Nijmegen vs Utrecht Prediction & Tips | Eredivisie | FootballTips.app

Nijmegen

Nijmegen

Home
Full Time
1 - 3
HT: 0 - 2
Wednesday 11 February
Utrecht

Utrecht

Away
NijmegenTimelineUtrecht
1st Half
Alarcon A. (Zechiel G.)
sports_soccer
5'
Ouaissa S.
25'
Didden M.
32'
Zechiel G.Assist: Stepanov A.
sports_soccer
45'
Sandler P.
45'
2nd Half
Cathline Y. (El Karouani S.)
sports_soccer
49'
Karlsson J.Out: Stepanov A.
sync_alt
56'
Nejasmic D.
sports_soccer
59'
Fonville D.Out: Sandler P.
sync_alt
59'
El Kachati Y.Out: Nejasmic D.
sync_alt
59'
Danilo PereiraOut: Ouaissa S.
sync_alt
60'
Karlsson J.
62'
Ogawa K.Out: Lebreton N.
sync_alt
73'
Willumsson W. T.Out: Linssen B.
sync_alt
82'
van der Hoorn M.Out: Alarcon A.
sync_alt
82'
Kaplan A.
89'
Agougil O.Out: Engwanda A.
sync_alt
90+1'
Blake A.Out: Cathline Y.
sync_alt
90+2'

Top stats

1.99Expected goals (xG)1.69
75%Ball possession25%
24Total shots11
7Shots on target5
2Big chances4
5Corner kicks0
84% (546/651)Passes56% (121/215)
3Yellow cards2

Shots

1.99Expected goals (xG)1.69
1.36xG on target (xGOT)1.77
24Total shots11
7Shots on target5
10Shots off target4
7Blocked shots2
9Shots inside the box8
15Shots outside the box3
0Hit the woodwork2

Attack

2Big chances4
5Corner kicks0
37Touches in opposition box12
0Accurate through passes1
0Offsides1
16Free kicks6

Passes

84% (546/651)Passes56% (121/215)
39% (23/59)Long passes39% (31/79)
78% (234/301)Passes in final third56% (40/72)
26% (8/31)Crosses0% (0/4)
2.29Expected assists (xA)0.73
25Throw ins13

Defense

6Fouls16
75% (6/8)Tackles61% (11/18)
55Duels won49
8Clearances49
4Interceptions15
1Errors leading to shot0
0Errors leading to goal0

Goalkeeping

2Goalkeeper saves6
1.77xGOT faced1.36
-1.23Goals prevented0.36
auto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified Very High Confidence
11.71
X4.11
24.63

Recommended Bet

Home Win
Stake: High (10/10)
95
Opp. Value

Key Factors

League Rank: Home #3 vs Away #13
Season: Home 1.95 PPG vs Away 1.14 PPG
Recent Form (weighted): Home 2.80 PPG vs Away 0.25 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 2.90 GPG vs Away 1.20 GPG

donut_small Win Probabilities

94%
3%
3%
Nijmegen
Draw
Utrecht

Match Preview

Nijmegen will host Utrecht in an Eredivisie fixture at Sportpark De Weeren on February 11, 2026 GMT.

In the standings, Nijmegen sits in 3rd place while Utrecht trails behind in 13th position.

Nijmegen has accumulated 41 points, whereas Utrecht has 24 points to their name.

Nijmegen enters the match in red-hot form with 6 consecutive wins across all leagues, showcasing their impressive run of performances.

On the other hand, Utrecht has struggled on the road this season, losing 5 out of their 10 away matches in the Eredivisie.

Looking at their past encounters, Nijmegen has experienced a 50 percent loss rate in the last 6 head-to-head matches against Utrecht.

With Nijmegen's recent form and Utrecht's away struggles, the hosts will aim to capitalize on their strengths.

Our model predicts Nijmegen to secure a 3-0 victory.

This rearranged midweek fixture pitches one of the Eredivisie’s form sides against a team searching urgently for traction. NEC return to the Goffertstadion riding a wave of momentum, firmly established in the podium places and increasingly looking like a side built not just for Europe, but for sustained top-three contention. Utrecht, by contrast, arrive out of rhythm and short on confidence, mired in a prolonged winless stretch that has dragged them into the lower half of the table.

The reverse fixture in November remains a point of reference. Utrecht edged a 1–0 win despite being second best for long stretches, scoring through Miguel Rodríguez before half-time while absorbing sustained pressure. NEC dominated possession (61%), shots (16–11) and dangerous attacks (49–26), but paid for a lack of incision. Since then, that defeat has stood out as an anomaly in Nijmegen’s season.

Recent form could scarcely be more divergent. NEC have won six straight matches, averaging 2.67 goals per game and conceding just 1.17, while winning their last three home fixtures by an aggregate score of 7–2. Utrecht have failed to win in ten consecutive league matches, managing just one draw and five defeats in their last six across all competitions, scoring 0.67 per game in that period. With NEC third and Utrecht 13th, the contrast in momentum, clarity and confidence is stark.

Everything about this fixture points toward NEC control. Their recent dominance at home, tactical coherence and depth across key positions contrast sharply with a Utrecht side missing its leading scorer and struggling to impose any rhythm. Utrecht’s ability to grind out draws away from home offers a narrow path to resistance, but unless they rediscover defensive compactness quickly, NEC’s sustained pressure and attacking variety should tell.

On current form, this looks like an opportunity for Nijmegen to reinforce their podium status — and perhaps settle the score for November’s inefficiency — while Utrecht face another difficult evening in a season that continues to drift.

Lineups

Lineup Predictions & Ratings

Nijmegen

Starting 11
-Gonzalo Crettaz
GK6.53
-Philippe Sandler
DC6.56
-Ahmetcan Kaplan
DC7.08
-Eli Dasa
DC6.53
-Basar Önal
ML7.07
-Kodai Sano
MC7.35
-Darko Nejasmic
MC7.06
-Brayann Pereira
MR6.48
-Noé Lebreton
AMC6.81
-Tjaronn Chery
FW6.94
-Bryan Linssen
FW7.13

Utrecht

Starting 11
-Vasilios Barkas
GK6.73
-Souffian El Karouani
DL7.46
-Matisse Didden
DC6.72
-Mike van der Hoorn
DC6.79
-Niklas Vesterlund
DR6.15
-Alonzo Engwanda
DMC6.77
-Can Bozdogan
DMC6.26
-Jesper Karlsson
AML6.56
-Gjivai Zechiël
AMC6.82
-Ángel Alarcón
AMR6.60
-Dani de Wit
FW6.69
Ratings based on player performance in recent matches

compareTeam Comparison

Based on 21 matches
NijmegenvsUtrecht

radarTeam Profile

Nijmegen
Utrecht
AttackDefensePossessionEfficiencyCreativityDiscipline
sports_soccer
89Attack50
shield
35Defense43
swap_horiz
61Possession45
gps_fixed
91Efficiency59
auto_fix_high
72Creativity38
gavel
42Discipline61

sports_soccerGoals & Scoring

56Goals Scored30
35Goals Conceded28
3Clean Sheets3
72Big Chances47
41Big Chances Missed31
4Penalty Goals0

gps_fixedShooting

327Total Shots306
140Shots on Target107

swap_horizPassing & Possession

56.4%Avg Possession48.2%
8,913Total Passes8,681
79.6%Pass Accuracy80.3%

shieldDefending

333Tackles340
155Interceptions181
67Saves65
50.4%Duels Won51.7%

gavelDiscipline

257Fouls225
37Yellow Cards30
3Red Cards1
43Offsides21

analyticsOther

110Corners109
195Successful Dribbles126
6Errors Leading to Goal1
6.91Avg Rating6.85

Statistical Comparison

NijmegenMetricUtrecht
53
Goals
30
42
Assists
24
6.6
Average Ratings
6.5
26.8
Average Age
25.7
177.9
Average Height (cm)
182.5
1
Shots pg
1
48%
Aerial Duel Success
56%
0.7
Dribbles pg
0.4
1.3
Tackles pg
1.2

League Standings Context

For Nijmegen

PosTeamPWDLPts
2Feyenoord22133642
3Nijmegen21125441
4Ajax22109339

For Utrecht

PosTeamPWDLPts
12Heerenveen2167825
13Utrecht2166924
14Go Ahead Eagles21411623

Advanced Stats (Avg per match)

54.6/ 110.6
Dangerous Attacks
37.4/ 91.3
42.0%
Shots on Target
37.0%
15.5
Total Shots
13.1
57.0%
Possession
48.0%

Team Performance (Avg)

2.6
Goals Scored / Match
1.4
1.6
Goals Conceded / Match
1.3

Head-to-Head Summary

2
Nijmegen Wins
33%
1
Draws
17%
3
Utrecht Wins
50%
Total H2H Matches: 6

Recent Form Stats

MarketNijmegenUtrecht
Over 1.5 Goals
92%23/25
116%29/25
Over 2.5 Goals
84%21/25
76%19/25
Both Teams to Score
80%20/25
92%23/25
* Based on last 25 matches

Past Matches

Last 6: Nijmegen

Nl1
Nijmegen
4 - 1
Heracles
NlC
Nijmegen
1 - 0
Volendam
Nl1
AZ Alkmaar
1 - 3
Nijmegen
Nl1
Nijmegen
2 - 1
PEC Zwolle
NlC
De Treffers
1 - 2
Nijmegen
Nl1
NAC Breda
3 - 4
Nijmegen

Home Games: Nijmegen

Nl1
Nijmegen
4 - 1
Heracles
NlC
Nijmegen
1 - 0
Volendam
Nl1
Nijmegen
2 - 1
PEC Zwolle
Nl1
Nijmegen
2 - 2
Ajax
Nl1
Nijmegen
3 - 1
Sparta Rotterdam
Nl1
Nijmegen
2 - 0
Groningen

Last 6: Utrecht

Nl1
Utrecht
0 - 1
Feyenoord
Nl1
Heerenveen
1 - 1
Utrecht
UEL
Celtic
4 - 2
Utrecht
Nl1
Utrecht
0 - 1
Sparta Rotterdam
UEL
Utrecht
0 - 2
Racing Genk
Nl1
Volendam
2 - 1
Utrecht

Away Games: Utrecht

Nl1
Heerenveen
1 - 1
Utrecht
UEL
Celtic
4 - 2
Utrecht
Nl1
Volendam
2 - 1
Utrecht
NlC
TOP Oss
0 - 2
Utrecht
Nl1
NAC Breda
1 - 1
Utrecht
Nl1
Go Ahead Eagles
2 - 2
Utrecht

history Recent Form

NijmegenNijmegen
1.9 GPG
W
W
W
W
D
UtrechtUtrecht
1.1 GPG
L
D
L
L
L

group Head to Head

PL2 Nov 2025
Utrecht
1-0
NEC
PL15 Mar 2025
Utrecht
0-1
NEC
PL24 Nov 2024
NEC
1-2
Utrecht
PL17 Mar 2024
Utrecht
1-0
NEC
PL12 Oct 2023
NEC
1-2
Utrecht
48%
Over 2.5 Goals
33%
Both Team Score

Head-to-Head Detailed

Over 1.5 Goals
62%
13 / 21 matches
Over 2.5 Goals
48%
10 / 21 matches
Over 3.5 Goals
19%
4 / 21 matches
Both Teams to Score
33%
7 / 21 matches
Nijmegen CS
38%
Clean Sheets
Utrecht CS
38%
Clean Sheets

Recent Matches

2 Nov 2025
Utrecht
1 - 0
NEC
15 Mar 2025
Utrecht
0 - 1
NEC
24 Nov 2024
NEC
1 - 2
Utrecht
17 Mar 2024
Utrecht
1 - 0
NEC
12 Oct 2023
NEC
1 - 2
Utrecht
23 Sept 2023
NEC
3 - 0
Utrecht
12 Mar 2023
NEC
2 - 2
Utrecht
16 Sept 2022
Utrecht
0 - 0
NEC
29 Apr 2022
Utrecht
1 - 0
NEC
22 Sept 2021
NEC
0 - 3
Utrecht
18 Mar 2017
NEC
0 - 3
Utrecht
30 Oct 2016
Utrecht
1 - 1
NEC

Current Form Comparison

Form (Overall)
Nijmegen
1.95
Form (Overall)
Utrecht
1.14

Nijmegen is +71% better in terms of Points Per Game

NEC
4 - 1
Heracles
AZ
1 - 3
NEC
NEC
2 - 1
PEC Zwolle
NAC Breda
3 - 4
NEC
NEC
2 - 2
Ajax
Utrecht
0 - 1
Feyenoord
Heerenveen
1 - 1
Utrecht
Utrecht
0 - 1
Sparta Rotterdam
Volendam
2 - 1
Utrecht
Utrecht
1 - 2
PSV

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