Nottingham vs Aston Villa Prediction & Tips | Europa League - Play Offs | FootballTips.app

Nottingham

Nottingham

Home
Full Time
1 - 0
HT: 0 - 0
Thursday 30 April
Aston Villa

Aston Villa

Away
NottinghamTimelineAston Villa
2nd Half
Bogarde L.Out: Onana A.
sync_alt
55'
Wood Ch.(Penalty)
sports_soccer
71'
Abbott Z.Out: Aina O.
sync_alt
75'
Tielemans Y.
78'
Douglas LuizOut: Digne L.
sync_alt
79'
Sancho J.Out: McGinn J.
sync_alt
79'
Maatsen I.Out: Buendia E.
sync_alt
79'
Yates R.Out: Igor Jesus
sync_alt
90'

Top stats

1.46Expected goals (xG)0.72
50%Ball possession50%
11Total shots10
5Shots on target4
2Big chances1
5Corner kicks7
85% (334/391)Passes86% (326/379)
0Yellow cards1

Shots

1.46Expected goals (xG)0.72
1.40xG on target (xGOT)0.72
11Total shots10
5Shots on target4
3Shots off target3
3Blocked shots3
9Shots inside the box7
2Shots outside the box3
0Hit the woodwork0

Attack

2Big chances1
5Corner kicks7
19Touches in opposition box23
1Accurate through passes0
2Offsides0
11Free kicks7

Passes

85% (334/391)Passes86% (326/379)
50% (20/40)Long passes69% (24/35)
74% (74/100)Passes in final third74% (87/118)
21% (4/19)Crosses13% (3/24)
0.77Expected assists (xA)0.54
10Throw ins18

Defense

7Fouls11
75% (12/16)Tackles50% (8/16)
43Duels won41
31Clearances14
7Interceptions8
1Errors leading to shot0
0Errors leading to goal0

Goalkeeping

4Goalkeeper saves4
0.72xGOT faced1.40
0.72Goals prevented0.40
auto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified Very High Confidence
12.61
X3.24
22.83

Recommended Bet

Home Win
Stake: High (10/10)
100
Opp. Value

Key Factors

Season: Home 1.90 PPG vs Away 1.90 PPG
Recent Form (weighted): Home 2.40 PPG vs Away 1.40 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 1.20 GPG vs Away 1.20 GPG
Defense (venue): Home 0.60 conc vs Away 1.20 conc

donut_small Win Probabilities

92%
4%
4%
Nottingham
Draw
Aston Villa

Match Preview

An all-English European semi-final always carries a certain historical weight, but this meeting between Nottingham Forest and Aston Villa feels especially evocative. Two former European champions, shaped by different eras yet bound by continental pedigree, now collide with a place in the final within touching distance.

Forest arrive with momentum and belief. Their resurgence under Vítor Pereira has been built on structure and intensity, and an eight-match unbeaten run has transformed both their domestic outlook and their European ambition. The City Ground, once again, feels like a place of significance.

Villa, meanwhile, carry a different kind of authority. Under Unai Emery, this competition has become almost a personal domain. His record in semi-finals alone casts a long shadow over this tie, and Villa’s nine-game winning run in Europe underlines their credentials as perhaps the most complete side left in the tournament.

Yet the margins feel narrow. Their recent league meeting here ended level, and Villa’s record on this ground offers Forest encouragement. The first leg may not decide the tie, but it will shape its rhythm, and possibly its psychology.

Lineups

Lineup Predictions & Ratings

Nottingham

Starting 11
-Stefan Ortega
GK6.68
-Neco Williams
DL7.00
-Morato
DC6.76
-Nikola Milenkovic
DC6.91
-Ola Aina
DR6.88
-Ibrahim Sangaré
DMC6.73
-Elliot Anderson
DMC6.84
-Dan Ndoye
AML6.74
-Morgan Gibbs-White
AMC6.63
-Omari Hutchinson
AMR6.82
-Igor Jesus
FW6.98

Aston Villa

Starting 11
-Emiliano Martínez
GK6.92
-Lucas Digne
DL6.76
-Pau Torres
DC6.78
-Ezri Konsa
DC6.91
-Matty Cash
DR6.69
-Youri Tielemans
DMC7.32
-Lamare Bogarde
DMC6.52
-Emiliano Buendía
AML6.82
-Morgan Rogers
AMC6.91
-John McGinn
AMR6.77
-Ollie Watkins
FW6.69
Ratings based on player performance in recent matches

compareTeam Comparison

Based on 14 / 21 matches
NottinghamvsAston Villa

radarTeam Profile

Nottingham
Aston Villa
AttackDefensePossessionEfficiencyCreativityDiscipline
sports_soccer
64Attack27
shield
69Defense16
swap_horiz
65Possession24
gps_fixed
61Efficiency50
auto_fix_high
47Creativity20
gavel
45Discipline39

sports_soccerGoals & Scoring

23Goals Scored35
12Goals Conceded38
6Clean Sheets4
4Penalty Goals2

gavelDiscipline

23Yellow Cards47
1Red Cards4

Statistical Comparison

NottinghamMetricAston Villa
21
Goals
24
12
Assists
18
6.6
Average Ratings
6.8
26.2
Average Age
28.5
183.5
Average Height (cm)
182.5
1.1
Shots pg
1
52%
Aerial Duel Success
52%
0.7
Dribbles pg
0.4
1.3
Tackles pg
0.8

history Recent Form

NottinghamNottingham
1.9 GPG
W
W
D
W
D
Aston VillaAston Villa
1.9 GPG
L
W
D
W
L

group Head to Head

PL12 Apr 2026
Nottingham Forest
1-1
Aston Villa
PL3 Jan 2026
Aston Villa
3-1
Nottingham Forest
PL5 Apr 2025
Aston Villa
2-1
Nottingham Forest
PL14 Dec 2024
Nottingham Forest
2-1
Aston Villa
PL24 Feb 2024
Aston Villa
4-2
Nottingham Forest
64%
Over 2.5 Goals
79%
Both Team Score

Head-to-Head Detailed

Over 1.5 Goals
93%
13 / 14 matches
Over 2.5 Goals
64%
9 / 14 matches
Over 3.5 Goals
36%
5 / 14 matches
Both Teams to Score
79%
11 / 14 matches
Nottingham CS
7%
Clean Sheets
Aston Villa CS
14%
Clean Sheets

Recent Matches

12 Apr 2026
Nottingham Forest
1 - 1
Aston Villa
3 Jan 2026
Aston Villa
3 - 1
Nottingham Forest
5 Apr 2025
Aston Villa
2 - 1
Nottingham Forest
14 Dec 2024
Nottingham Forest
2 - 1
Aston Villa
24 Feb 2024
Aston Villa
4 - 2
Nottingham Forest
5 Nov 2023
Nottingham Forest
2 - 0
Aston Villa
8 Apr 2023
Aston Villa
2 - 0
Nottingham Forest
10 Oct 2022
Nottingham Forest
1 - 1
Aston Villa
13 Mar 2019
Nottingham Forest
1 - 3
Aston Villa
28 Nov 2018
Aston Villa
5 - 5
Nottingham Forest
13 Jan 2018
Nottingham Forest
0 - 1
Aston Villa
23 Sept 2017
Aston Villa
2 - 1
Nottingham Forest

Current Form Comparison

Form (Overall)
Nottingham
1.90
Form (Overall)
Aston Villa
1.90

Both teams have equal form.

Sunderland
0 - 5
Nottingham Forest
Nottingham Forest
4 - 1
Burnley
Nottingham Forest
1 - 1
Aston Villa
Tottenham Hotspur
0 - 3
Nottingham Forest
Nottingham Forest
0 - 0
Fulham
Fulham
1 - 0
Aston Villa
Aston Villa
4 - 3
Sunderland
Nottingham Forest
1 - 1
Aston Villa
Aston Villa
2 - 0
West Ham United
Manchester United
3 - 1
Aston Villa

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