Newcastle vs Manchester City Prediction & Tips | FA Cup | FootballTips.app

Newcastle

Newcastle

Home
Full Time
1 - 3
HT: 1 - 1
Saturday 7 March
Manchester City

Manchester City

Away
NewcastleTimelineManchester City
1st Half
Barnes H. (Tonali S.)
sports_soccer
18'
Savinho (Doku J.)
sports_soccer
39'
2nd Half
Marmoush O.Assist: Nunes M.
sports_soccer
47'
Guardiola P.
54'
JoelintonOut: Elanga A.
sync_alt
62'
Wissa Y.Out: Osula W.
sync_alt
63'
Burn D.Out: Trippier K.
sync_alt
63'
Marmoush O. (Nunes M.)
sports_soccer
65'
Gordon A.Out: Woltemade N.
sync_alt
72'
Semenyo A.Out: Marmoush O.
sync_alt
73'
Joelinton
78'
Foden P.Out: Doku J.
sync_alt
79'
Cherki R.Out: Savinho
sync_alt
79'
Livramento V.Out: Hall L.
sync_alt
80'
Wissa Y.
90'

Top stats

1.14Expected goals (xG)3.43
37%Ball possession63%
11Total shots21
4Shots on target8
4Big chances7
3Corner kicks9
73% (222/303)Passes87% (455/522)
2Yellow cards0

Shots

1.14Expected goals (xG)3.43
0.68xG on target (xGOT)3.63
11Total shots21
4Shots on target8
5Shots off target7
2Blocked shots6
6Shots inside the box18
5Shots outside the box3
0Hit the woodwork0

Attack

4Big chances7
3Corner kicks9
15Touches in opposition box64
1Accurate through passes1
2Offsides0
16Free kicks12

Passes

73% (222/303)Passes87% (455/522)
26% (14/54)Long passes34% (12/35)
59% (47/80)Passes in final third82% (168/204)
17% (2/12)Crosses31% (5/16)
0.46Expected assists (xA)2.04
12Throw ins11

Defense

12Fouls16
75% (12/16)Tackles70% (7/10)
47Duels won46
28Clearances23
9Interceptions6
2Errors leading to shot2
0Errors leading to goal0

Goalkeeping

5Goalkeeper saves2
3.63xGOT faced0.68
0.63Goals prevented-0.32
auto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified Very High Confidence
13.09
X3.87
22.08

Recommended Bet

Away Win
Stake: High (10/10)
100
Opp. Value

Key Factors

Season: Home 1.50 PPG vs Away 2.60 PPG
Recent Form (weighted): Home 1.35 PPG vs Away 2.40 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 2.25 GPG vs Away 1.67 GPG
Defense (venue): Home 2.25 conc vs Away 1.00 conc

donut_small Win Probabilities

5%
4%
91%
Newcastle
Draw
Manchester City

Match Preview

In an FA Cup meeting between Newcastle United and Manchester City at St.

James' Park on March 7, 2026, both teams aim to advance in the competition.

Newcastle United has secured victories in 50% of their last 2 FA Cup matches and boasts a strong 58% home win rate this season.

Meanwhile, Manchester City comes into the match on a high note with 2 consecutive wins in the FA Cup and 3 wins in their last 6 away matches.

Additionally, in their head-to-head history, Newcastle United has struggled against Manchester City, losing 37 out of 53 matches this season.

Prediction: Manchester City to win by 0-3.

Lineups

Lineup Predictions & Ratings

Newcastle

Starting 11
-Nick Pope
GK
-Dan Burn
DL
-Sven Botman
DC
-Malick Thiaw
DC
-Kieran Trippier
DR
-Joe Willock
MC
-Sandro Tonali
MC
-Joelinton
MC
-Harvey Barnes
FWL
-Anthony Gordon
FW
-Anthony Elanga
FWR

Manchester City

Starting 11
-James Trafford
GK
-Rayan Aït-Nouri
DL
-Marc Guéhi
DC
-Abdukodir Khusanov
DC
-Matheus Nunes
DR
-Rico Lewis
DMC
-Nico González
DMC
-Savinho
AML
-Bernardo Silva
AMC
-Phil Foden
AMR
-Omar Marmoush
FW
Ratings based on player performance in recent matches

compareTeam Comparison

Based on 29 matches
NewcastlevsManchester City

radarTeam Profile

Newcastle
Manchester City
AttackDefensePossessionEfficiencyCreativityDiscipline
sports_soccer
45Attack72
shield
39Defense62
swap_horiz
58Possession85
gps_fixed
62Efficiency77
auto_fix_high
33Creativity75
gavel
53Discipline60

sports_soccerGoals & Scoring

42Goals Scored59
43Goals Conceded27
7Clean Sheets12
70Big Chances94
49Big Chances Missed60
6Penalty Goals3

gps_fixedShooting

386Total Shots418
137Shots on Target151

swap_horizPassing & Possession

53.2%Avg Possession59.6%
13,157Total Passes16,852
83.6%Pass Accuracy88.4%

shieldDefending

420Tackles438
205Interceptions232
81Saves75
50.3%Duels Won52.5%

gavelDiscipline

300Fouls293
49Yellow Cards54
3Red Cards0
42Offsides38

analyticsOther

194Corners155
204Successful Dribbles296
7Errors Leading to Goal3
6.81Avg Rating7.01

Statistical Comparison

NewcastleMetricManchester City
6
Goals
9
27.9
Average Age
24.5
184.7
Average Height (cm)
181.2

Advanced Stats (Avg per match)

54.6/ 100.5
Dangerous Attacks
62.8/ 113.2
38.0%
Shots on Target
38.0%
13.9
Total Shots
15.2
53.0%
Possession
61.0%

Team Performance (Avg)

1.8
Goals Scored / Match
2.2
1.4
Goals Conceded / Match
0.9

Head-to-Head Summary

1
Newcastle Wins
17%
1
Draws
17%
4
Manchester City Wins
67%
Total H2H Matches: 6

Recent Form Stats

MarketNewcastleManchester City
Over 1.5 Goals
85%39/46
87%40/46
Over 2.5 Goals
70%32/46
54%25/46
Both Teams to Score
65%30/46
46%21/46
* Based on last 46 matches

Past Matches

Last 6: Newcastle

EPL
Newcastle United
2 - 1
Manchester United
EPL
Newcastle United
2 - 3
Everton
UCL
Newcastle United
3 - 2
Qarabag
EPL
Newcastle United
2 - 3
Brentford
EPL
Newcastle United
0 - 2
Aston Villa
UCL
Newcastle United
3 - 0
PSV Eindhoven

Home Games: Newcastle

EPL
Newcastle United
2 - 1
Manchester United
EPL
Newcastle United
2 - 3
Everton
UCL
Newcastle United
3 - 2
Qarabag
EPL
Newcastle United
2 - 3
Brentford
EPL
Newcastle United
0 - 2
Aston Villa
UCL
Newcastle United
3 - 0
PSV Eindhoven

Last 6: Manchester City

EPL
Leeds United
0 - 1
Manchester City
EPL
Liverpool
1 - 2
Manchester City
EPL
Tottenham
2 - 2
Manchester City
UCL
Bodo/Glimt
3 - 1
Manchester City
EPL
Manchester United
2 - 0
Manchester City
EFL
Newcastle United
0 - 2
Manchester City

Away Games: Manchester City

EPL
Leeds United
0 - 1
Manchester City
EPL
Liverpool
1 - 2
Manchester City
EPL
Tottenham
2 - 2
Manchester City
UCL
Bodo/Glimt
3 - 1
Manchester City
EPL
Manchester United
2 - 0
Manchester City
EFL
Newcastle United
0 - 2
Manchester City

history Recent Form

NewcastleNewcastle
1.5 GPG
W
L
L
W
L
Manchester CityManchester City
2.6 GPG
D
W
W
W
W

group Head to Head

PL21 Feb 2026
Manchester City
2-1
Newcastle United
PL4 Feb 2026
Manchester City
3-1
Newcastle United
PL13 Jan 2026
Newcastle United
0-2
Manchester City
PL22 Nov 2025
Newcastle United
2-1
Manchester City
PL15 Feb 2025
Manchester City
4-0
Newcastle United
61%
Over 2.5 Goals
49%
Both Team Score

Head-to-Head Detailed

Over 1.5 Goals
93%
38 / 41 matches
Over 2.5 Goals
61%
25 / 41 matches
Over 3.5 Goals
46%
19 / 41 matches
Both Teams to Score
49%
20 / 41 matches
Newcastle CS
5%
Clean Sheets
Manchester City CS
46%
Clean Sheets

Recent Matches

21 Feb 2026
Manchester City
2 - 1
Newcastle United
4 Feb 2026
Manchester City
3 - 1
Newcastle United
13 Jan 2026
Newcastle United
0 - 2
Manchester City
22 Nov 2025
Newcastle United
2 - 1
Manchester City
15 Feb 2025
Manchester City
4 - 0
Newcastle United
28 Sept 2024
Newcastle United
1 - 1
Manchester City
16 Mar 2024
Manchester City
2 - 0
Newcastle United
13 Jan 2024
Newcastle United
2 - 3
Manchester City
27 Sept 2023
Newcastle United
1 - 0
Manchester City
19 Aug 2023
Manchester City
1 - 0
Newcastle United
4 Mar 2023
Manchester City
2 - 0
Newcastle United
21 Aug 2022
Newcastle United
3 - 3
Manchester City

Current Form Comparison

Form (Overall)
Newcastle
1.50
Form (Overall)
Manchester City
2.60

Manchester City is +73% better in terms of Points Per Game

Newcastle United
2 - 1
Manchester United
Newcastle United
2 - 3
Everton
Manchester City
2 - 1
Newcastle United
Tottenham Hotspur
1 - 2
Newcastle United
Newcastle United
2 - 3
Brentford
Manchester City
2 - 2
Nottingham Forest
Leeds United
0 - 1
Manchester City
Manchester City
2 - 1
Newcastle United
Manchester City
3 - 0
Fulham
Liverpool
1 - 2
Manchester City

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