Newcastle vs Sunderland Prediction & Tips | Premier League | FootballTips.app

Newcastle

Newcastle

Home
Full Time
1 - 2
HT: 1 - 0
Sunday 22 March
Sunderland

Sunderland

Away
NewcastleTimelineSunderland
1st Half
Gordon A. (Woltemade N.)
sports_soccer
10'
Hume T.
44'
2nd Half
Thiaw M.Out: Botman S.
sync_alt
54'
Talbi C.
sports_soccer
57'
Murphy J.Out: Elanga A.
sync_alt
65'
Willock J.Out: Woltemade N.
sync_alt
65'
Livramento V.Out: Trippier K.
sync_alt
65'
Osula W.Out: Barnes H.
sync_alt
76'
Alderete O.
82'
Le Fee E.Out: Diarra H.
sync_alt
85'
Wissa Y.Out: Gordon A.
sync_alt
89'
Brobbey B. ()
sports_soccer
90'
Brobbey B.
90+1'
Mayenda E.Out: Brobbey B.
sync_alt
90+3'
Mandava R.Out: Talbi C.
sync_alt
90+3'
Sadiki N.
90+4'
Geertruida L.
90+4'
Mandava R.
90+9'

Top stats

1.28Expected goals (xG)2.45
60%Ball possession40%
16Total shots17
4Shots on target7
1Big chances3
9Corner kicks5
81% (324/398)Passes72% (184/257)
0Yellow cards6

Shots

1.28Expected goals (xG)2.45
0.55xG on target (xGOT)2.55
16Total shots17
4Shots on target7
8Shots off target5
4Blocked shots5
8Shots inside the box11
8Shots outside the box6
1Hit the woodwork0

Attack

1Big chances3
9Corner kicks5
22Touches in opposition box29
0Accurate through passes0
1Offsides0
19Free kicks8

Passes

81% (324/398)Passes72% (184/257)
33% (19/57)Long passes26% (14/54)
67% (73/109)Passes in final third67% (60/90)
32% (7/22)Crosses26% (6/23)
0.84Expected assists (xA)1.59
18Throw ins17

Defense

8Fouls19
69% (9/13)Tackles88% (14/16)
53Duels won39
38Clearances31
6Interceptions4
0Errors leading to shot0
0Errors leading to goal1

Goalkeeping

4Goalkeeper saves3
2.55xGOT faced0.55
0.55Goals prevented-0.45
auto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified Very High Confidence
11.70
X3.96
25.28

Recommended Bet

Home Win
Stake: Medium (8/10)
76
Opp. Value

Key Factors

League Rank: Home #11 vs Away #13
Season: Home 1.40 PPG vs Away 1.33 PPG
Recent Form (weighted): Home 1.95 PPG vs Away 0.95 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 1.87 GPG vs Away 0.53 GPG

donut_small Win Probabilities

68%
19%
13%
Newcastle
Draw
Sunderland

Match Preview

Newcastle boss Eddie Howe has called for a huge reaction to Wednesday's 7-2 thumping at Barcelona in the Champions League and this might just be the perfect game form to bounce back.

But the Toon have a dreadful recent record against their bitter rivals, failing to win any of their last 10 meetings (D3 L7) - with their last on home soil coming way back in October 2010.

Sunderland continue to slide down the Premier League table having dropped to 13th following four defeats in six and just three wins since before Christmas.

One of those victories was at Leeds last month, but that's their only triumph on the road since beating Chelsea in October.

Lineups

Lineup Predictions & Ratings

Newcastle

Starting 11
-Nick Pope
GK6.67
-Lewis Hall
DL6.85
-Dan Burn
DC6.62
-Malick Thiaw
DC6.93
-Kieran Trippier
DR6.61
-Joe Willock
MC6.26
-Joelinton
MC6.81
-Jacob Ramsey
MC6.38
-Harvey Barnes
FWL6.45
-Anthony Gordon
FW6.67
-Anthony Elanga
FWR6.28

Sunderland

Starting 11
-Melker Ellborg
GK7.04
-Trai Hume
DL6.64
-Dan Ballard
DC7.01
-Omar Alderete
DC6.96
-Lutsharel Geertruida
DR6.36
-Granit Xhaka
MC6.98
-Noah Sadiki
MC6.56
-Habib Diarra
MC6.40
-Enzo Le Fée
FWL6.69
-Eliezer Mayenda
FW6.31
-Chemsdine Talbi
FWR6.34
Ratings based on player performance in recent matches

compareTeam Comparison

Based on 30 matches
NewcastlevsSunderland

radarTeam Profile

Newcastle
Sunderland
AttackDefensePossessionEfficiencyCreativityDiscipline
sports_soccer
44Attack19
shield
42Defense53
swap_horiz
57Possession35
gps_fixed
64Efficiency57
auto_fix_high
32Creativity16
gavel
54Discipline53

sports_soccerGoals & Scoring

43Goals Scored30
43Goals Conceded35
8Clean Sheets9
71Big Chances48
49Big Chances Missed33
6Penalty Goals4

gps_fixedShooting

393Total Shots289
142Shots on Target95

swap_horizPassing & Possession

52.5%Avg Possession43.7%
13,488Total Passes11,128
83.4%Pass Accuracy78.8%

shieldDefending

436Tackles468
212Interceptions238
84Saves92
50.4%Duels Won50.2%

gavelDiscipline

310Fouls303
51Yellow Cards59
3Red Cards2
42Offsides47

analyticsOther

195Corners106
210Successful Dribbles162
7Errors Leading to Goal6
6.82Avg Rating6.78

Statistical Comparison

NewcastleMetricSunderland
43
Goals
27
24
Assists
18
6.5
Average Ratings
6.5
27.4
Average Age
24.4
183.4
Average Height (cm)
181.2
0.8
Shots pg
0.7
54%
Aerial Duel Success
50%
0.5
Dribbles pg
0.4
1
Tackles pg
1.2

history Recent Form

NewcastleNewcastle
1.4 GPG
W
W
L
L
W
SunderlandSunderland
1.3 GPG
L
W
D
L
L

group Head to Head

PL14 Dec 2025
Sunderland
1-0
Newcastle United
PL6 Jan 2024
Sunderland
0-3
Newcastle United
PL20 Mar 2016
Newcastle United
1-1
Sunderland
PL25 Oct 2015
Sunderland
3-0
Newcastle United
PL5 Apr 2015
Sunderland
1-0
Newcastle United
39%
Over 2.5 Goals
50%
Both Team Score

Head-to-Head Detailed

Over 1.5 Goals
78%
14 / 18 matches
Over 2.5 Goals
39%
7 / 18 matches
Over 3.5 Goals
6%
1 / 18 matches
Both Teams to Score
50%
9 / 18 matches
Newcastle CS
17%
Clean Sheets
Sunderland CS
33%
Clean Sheets

Recent Matches

14 Dec 2025
Sunderland
1 - 0
Newcastle United
6 Jan 2024
Sunderland
0 - 3
Newcastle United
20 Mar 2016
Newcastle United
1 - 1
Sunderland
25 Oct 2015
Sunderland
3 - 0
Newcastle United
5 Apr 2015
Sunderland
1 - 0
Newcastle United
21 Dec 2014
Newcastle United
0 - 1
Sunderland
1 Feb 2014
Newcastle United
0 - 3
Sunderland
27 Oct 2013
Sunderland
2 - 1
Newcastle United
14 Apr 2013
Newcastle United
0 - 3
Sunderland
21 Oct 2012
Sunderland
1 - 1
Newcastle United
4 Mar 2012
Newcastle United
1 - 1
Sunderland
20 Aug 2011
Sunderland
0 - 1
Newcastle United

Current Form Comparison

Form (Overall)
Newcastle
1.40
Form (Overall)
Sunderland
1.33

Newcastle is +5% better in terms of Points Per Game

Chelsea
0 - 1
Newcastle United
Newcastle United
2 - 1
Manchester United
Newcastle United
2 - 3
Everton
Manchester City
2 - 1
Newcastle United
Tottenham Hotspur
1 - 2
Newcastle United
Sunderland
0 - 1
Brighton & Hove Albion
Leeds United
0 - 1
Sunderland
AFC Bournemouth
1 - 1
Sunderland
Sunderland
1 - 3
Fulham
Sunderland
0 - 1
Liverpool

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