Newcastle vs Everton Prediction & Tips | Premier League | FootballTips.app

Newcastle

Newcastle

Home
Full Time
2 - 3
HT: 1 - 2
Saturday 28 February
Everton

Everton

Away
NewcastleTimelineEverton
1st Half
Branthwaite J. (Garner J.)
sports_soccer
19'
Ramsey J. (Tonali S.)
sports_soccer
32'
Beto
sports_soccer
34'
2nd Half
Willock J.Out: Ramsey J.
sync_alt
46'
Dewsbury-Hall K.
53'
Murphy J.Out: Elanga A.
sync_alt
56'
Barnes H.Out: Woltemade N.
sync_alt
56'
Willock J.
61'
Garner J.
67'
Barry T.Out: Beto
sync_alt
74'
Wissa Y.Out: Trippier K.
sync_alt
75'
Armstrong H.Out: McNeil D.
sync_alt
81'
Murphy J. (Joelinton)
sports_soccer
82'
Barry T.Assist: Dewsbury-Hall K.
sports_soccer
83'
Osula W.Out: Gordon A.
sync_alt
86'
Burn D.
88'
Keane M.Out: Dewsbury-Hall K.
sync_alt
89'
Barry T.
90+5'
Hall L.
90+5'

Top stats

1.03Expected goals (xG)2.13
66%Ball possession34%
17Total shots9
7Shots on target5
1Big chances3
7Corner kicks2
87% (510/587)Passes74% (231/311)
3Yellow cards3

Shots

1.03Expected goals (xG)2.13
0.68xG on target (xGOT)2.87
17Total shots9
7Shots on target5
6Shots off target3
4Blocked shots1
7Shots inside the box5
10Shots outside the box4
1Hit the woodwork1
0Headed goals1

Attack

1Big chances3
7Corner kicks2
32Touches in opposition box11
0Accurate through passes0
0Offsides4
7Free kicks15

Passes

87% (510/587)Passes74% (231/311)
32% (10/31)Long passes35% (18/51)
80% (182/227)Passes in final third61% (54/89)
13% (4/30)Crosses50% (2/4)
0.68Expected assists (xA)0.91
27Throw ins13

Defense

15Fouls7
38% (5/13)Tackles52% (14/27)
48Duels won80
11Clearances41
5Interceptions9
1Errors leading to shot0
2Errors leading to goal0

Goalkeeping

2Goalkeeper saves4
2.87xGOT faced0.68
-0.13Goals prevented-1.32
auto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified Very High Confidence
11.74
X4.12
24.71

Recommended Bet

cancel
Home Win
Stake: Medium (6/10)
57
Opp. Value

Key Factors

League Rank: Home #11 vs Away #9
Season: Home 1.33 PPG vs Away 1.37 PPG
Recent Form (weighted): Home 0.75 PPG vs Away 0.85 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 1.85 GPG vs Away 1.00 GPG

donut_small Win Probabilities

54%
24%
22%
Newcastle
Draw
Everton

Lineup Predictions & Ratings

Newcastle

Starting 11
-Nick Pope
GK6.73
-Lewis Hall
DL6.88
-Dan Burn
DC6.68
-Malick Thiaw
DC6.95
-Kieran Trippier
DR6.61
-Sandro Tonali
DMC6.56
-Joelinton
DMC6.78
-Harvey Barnes
AML6.47
-Nick Woltemade
AMC6.65
-Anthony Elanga
AMR6.24
-Anthony Gordon
FW6.60

Everton

Starting 11
-Jordan Pickford
GK6.64
-Vitalii Mykolenko
DL6.68
-Michael Keane
DC6.97
-James Tarkowski
DC7.12
-James Garner
DR7.17
-Idrissa Gueye
DMC6.56
-Tim Iroegbunam
DMC6.48
-Iliman Ndiaye
AML7.05
-Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall
AMC6.92
-Harrison Armstrong
AMR6.32
-Thierno Barry
FW6.46
Ratings based on player performance in recent matches

Match Preview

Newcastle United will take on Everton in a Premier League clash at St.

James' Park on February 28, 2026 GMT.

The home side, Newcastle United, currently sits in the 11th position in the standings with 36 points, closely followed by Everton in 9th place with 37 points.

Looking at their recent records, Newcastle United has secured 3 wins in their last 6 home matches in the league, while Everton has also recorded 3 wins in their previous 6 away matches across all competitions.

As both teams strive for a positive result, this match is poised to be an intriguing battle between two evenly matched sides.

Our algorithm predicts that there will be Over 2.5 goals scored in this encounter.

Newcastle might have got their season back on track with FA Cup and Champions League progression, but Premier League wins are still hard to come by - with the victory at Tottenham their only three points since early-January.

The Toon have won just three of their last seven top-flight home games, which is an unusually poor run for Eddie Howe's side.

Everton will almost be relieved to be playing on the road after their desperate home form continued following Monday's slender defeat to Manchester United.

All of the Toffees' last three Premier League wins have come on their travels and they won their last trip to St James' Park on the final day of the 2024-2025 campaign.

compareTeam Comparison

Based on 27 matches
NewcastlevsEverton
1.41Goals / Match1.07
1.44Conceded / Match1.15
7Clean Sheets9
4.63Shots on Target / Match3.30
53.0%Possession %44.0%
83.6%Pass Accuracy %79.5%

radarTeam Profile

Newcastle
Everton
AttackDefensePossessionEfficiencyCreativityDiscipline
sports_soccer
44Attack27
shield
41Defense59
swap_horiz
58Possession40
gps_fixed
61Efficiency53
auto_fix_high
32Creativity27
gavel
58Discipline45

sports_soccerGoals & Scoring

38Goals Scored29
39Goals Conceded31
7Clean Sheets9
66Big Chances47
46Big Chances Missed30
5Penalty Goals2

gps_fixedShooting

357Total Shots298
125Shots on Target89

swap_horizPassing & Possession

53.0%Avg Possession44.0%
12,189Total Passes10,332
83.6%Pass Accuracy79.5%

shieldDefending

389Tackles483
191Interceptions222
75Saves72
50.8%Duels Won52.3%

gavelDiscipline

270Fouls290
44Yellow Cards51
2Red Cards4
42Offsides33

analyticsOther

185Corners121
188Successful Dribbles170
5Errors Leading to Goal5
6.82Avg Rating6.85

Statistical Comparison

NewcastleMetricEverton
38
Goals
27
20
Assists
21
6.5
Average Ratings
6.6
27.3
Average Age
27.2
185.2
Average Height (cm)
183.8
0.8
Shots pg
0.8
54%
Aerial Duel Success
55%
0.5
Dribbles pg
0.5
1
Tackles pg
1.5

League Standings Context

For Newcastle

PosTeamPWDLPts
10Fulham271141237
11Newcastle United271061136
12Sunderland2799936

For Everton

PosTeamPWDLPts
8Bournemouth27911738
9Everton271071037
10Fulham271141237

Advanced Stats (Avg per match)

54.5/ 99.9
Dangerous Attacks
51.2/ 99.3
38.0%
Shots on Target
30.0%
13.9
Total Shots
11.5
53.0%
Possession
45.0%

Team Performance (Avg)

1.8
Goals Scored / Match
1.1
1.3
Goals Conceded / Match
1.1

Head-to-Head Summary

2
Newcastle Wins
33%
2
Draws
33%
2
Everton Wins
33%
Total H2H Matches: 6

Recent Form Stats

MarketNewcastleEverton
Over 1.5 Goals
84%37/44
50%22/44
Over 2.5 Goals
68%30/44
20%9/44
Both Teams to Score
64%28/44
30%13/44
* Based on last 44 matches

Past Matches

Last 6: Newcastle

UCL
Newcastle United
3 - 2
Qarabag
EPL
Newcastle United
2 - 3
Brentford
EPL
Newcastle United
0 - 2
Aston Villa
UCL
Newcastle United
3 - 0
PSV Eindhoven
EFL
Newcastle United
0 - 2
Manchester City
FA
Newcastle United
2 - 2
Bournemouth

Home Games: Newcastle

UCL
Newcastle United
3 - 2
Qarabag
EPL
Newcastle United
2 - 3
Brentford
EPL
Newcastle United
0 - 2
Aston Villa
UCL
Newcastle United
3 - 0
PSV Eindhoven
EFL
Newcastle United
0 - 2
Manchester City
FA
Newcastle United
2 - 2
Bournemouth

Last 6: Everton

EPL
Fulham
1 - 2
Everton
EPL
Brighton
1 - 1
Everton
EPL
Aston Villa
0 - 1
Everton
EPL
Nottingham Forest
0 - 2
Everton
EPL
Burnley
0 - 0
Everton
EPL
Chelsea
2 - 0
Everton

Away Games: Everton

EPL
Fulham
1 - 2
Everton
EPL
Brighton
1 - 1
Everton
EPL
Aston Villa
0 - 1
Everton
EPL
Nottingham Forest
0 - 2
Everton
EPL
Burnley
0 - 0
Everton
EPL
Chelsea
2 - 0
Everton

history Recent Form

NewcastleNewcastle
1.3 GPG
L
W
L
L
L
EvertonEverton
1.4 GPG
L
L
W
D
D

group Head to Head

PL29 Nov 2025
Everton
1-4
Newcastle United
PL25 May 2025
Newcastle United
0-1
Everton
PL5 Oct 2024
Everton
0-0
Newcastle United
PL2 Apr 2024
Newcastle United
1-1
Everton
PL7 Dec 2023
Everton
3-0
Newcastle United
64%
Over 2.5 Goals
58%
Both Team Score

Head-to-Head Detailed

Over 1.5 Goals
73%
24 / 33 matches
Over 2.5 Goals
64%
21 / 33 matches
Over 3.5 Goals
36%
12 / 33 matches
Both Teams to Score
58%
19 / 33 matches
Newcastle CS
15%
Clean Sheets
Everton CS
33%
Clean Sheets

Recent Matches

29 Nov 2025
Everton
1 - 4
Newcastle United
25 May 2025
Newcastle United
0 - 1
Everton
5 Oct 2024
Everton
0 - 0
Newcastle United
2 Apr 2024
Newcastle United
1 - 1
Everton
7 Dec 2023
Everton
3 - 0
Newcastle United
27 Apr 2023
Everton
1 - 4
Newcastle United
19 Oct 2022
Newcastle United
1 - 0
Everton
17 Mar 2022
Everton
1 - 0
Newcastle United
8 Feb 2022
Newcastle United
3 - 1
Everton
30 Jan 2021
Everton
0 - 2
Newcastle United
1 Nov 2020
Newcastle United
2 - 1
Everton
21 Jan 2020
Everton
2 - 2
Newcastle United

Current Form Comparison

Form (Overall)
Newcastle
1.33
Form (Overall)
Everton
1.37

Everton is +3% better in terms of Points Per Game

Manchester City
2 - 1
Newcastle United
Tottenham Hotspur
1 - 2
Newcastle United
Newcastle United
2 - 3
Brentford
Liverpool
4 - 1
Newcastle United
Newcastle United
0 - 2
Aston Villa
Everton
0 - 1
Manchester United
Everton
1 - 2
AFC Bournemouth
Fulham
1 - 2
Everton
Brighton & Hove Albion
1 - 1
Everton
Everton
1 - 1
Leeds United

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