Norwich vs Birmingham Prediction & Tips | Championship | FootballTips.app

Norwich

Norwich

Home
Full Time
1 - 2
HT: 0 - 2
Saturday 21 February
Birmingham

Birmingham

Away
NorwichTimelineBirmingham
1st Half
Vicente C. (Osayi-Samuel B.)
sports_soccer
5'
Ducksch M.Assist: Priske A.
sports_soccer
14'
Klarer C.
39'
2nd Half
Maghoma P.Out: Gibbs L.
sync_alt
46'
Osman I.Out: Gray D.
sync_alt
63'
McLean K. (Toure M.)
sports_soccer
67'
Stansfield J.Out: Ducksch M.
sync_alt
71'
Roberts P.Out: Vicente C.
sync_alt
71'
Kvistgaarden M.Out: Toure M.
sync_alt
71'
Doyle T.Out: Priske A.
sync_alt
78'
Laird E.Out: Osayi-Samuel B.
sync_alt
79'
Stacey J.Out: Chrisene B.
sync_alt
84'
Springett T.Out: Ahmed A.
sync_alt
90'
Darling H.Out: Cordoba J.
sync_alt
90'

Top stats

1.68Expected goals (xG)1.36
62%Ball possession38%
18Total shots9
9Shots on target5
5Big chances4
6Corner kicks5
80% (399/501)Passes73% (228/312)
0Yellow cards1

Shots

1.68Expected goals (xG)1.36
2.56xG on target (xGOT)2.17
18Total shots9
9Shots on target5
5Shots off target2
4Blocked shots2
14Shots inside the box7
4Shots outside the box2
1Hit the woodwork0

Attack

5Big chances4
6Corner kicks5
34Touches in opposition box13
2Accurate through passes0
4Offsides3
14Free kicks6

Passes

80% (399/501)Passes73% (228/312)
42% (25/60)Long passes34% (22/65)
72% (117/163)Passes in final third50% (39/78)
25% (5/20)Crosses31% (4/13)
1.34Expected assists (xA)0.42
21Throw ins30

Defense

6Fouls14
57% (8/14)Tackles56% (10/18)
52Duels won44
9Clearances35
7Interceptions9
0Errors leading to shot0
0Errors leading to goal0

Goalkeeping

3Goalkeeper saves8
2.17xGOT faced2.56
0.17Goals prevented1.56
auto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified Very High Confidence
12.68
X3.38
22.65

Recommended Bet

cancel
Draw
Stake: Medium (7/10)
71
Opp. Value

Key Factors

League Rank: Home #17 vs Away #10
Season: Home 1.22 PPG vs Away 1.44 PPG
Recent Form (weighted): Home 2.40 PPG vs Away 2.10 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 1.07 GPG vs Away 0.81 GPG

donut_small Win Probabilities

30%
44%
27%
Norwich
Draw
Birmingham

Lineup Predictions & Ratings

Norwich

Starting 11
-Daniel Grimshaw
GK6.85
-Ben Chrisene
DL6.72
-José Córdoba
DC6.84
-Ruairi McConville
DC6.92
-Kellen Fisher
DR6.69
-Jacob Wright
DMC6.37
-Kenny McLean
DMC6.85
-Ali Ahmed
AML6.94
-Paris Maghoma
AMC6.28
-Anis Ben Slimane
AMR7.25
-Mohamed Touré
FW8.26

Birmingham

Starting 11
-James Beadle
GK6.60
-Kai Wagner
DL7.32
-Christoph Klarer
DC7.22
-Phil Neumann
DC6.87
-Bright Osayi-Samuel
DR6.29
-Tommy Doyle
DMC6.52
-Jhon Solís
DMC6.75
-Ibrahim Osman
AML7.06
-Jay Stansfield
AMC6.63
-Patrick Roberts
AMR6.81
-Marvin Ducksch
FW6.62
Ratings based on player performance in recent matches

Match Preview

Norwich City will host Birmingham City at Carrow Road in a Championship encounter on February 21, 2026.

Norwich City, in impressive form with 5 wins in their last 6 Championship matches, will face Birmingham City, who have struggled with 9 losses in 16 away matches in the league.

In their recent head-to-head matchups across all leagues, Norwich City has emerged victorious in 3 out of the last 6 encounters against Birmingham City.

Norwich City has seen under 2.5 goals in 67% of their last 6 home matches, while Birmingham City has had under 2.5 goals in 3 of their last 3 away fixtures.

The prediction for this game is Birmingham City to win with a probability of 36%.

Two late goals from Ben Chrisene and Mohamed Toure sealed a 3-1 home win over Championship rivals West Brom in the FA Cup last weekend as Norwich advanced to the fifth round. In the league, the Canaries hammered Oxford United 3-0 on the road last time out, making it five wins from their last six.

Birmingham followed up a strong performance in a goalless draw against West Brom with an impressive showing against Premier League side Leeds in the FA Cup, taking the Yorkshire club all the way to penalties before losing. The Blues are unbeaten in their last seven Championship games heading into gameweek 33.

compareTeam Comparison

Based on 32 / 26 matches
NorwichvsBirmingham
1.31Goals / Match1.42
1.31Conceded / Match1.04
5Clean Sheets8
3.88Shots on Target / Match4.35
51.8%Possession %53.2%
80.0%Pass Accuracy %84.8%

radarTeam Profile

Norwich
Birmingham
AttackDefensePossessionEfficiencyCreativityDiscipline
sports_soccer
36Attack41
shield
46Defense50
swap_horiz
54Possession58
gps_fixed
63Efficiency63
auto_fix_high
36Creativity33
gavel
58Discipline63

sports_soccerGoals & Scoring

42Goals Scored37
42Goals Conceded27
5Clean Sheets8
67Big Chances51
40Big Chances Missed36
1Penalty Goals0

gps_fixedShooting

378Total Shots326
124Shots on Target113

swap_horizPassing & Possession

51.8%Avg Possession53.2%
13,824Total Passes11,588
80.0%Pass Accuracy84.8%

shieldDefending

581Tackles408
268Interceptions155
84Saves78
51.3%Duels Won49.4%

gavelDiscipline

320Fouls262
59Yellow Cards38
1Red Cards1
68Offsides27

analyticsOther

153Corners139
258Successful Dribbles169
4Errors Leading to Goal11
6.80Avg Rating6.84

Statistical Comparison

NorwichMetricBirmingham
40
Goals
42
26
Assists
26
6.6
Average Ratings
6.5
23.9
Average Age
25.5
184.2
Average Height (cm)
181.6
0.9
Shots pg
1
48%
Aerial Duel Success
51%
0.6
Dribbles pg
0.6
1.5
Tackles pg
1.3

League Standings Context

For Norwich

PosTeamPWDLPts
16Swansea City321261442
17Norwich City321161539
18Charlton Athletic321091339

For Birmingham

PosTeamPWDLPts
10Southampton3212101046
11Birmingham City3212101046
12Watford321112945

Advanced Stats (Avg per match)

41.1/ 95.3
Dangerous Attacks
50.3/ 97.1
34.0%
Shots on Target
27.0%
12.3
Total Shots
14.4
53.0%
Possession
55.0%

Team Performance (Avg)

1.4
Goals Scored / Match
1.4
1.3
Goals Conceded / Match
1.2

Head-to-Head Summary

3
Norwich Wins
50%
1
Draws
17%
2
Birmingham Wins
33%
Total H2H Matches: 6

Recent Form Stats

MarketNorwichBirmingham
Over 1.5 Goals
83%30/36
81%29/36
Over 2.5 Goals
56%20/36
47%17/36
Both Teams to Score
64%23/36
58%21/36
* Based on last 36 matches

Past Matches

Last 6: Norwich

FA
Norwich City
3 - 1
West Bromwich
CH
Norwich City
2 - 0
Blackburn Rovers
CH
Norwich City
2 - 1
Coventry City
FA
Norwich City
5 - 1
Walsall FC
CH
Norwich City
0 - 2
Stoke City
CH
Norwich City
0 - 1
Watford

Home Games: Norwich

FA
Norwich City
3 - 1
West Bromwich
CH
Norwich City
2 - 0
Blackburn Rovers
CH
Norwich City
2 - 1
Coventry City
FA
Norwich City
5 - 1
Walsall FC
CH
Norwich City
0 - 2
Stoke City
CH
Norwich City
0 - 1
Watford

Last 6: Birmingham

CH
Oxford United
0 - 2
Birmingham City
CH
Sheffield Wednesday
0 - 2
Birmingham City
CH
Swansea City
1 - 1
Birmingham City
FA
Cambridge Utd
2 - 3
Birmingham City
CH
Watford
3 - 0
Birmingham City
CH
Sheffield United
3 - 0
Birmingham City

Away Games: Birmingham

CH
Oxford United
0 - 2
Birmingham City
CH
Sheffield Wednesday
0 - 2
Birmingham City
CH
Swansea City
1 - 1
Birmingham City
FA
Cambridge Utd
2 - 3
Birmingham City
CH
Watford
3 - 0
Birmingham City
CH
Sheffield United
3 - 0
Birmingham City

history Recent Form

NorwichNorwich
1.2 GPG
W
W
L
W
W
BirminghamBirmingham
1.4 GPG
D
W
W
D
W

group Head to Head

PL22 Nov 2025
Birmingham City
4-1
Norwich City
PL4 May 2024
Birmingham City
1-0
Norwich City
PL30 Sept 2023
Norwich City
2-0
Birmingham City
PL21 Feb 2023
Norwich City
3-1
Birmingham City
PL30 Aug 2022
Birmingham City
1-2
Norwich City
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
56%
Both Team Score

Head-to-Head Detailed

Over 1.5 Goals
78%
14 / 18 matches
Over 2.5 Goals
50%
9 / 18 matches
Over 3.5 Goals
39%
7 / 18 matches
Both Teams to Score
56%
10 / 18 matches
Norwich CS
33%
Clean Sheets
Birmingham CS
17%
Clean Sheets

Recent Matches

22 Nov 2025
Birmingham City
4 - 1
Norwich City
4 May 2024
Birmingham City
1 - 0
Norwich City
30 Sept 2023
Norwich City
2 - 0
Birmingham City
21 Feb 2023
Norwich City
3 - 1
Birmingham City
30 Aug 2022
Birmingham City
1 - 2
Norwich City
9 Aug 2022
Norwich City
2 - 2
Birmingham City
23 Feb 2021
Birmingham City
1 - 3
Norwich City
20 Oct 2020
Norwich City
1 - 0
Birmingham City
18 Jan 2019
Norwich City
3 - 1
Birmingham City
4 Aug 2018
Birmingham City
2 - 2
Norwich City
26 Dec 2017
Birmingham City
0 - 2
Norwich City
9 Sept 2017
Norwich City
1 - 0
Birmingham City

Current Form Comparison

Form (Overall)
Norwich
1.22
Form (Overall)
Birmingham
1.44

Birmingham is +18% better in terms of Points Per Game

Oxford United
0 - 3
Norwich City
Norwich City
2 - 0
Blackburn Rovers
Middlesbrough
1 - 0
Norwich City
Norwich City
2 - 1
Coventry City
West Bromwich Albion
0 - 5
Norwich City
Birmingham City
0 - 0
West Bromwich Albion
Birmingham City
2 - 1
Leicester City
Oxford United
0 - 2
Birmingham City
Birmingham City
1 - 1
Stoke City
Sheffield Wednesday
0 - 2
Birmingham City

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