newcastle United
5 Mar 2022
Newcastle United
2 - 1
Brighton & Hove Albion
6 Nov 2021
Brighton & Hove Albion
1 - 1
Newcastle United
20 Mar 2021
Brighton & Hove Albion
3 - 0
Newcastle United
donut_small Win Probabilities
18%
20%
62%
Newcastle
Draw
Brighton
Lineups
Lineup Predictions & Ratings
Newcastle
Starting 11
-Nick Pope
GK6.64
-Lewis Hall
DL6.81
-Sven Botman
DC6.79
-Malick Thiaw
DC6.90
-Kieran Trippier
DR6.58
-Sandro Tonali
MC6.57
-Bruno Guimarães
MC7.16
-Joelinton
MC6.77
-Harvey Barnes
FWL6.40
-William Osula
FW6.23
-Anthony Elanga
FWR6.26
Brighton
Starting 11
-Bart Verbruggen
GK6.62
-Ferdi Kadioglu
DL6.71
-Olivier Boscagli
DC6.80
-Jan Paul van Hecke
DC7.02
-Mats Wieffer
DR6.92
-Pascal Groß
MC7.07
-Carlos Baleba
MC6.30
-Jack Hinshelwood
MC6.41
-Kaoru Mitoma
FWL6.63
-Danny Welbeck
FW6.59
-Yankuba Minteh
FWR6.90
Ratings based on player performance in recent matches
Statistical Comparison
NewcastleMetricBrighton
46
Goals
47
26
Assists
30
6.5
Average Ratings
6.5
26.9
Average Age
26.3
183
Average Height (cm)
182.6
0.8
Shots pg
0.8
54%
Aerial Duel Success
51%
0.4
Dribbles pg
0.5
1
Tackles pg
1.2
group Head to Head
PL18 Oct 2025
2-1
PL4 May 2025
1-1
PL2 Mar 2025
1-2
PL19 Oct 2024
0-1
PL11 May 2024
1-1
39%
Over 2.5 Goals
48%
Both Team Score
Current Form Comparison
Form (Overall)
1.24
Form (Overall)
1.47
Brighton is +19% better in terms of Points Per Game
Arsenal
1 - 0
Newcastle United
Newcastle United
1 - 2
AFC Bournemouth
Crystal Palace
2 - 1
Newcastle United
Newcastle United
1 - 2
Sunderland
Chelsea
0 - 1
Newcastle United
Brighton & Hove Albion
3 - 0
Chelsea
Tottenham Hotspur
2 - 2
Brighton & Hove Albion
Burnley
0 - 2
Brighton & Hove Albion
Brighton & Hove Albion
2 - 1
Liverpool
Sunderland
0 - 1
Brighton & Hove Albion
Weekly Newsletter
Subscribe for Betting Tips
Get exclusive predictions delivered to your inbox.
Join our community of smart bettors. Get exclusive predictions, value picks, and statistical analysis delivered straight to your inbox.
Free Weekly Tips
Value Opportunities