Newport vs Harrogate Prediction & Tips | League Two | FootballTips.app

Newport

Newport

Home
Full Time
2 - 1
HT: 1 - 1
Saturday 11 April
Harrogate

Harrogate

Away
NewportTimelineHarrogate
1st Half
Opoku N. (Lloyd B.)
sports_soccer
8'
Evans J. (Slater J.)
sports_soccer
39'
Evans J.
45'
2nd Half
Faulkner B.Out: Headman C.
sync_alt
57'
Thomas J.Assist: Crole J.
sports_soccer
57'
Evans C.
62'
Davies T.Out: Thomas J.
sync_alt
68'
Acquah E.Out: Brenan T.
sync_alt
70'
Cass L.Out: Slater J.
sync_alt
70'
Crole J.
83'
Kamwa B.Out: Opoku N.
sync_alt
84'
Brennan C.Out: Sprangler S.
sync_alt
84'
Jarvis C.Out: Crole J.
sync_alt
90+1'
Thomson G.Out: Taylor E.
sync_alt
90+4'

Top stats

1.01Expected goals (xG)0.69
48%Ball possession52%
11Total shots10
3Shots on target2
3Big chances1
8Corner kicks7
48% (119/249)Passes54% (149/275)
2Yellow cards1

Shots

1.01Expected goals (xG)0.69
1.39xG on target (xGOT)0.92
11Total shots10
3Shots on target2
4Shots off target4
4Blocked shots4
6Shots inside the box6
5Shots outside the box4
0Hit the woodwork0

Attack

3Big chances1
8Corner kicks7
21Touches in opposition box20
0Accurate through passes0
4Offsides2
13Free kicks9

Passes

48% (119/249)Passes54% (149/275)
23% (17/74)Long passes26% (25/96)
44% (64/146)Passes in final third48% (49/103)
36% (10/28)Crosses8% (2/24)
0.94Expected assists (xA)1.11
38Throw ins44

Defense

9Fouls13
76% (16/21)Tackles81% (13/16)
85Duels won65
42Clearances51
6Interceptions12
0Errors leading to shot0
0Errors leading to goal1

Goalkeeping

1Goalkeeper saves1
0.92xGOT faced1.39
-0.08Goals prevented-0.61
auto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified Very High Confidence
12.25
X3.17
23.06

Recommended Bet

cancel
Away Win
Stake: Medium (8/10)
75
Opp. Value

Key Factors

League Rank: Home #22 vs Away #24
Season: Home 0.81 PPG vs Away 0.79 PPG
Recent Form (weighted): Home 0.60 PPG vs Away 1.05 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 0.90 GPG vs Away 0.95 GPG

donut_small Win Probabilities

30%
28%
42%
Newport
Draw
Harrogate

Lineup Predictions & Ratings

Newport

Starting 11
-Jordan Wright
GK6.53
-Lee Jenkins
DL6.96
-Tom Davies
DC6.50
-Matt Baker
DC6.72
-Joe Thomas
DR6.49
-Cameron Evans
DMC6.57
-Sven Sprangler
DMC6.62
-Bobby Kamwa
AML6.52
-Harrison Biggins
AMC6.66
-James Crole
AMR6.23
-Nathaniel Opoku
FW6.27

Harrogate

Starting 11
-Henry Gray
GK6.80
-Jacob Slater
DL6.64
-Liam Gibson
DC6.97
-Cathal Heffernan
DC7.11
-Chanse Headman
DR6.68
-Bryn Morris
DMC6.65
-Jack Evans
DMC6.62
-Reece Smith
AML6.82
-Tobias Brenan
AMC6.68
-Ellis Taylor
AMR6.89
-Shawn McCoulsky
FW6.33
Ratings based on player performance in recent matches

Match Preview

Newport County conceded twice to centre-back Lucas Ness on Monday as the Exiles suffered a 3-1 away defeat to promotion contenders Notts County. Saturday's hosts start gameweek 42 outside of the drop zone by one point, but they have lost four of their last five league fixtures.

Harrogate Town head into this relegation six-pointer looking to avenge a heartbreaking Easter Monday defeat to Bristol Rovers, in which Ellis Taylor's brace gave them the lead on two occasions. Simon Weaver's men are bottom of the table, but have won twice in their last five outings.

compareTeam Comparison

Based on 42 matches
NewportvsHarrogate
0.98Goals / Match0.81
1.71Conceded / Match1.52
7Clean Sheets7
3.21Shots on Target / Match3.36
46.8%Possession %47.5%
70.0%Pass Accuracy %68.2%

radarTeam Profile

Newport
Harrogate
AttackDefensePossessionEfficiencyCreativityDiscipline
sports_soccer
21Attack19
shield
33Defense43
swap_horiz
25Possession28
gps_fixed
52Efficiency41
auto_fix_high
22Creativity19
gavel
47Discipline56

sports_soccerGoals & Scoring

41Goals Scored34
72Goals Conceded64
7Clean Sheets7
68Big Chances65
48Big Chances Missed47
0Penalty Goals2

gps_fixedShooting

430Total Shots472
135Shots on Target141

swap_horizPassing & Possession

46.8%Avg Possession47.5%
14,276Total Passes14,779
70.0%Pass Accuracy68.2%

shieldDefending

652Tackles748
289Interceptions326
122Saves139
47.9%Duels Won50.2%

gavelDiscipline

497Fouls461
82Yellow Cards69
3Red Cards2
94Offsides84

analyticsOther

155Corners181
257Successful Dribbles275
11Errors Leading to Goal4
6.64Avg Rating6.73

Statistical Comparison

NewportMetricHarrogate
38
Goals
34
30
Assists
25
6.4
Average Ratings
6.6
25.3
Average Age
23.4
185
Average Height (cm)
183
0.7
Shots pg
0.8
46%
Aerial Duel Success
48%
0.4
Dribbles pg
0.6
1.3
Tackles pg
1.4

history Recent Form

NewportNewport
0.8 GPG
L
L
W
L
L
HarrogateHarrogate
0.8 GPG
L
W
L
L
W

group Head to Head

PL25 Oct 2025
Harrogate Town
0-3
Newport County
PL15 Mar 2025
Newport County
3-0
Harrogate Town
PL12 Oct 2024
Harrogate Town
1-0
Newport County
PL27 Feb 2024
Harrogate Town
1-4
Newport County
PL7 Oct 2023
Newport County
1-2
Harrogate Town
91%
Over 2.5 Goals
55%
Both Team Score

Head-to-Head Detailed

Over 1.5 Goals
91%
10 / 11 matches
Over 2.5 Goals
91%
10 / 11 matches
Over 3.5 Goals
45%
5 / 11 matches
Both Teams to Score
55%
6 / 11 matches
Newport CS
36%
Clean Sheets
Harrogate CS
9%
Clean Sheets

Recent Matches

25 Oct 2025
Harrogate Town
0 - 3
Newport County
15 Mar 2025
Newport County
3 - 0
Harrogate Town
12 Oct 2024
Harrogate Town
1 - 0
Newport County
27 Feb 2024
Harrogate Town
1 - 4
Newport County
7 Oct 2023
Newport County
1 - 2
Harrogate Town
25 Apr 2023
Newport County
2 - 3
Harrogate Town
27 Aug 2022
Harrogate Town
0 - 4
Newport County
15 Jan 2022
Newport County
4 - 0
Harrogate Town
10 Sept 2021
Harrogate Town
2 - 2
Newport County
30 Jan 2021
Harrogate Town
2 - 1
Newport County
31 Oct 2020
Newport County
2 - 1
Harrogate Town

Current Form Comparison

Form (Overall)
Newport
0.81
Form (Overall)
Harrogate
0.79

Newport is +3% better in terms of Points Per Game

Notts County
3 - 1
Newport County
Newport County
0 - 2
Crawley Town
Newport County
1 - 0
Shrewsbury Town
Walsall
2 - 1
Newport County
Newport County
0 - 1
Bromley
Harrogate Town
2 - 3
Bristol Rovers
Grimsby Town
1 - 3
Harrogate Town
Harrogate Town
0 - 2
Notts County
Oldham Athletic
1 - 0
Harrogate Town
Tranmere Rovers
0 - 3
Harrogate Town

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