Newcastle vs Manchester Utd Prediction & Tips | Premier League | FootballTips.app

Newcastle

Newcastle

Home
Full Time
2 - 1
HT: 1 - 1
Wednesday 4 March
Manchester Utd

Manchester Utd

Away
NewcastleTimelineManchester Utd
1st Half
Ramsey J.
26'
Mbeumo B.
37'
Joelinton
38'
Shaw L.
39'
Ramsey J.
45+1'
Gordon A.(Penalty)
sports_soccer
45+6'
Casemiro (Fernandes B.)
sports_soccer
45+9'
2nd Half
Willock J.Out: Barnes H.
sync_alt
46'
Ugarte M.Out: Shaw L.
sync_alt
61'
Dalot D.Out: Casemiro
sync_alt
61'
Mazraoui N.
64'
Diallo A.Out: Mainoo K.
sync_alt
76'
Zirkzee J.Out: Mbeumo B.
sync_alt
77'
Trippier K.
80'
Murphy J.Out: Elanga A.
sync_alt
84'
Osula W.Out: Gordon A.
sync_alt
85'
Malacia T.Out: Mazraoui N.
sync_alt
85'
Osula W.Assist: Trippier K.
sports_soccer
90'
Botman S.Out: Tonali S.
sync_alt
90+7'

Top stats

2.22Expected goals (xG)1.28
45%Ball possession55%
12Total shots14
5Shots on target5
2Big chances4
2Corner kicks4
77% (288/375)Passes82% (377/460)
4Yellow cards3
1Red cards0

Shots

2.22Expected goals (xG)1.28
2.24xG on target (xGOT)0.80
12Total shots14
5Shots on target5
6Shots off target4
1Blocked shots5
8Shots inside the box8
4Shots outside the box6
1Hit the woodwork0
0Headed goals1

Attack

2Big chances4
2Corner kicks4
23Touches in opposition box31
0Accurate through passes2
0Offsides0
16Free kicks15

Passes

77% (288/375)Passes82% (377/460)
43% (31/72)Long passes41% (19/46)
67% (72/108)Passes in final third74% (108/146)
40% (6/15)Crosses14% (2/14)
1.11Expected assists (xA)1.64
21Throw ins17

Defense

15Fouls16
76% (13/17)Tackles75% (9/12)
58Duels won52
33Clearances17
9Interceptions10
1Errors leading to shot2
0Errors leading to goal0

Goalkeeping

4Goalkeeper saves3
0.80xGOT faced2.24
-0.20Goals prevented0.24
auto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified Very High Confidence
12.65
X3.87
22.56

Recommended Bet

Away Win
Stake: High (10/10)
100
Opp. Value

Key Factors

League Rank: Home #13 vs Away #3
Season: Home 1.29 PPG vs Away 1.82 PPG
Recent Form (weighted): Home 0.60 PPG vs Away 2.60 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 1.86 GPG vs Away 1.64 GPG

donut_small Win Probabilities

15%
16%
69%
Newcastle
Draw
Manchester Utd

Match Preview

Newcastle United will take on Manchester United at St.

James' Park in the Premier League on March 4, 2026.

Newcastle United has secured 7 wins in 14 home matches in the league, while Manchester United comes in with 5 wins in their last 6 matches.

In their recent head-to-head clashes, Newcastle United has emerged victorious in 4 out of their last 6 encounters against Manchester United.

When it comes to scoring goals, Newcastle United has been consistent, scoring 2+ goals in 100% of their last 3 home matches, while Manchester United has found the back of the net with 2+ goals in 67% of their last 6 Premier League games.

With the prediction signaling that this match is likely to see Over 2.5 goals scored, both teams are expected to deliver an attacking performance.

Newcastle are going through their toughest spell under Eddie Howe after the Everton defeat was their fifth in their last six Premier League games.

The Toon are way down in 13th and the last thing they need right now is a visit from the most form team in the Premier League.

Manchester United continue to go from strength to strength under Michael Carrick after the comeback win over Crystal Palace made it 19 points from a possible 21 since his appointment.

The Red Devils have lost their last three trips to St James' Park and are winless here since a 4-1 victory back in October 2020.

Lineups

Lineup Predictions & Ratings

Newcastle

Starting 11
-Nick Pope
GK6.67
-Lewis Hall
DL6.87
-Dan Burn
DC6.64
-Malick Thiaw
DC6.92
-Kieran Trippier
DR6.56
-Sandro Tonali
MC6.56
-Joelinton
MC6.81
-Jacob Ramsey
MC6.41
-Harvey Barnes
FWL6.45
-Anthony Gordon
FW6.58
-Jacob Murphy
FWR6.53

Manchester Utd

Starting 11
-Senne Lammens
GK6.56
-Luke Shaw
DL6.60
-Leny Yoro
DC6.36
-Harry Maguire
DC6.68
-Diogo Dalot
DR6.85
-Casemiro
DMC7.03
-Kobbie Mainoo
DMC6.47
-Matheus Cunha
AML7.04
-Bruno Fernandes
AMC7.44
-Bryan Mbeumo
AMR6.96
-Benjamin Sesko
FW6.77
Ratings based on player performance in recent matches

compareTeam Comparison

Based on 28 matches
NewcastlevsManchester Utd

radarTeam Profile

Newcastle
Manchester Utd
AttackDefensePossessionEfficiencyCreativityDiscipline
sports_soccer
45Attack66
shield
39Defense44
swap_horiz
59Possession57
gps_fixed
61Efficiency66
auto_fix_high
33Creativity48
gavel
57Discipline65

sports_soccerGoals & Scoring

40Goals Scored50
42Goals Conceded38
7Clean Sheets5
67Big Chances80
47Big Chances Missed52
5Penalty Goals3

gps_fixedShooting

374Total Shots448
132Shots on Target162

swap_horizPassing & Possession

53.5%Avg Possession53.4%
12,776Total Passes13,257
83.8%Pass Accuracy82.9%

shieldDefending

402Tackles516
196Interceptions216
77Saves63
50.2%Duels Won50.9%

gavelDiscipline

285Fouls282
46Yellow Cards39
2Red Cards1
42Offsides46

analyticsOther

192Corners124
200Successful Dribbles185
7Errors Leading to Goal3
6.81Avg Rating6.89

Statistical Comparison

NewcastleMetricManchester Utd
40
Goals
48
22
Assists
35
6.5
Average Ratings
6.6
28
Average Age
26.4
183.6
Average Height (cm)
184.4
0.8
Shots pg
1.1
54%
Aerial Duel Success
49%
0.6
Dribbles pg
0.5
1
Tackles pg
1.1

League Standings Context

For Newcastle

PosTeamPWDLPts
12Brighton28910937
13Newcastle United281061236
14Crystal Palace28981135

For Manchester Utd

PosTeamPWDLPts
2Manchester City28185559
3Manchester United28149551
4Aston Villa28156751

Advanced Stats (Avg per match)

54.8/ 100.6
Dangerous Attacks
52.4/ 102.7
38.0%
Shots on Target
36.0%
14.0
Total Shots
16.4
53.0%
Possession
54.0%

Team Performance (Avg)

1.8
Goals Scored / Match
1.8
1.4
Goals Conceded / Match
1.4

Head-to-Head Summary

4
Newcastle Wins
67%
0
Draws
0%
2
Manchester Utd Wins
33%
Total H2H Matches: 6

Recent Form Stats

MarketNewcastleManchester Utd
Over 1.5 Goals
84%38/45
58%26/45
Over 2.5 Goals
69%31/45
40%18/45
Both Teams to Score
64%29/45
49%22/45
* Based on last 45 matches

Past Matches

Last 6: Newcastle

EPL
Newcastle United
2 - 3
Everton
UCL
Newcastle United
3 - 2
Qarabag
EPL
Newcastle United
2 - 3
Brentford
EPL
Newcastle United
0 - 2
Aston Villa
UCL
Newcastle United
3 - 0
PSV Eindhoven
EFL
Newcastle United
0 - 2
Manchester City

Home Games: Newcastle

EPL
Newcastle United
2 - 3
Everton
UCL
Newcastle United
3 - 2
Qarabag
EPL
Newcastle United
2 - 3
Brentford
EPL
Newcastle United
0 - 2
Aston Villa
UCL
Newcastle United
3 - 0
PSV Eindhoven
EFL
Newcastle United
0 - 2
Manchester City

Last 6: Manchester Utd

EPL
Everton
0 - 1
Manchester United
EPL
West Ham
1 - 1
Manchester United
EPL
Arsenal
2 - 3
Manchester United
EPL
Burnley
2 - 2
Manchester United
EPL
Leeds United
1 - 1
Manchester United
EPL
Aston Villa
2 - 1
Manchester United

Away Games: Manchester Utd

EPL
Everton
0 - 1
Manchester United
EPL
West Ham
1 - 1
Manchester United
EPL
Arsenal
2 - 3
Manchester United
EPL
Burnley
2 - 2
Manchester United
EPL
Leeds United
1 - 1
Manchester United
EPL
Aston Villa
2 - 1
Manchester United

history Recent Form

NewcastleNewcastle
1.3 GPG
L
L
W
L
L
Manchester UtdManchester Utd
1.8 GPG
W
W
D
W
W

group Head to Head

PL26 Dec 2025
Manchester United
1-0
Newcastle United
PL13 Apr 2025
Newcastle United
4-1
Manchester United
PL30 Dec 2024
Manchester United
0-2
Newcastle United
PL15 May 2024
Manchester United
3-2
Newcastle United
PL2 Dec 2023
Newcastle United
1-0
Manchester United
56%
Over 2.5 Goals
47%
Both Team Score

Head-to-Head Detailed

Over 1.5 Goals
75%
27 / 36 matches
Over 2.5 Goals
56%
20 / 36 matches
Over 3.5 Goals
39%
14 / 36 matches
Both Teams to Score
47%
17 / 36 matches
Newcastle CS
31%
Clean Sheets
Manchester Utd CS
31%
Clean Sheets

Recent Matches

26 Dec 2025
Manchester United
1 - 0
Newcastle United
13 Apr 2025
Newcastle United
4 - 1
Manchester United
30 Dec 2024
Manchester United
0 - 2
Newcastle United
15 May 2024
Manchester United
3 - 2
Newcastle United
2 Dec 2023
Newcastle United
1 - 0
Manchester United
1 Nov 2023
Manchester United
0 - 3
Newcastle United
2 Apr 2023
Newcastle United
2 - 0
Manchester United
26 Feb 2023
Manchester United
2 - 0
Newcastle United
16 Oct 2022
Manchester United
0 - 0
Newcastle United
27 Dec 2021
Newcastle United
1 - 1
Manchester United
11 Sept 2021
Manchester United
4 - 1
Newcastle United
21 Feb 2021
Manchester United
3 - 1
Newcastle United

Current Form Comparison

Form (Overall)
Newcastle
1.29
Form (Overall)
Manchester Utd
1.82

Manchester Utd is +41% better in terms of Points Per Game

Newcastle United
2 - 3
Everton
Manchester City
2 - 1
Newcastle United
Tottenham Hotspur
1 - 2
Newcastle United
Newcastle United
2 - 3
Brentford
Liverpool
4 - 1
Newcastle United
Manchester United
2 - 1
Crystal Palace
Everton
0 - 1
Manchester United
West Ham United
1 - 1
Manchester United
Manchester United
2 - 0
Tottenham Hotspur
Manchester United
3 - 2
Fulham

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