Northampton vs Newport Prediction & Tips | League Two | FootballTips.app

Northampton

Northampton

Home
Full Time
1 - 0
HT: 0 - 0
Saturday 5 September
Newport

Newport

Away
NorthamptonTimelineNewport
1st Half
Dibley-Dias M.
31'
2nd Half
Warhurst M.Out: Chambers S.
sync_alt
55'
Briggs L.Out: Lemonheigh-Evans C.
sync_alt
55'
Warhurst M.
60'
Nyakuhwa T.Out: Evans K.
sync_alt
64'
Thomas J.Out: Jacob M.
sync_alt
70'
Wormleighton J.
71'
Hoskins S.Out: Saunders H.
sync_alt
79'
Dale O.Out: Opoku N.
sync_alt
79'
Adu Poku M.Out: Bamba Y.
sync_alt
83'
Evans C.Out: Dibley-Dias M.
sync_alt
83'
Garner G.Out: Gwengwe S.
sync_alt
83'
Evans C.
86'
O'Brien Whitmarsh J. ()
sports_soccer
87'
Briggs L.
90+3'

Top stats

0.32Expected goals (xG)0.30
52%Ball possession48%
8Total shots3
4Shots on target2
0Big chances0
2Corner kicks0
73% (271/370)Passes67% (228/341)
3Yellow cards2

Shots

0.32Expected goals (xG)0.30
0.71xG on target (xGOT)0.15
8Total shots3
4Shots on target2
4Shots off target1
0Blocked shots0
5Shots inside the box3
3Shots outside the box0
0Hit the woodwork0

Attack

0Big chances0
2Corner kicks0
11Touches in opposition box11
0Accurate through passes0
1Offsides1
11Free kicks15

Passes

73% (271/370)Passes67% (228/341)
22% (14/64)Long passes30% (21/69)
50% (41/82)Passes in final third43% (41/96)
20% (2/10)Crosses27% (4/15)
0.18Expected assists (xA)0.42
23Throw ins30

Defense

15Fouls11
69% (9/13)Tackles71% (15/21)
56Duels won76
47Clearances22
15Interceptions10
0Errors leading to shot0
0Errors leading to goal0

Goalkeeping

2Goalkeeper saves3
0.15xGOT faced0.71
0.15Goals prevented-0.29
2Goal kicks9
auto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified High Confidence
11.70
X3.50
24.76

Recommended Bet

cancel
Away Win
Odds: 3.90Stake: Medium (6/10)
56
Opp. Value

Key Factors

League Rank: Home #18 vs Away #15
Season: Home 0.30 PPG vs Away 1.40 PPG
Recent Form (weighted): Home 0.78 PPG vs Away 0.78 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 0.60 GPG vs Away 1.40 GPG

donut_small Win Probabilities

44%
26%
31%
Northampton
Draw
Newport
payments

Value Comparison

OutcomeMarket OddsTrue Odds (AI)Value
Over 2.5 Goals2.002.02-0.7%
Northampton Town Win1.802.29-21.2%
Draw3.603.89-7.6%
Newport County Win3.903.27+19.2%
BTTS - Yes1.872.05-8.7%

Fair Odds remove the bookmaker margin. Value is raw EV vs market odds; hover a badge for the edge vs fair odds.

Match Preview

Northampton were set up for their first league win of the season after Nathaniel Opoku's opener on Tuesday, but Lee Evans' red card allowed Crawley to salvage a point. Chris Hogg's side are winless in six games in all competitions this season but are getting closer to breaking that streak.

Newport were also heading for three points on Tuesday night, but the Welsh club conceded twice in the final 17 minutes of their game with Salford to throw away all three points. Saturday's visitors are winless in three ahead of their trip to Sixfields Stadium.

Lineups

Lineup Predictions & Ratings

Northampton

Starting 11
-Zach Jeacock
GK6.38
-James Maxwell
DL6.87
-Jon Guthrie
DC6.73
-Elliott Moore
DC7.04
-Max Dyche
DR6.16
-Logan Briggs
ML6.59
-Tyrese Fornah
MC6.88
-Joe O'Brien-Whitmarsh
MC6.31
-Joe Wormleighton
MR6.94
-Nathaniel Opoku
FW7.23
-Connor Lemonheigh-Evans
FW6.39

Newport

Starting 11
-Jordan Wright
GK6.50
-Joe Thomas
DL6.80
-Kyle Cameron
DC6.93
-Lee Jenkins
DC6.96
-Cameron Norman
DR6.65
-Ciarán Brennan
DMC6.91
-Cameron Evans
DMC6.66
-Matt Dibley-Dias
AML6.10
-Harrison Biggins
AMC7.56
-Yahya Bamba
AMR6.72
-Shaquille Gwengwe
FW7.10
Ratings based on player performance in recent matches

compareTeam Comparison

Based on 4 matches
NorthamptonvsNewport
0.50Goals / Match2.25
0.75Conceded / Match2.25
1Clean Sheets1
3.00Shots on Target / Match3.75
44.0%Possession %34.0%
72.9%Pass Accuracy %52.4%

sports_soccerGoals & Scoring

2Goals Scored9
3Goals Conceded9
1Clean Sheets1
3Big Chances8
2Big Chances Missed3

gps_fixedShooting

36Total Shots35
12Shots on Target15

swap_horizPassing & Possession

44.0%Avg Possession34.0%
1,380Total Passes840
72.9%Pass Accuracy52.4%

shieldDefending

62Tackles70
43Interceptions30
8Saves11
48.8%Duels Won48.1%

gavelDiscipline

41Fouls52
5Yellow Cards8
1Red Cards0
9Offsides11

analyticsOther

24Corners14
35Successful Dribbles12
2Errors Leading to Goal1
6.92Avg Rating6.82

Statistical Comparison

NorthamptonMetricNewport
2
Goals
9
1
Assists
6
6.6
Average Ratings
6.6
25.3
Average Age
26.4
183.8
Average Height (cm)
187
0.8
Shots pg
0.9
48%
Aerial Duel Success
46%
1
Dribbles pg
0.5
1.5
Tackles pg
1.7

history Recent Form

NorthamptonNorthampton
0.3 GPG
D
D
L
D
NewportNewport
1.4 GPG
L
D
L
W

group Head to Head

PL7 Apr 2023
Newport County
3-0
Northampton Town
PL29 Oct 2022
Northampton Town
1-1
Newport County
PL8 Feb 2022
Northampton Town
1-0
Newport County
PL14 Sept 2021
Newport County
0-1
Northampton Town
PL14 Sept 2019
Northampton Town
2-0
Newport County
33%
Over 2.5 Goals
33%
Both Team Score

Head-to-Head Detailed

Over 1.5 Goals
56%
5 / 9 matches
Over 2.5 Goals
33%
3 / 9 matches
Over 3.5 Goals
22%
2 / 9 matches
Both Teams to Score
33%
3 / 9 matches
Northampton CS
56%
Clean Sheets
Newport CS
11%
Clean Sheets

Recent Matches

7 Apr 2023
Newport County
3 - 0
Northampton Town
29 Oct 2022
Northampton Town
1 - 1
Newport County
8 Feb 2022
Northampton Town
1 - 0
Newport County
14 Sept 2021
Newport County
0 - 1
Northampton Town
14 Sept 2019
Northampton Town
2 - 0
Newport County
12 Mar 2019
Northampton Town
1 - 0
Newport County
27 Nov 2018
Newport County
3 - 1
Northampton Town
25 Mar 2016
Northampton Town
1 - 0
Newport County
31 Oct 2015
Newport County
2 - 2
Northampton Town

Current Form Comparison

Form (Overall)
Northampton
0.30
Form (Overall)
Newport
1.40

Newport is +367% better in terms of Points Per Game

Northampton Town
1 - 1
Crawley Town
Gillingham
1 - 1
Northampton Town
Crewe Alexandra
1 - 0
Northampton Town
Northampton Town
0 - 0
Swindon Town
Salford City
2 - 1
Newport County
Newport County
2 - 2
Tranmere Rovers
Bristol Rovers
5 - 3
Newport County
Newport County
3 - 0
Rochdale

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