Nottingham vs Burnley Prediction & Tips | Premier League | FootballTips.app

Nottingham

Nottingham

Home
Full Time
4 - 1
HT: 0 - 1
Sunday 19 April
Burnley

Burnley

Away
NottinghamTimelineBurnley
1st Half
CunhaOut: Murillo
sync_alt
42'
Flemming Z. (Hartman Q.)
sports_soccer
45+2'
2nd Half
Igor JesusOut: Bakwa D.
sync_alt
46'
Gibbs-White M.
sports_soccer
62'
Foster L.Out: Edwards M.
sync_alt
64'
Gibbs-White M.Assist: Hutchinson O.
sports_soccer
69'
Florentino
75'
Bruun Larsen J.Out: Ugochukwu L.
sync_alt
76'
Yates R.Out: Wood Ch.
sync_alt
76'
Gibbs-White M. (Yates R.)
sports_soccer
77'
Walker K.
80'
Tchaouna L.Out: Anthony J.
sync_alt
83'
Laurent J.Out: Florentino
sync_alt
84'
Broja A.Out: Flemming Z.
sync_alt
84'
MoratoOut: Hutchinson O.
sync_alt
88'
Dominguez N.Out: Gibbs-White M.
sync_alt
89'
Igor Jesus (Dominguez N.)
sports_soccer
90+8'

Top stats

1.19Expected goals (xG)0.35
51%Ball possession49%
10Total shots4
4Shots on target3
2Big chances1
4Corner kicks4
82% (389/475)Passes82% (373/454)
0Yellow cards2

Shots

1.19Expected goals (xG)0.35
1.57xG on target (xGOT)1.29
10Total shots4
4Shots on target3
4Shots off target0
2Blocked shots1
8Shots inside the box3
2Shots outside the box1
0Hit the woodwork0
1Headed goals0

Attack

2Big chances1
4Corner kicks4
23Touches in opposition box12
1Accurate through passes0
2Offsides0
12Free kicks8

Passes

82% (389/475)Passes82% (373/454)
40% (21/52)Long passes40% (23/58)
62% (69/111)Passes in final third63% (66/104)
25% (5/20)Crosses29% (4/14)
0.68Expected assists (xA)0.44
29Throw ins21

Defense

8Fouls12
41% (9/22)Tackles50% (11/22)
53Duels won44
14Clearances30
4Interceptions12
0Errors leading to shot0
1Errors leading to goal1

Goalkeeping

2Goalkeeper saves0
1.29xGOT faced1.57
0.29Goals prevented-2.43
auto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified Very High Confidence
11.48
X4.69
27.01

Recommended Bet

Home Win
Stake: Medium (7/10)
65
Opp. Value

Key Factors

League Rank: Home #16 vs Away #19
Season: Home 1.03 PPG vs Away 0.63 PPG
Recent Form (weighted): Home 1.40 PPG vs Away 0.20 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 0.88 GPG vs Away 1.13 GPG

donut_small Win Probabilities

74%
14%
13%
Nottingham
Draw
Burnley

Match Preview

Nottingham Forest are still feeling the high of reaching the Europa League semi-final but Premier League survival is the focus for the next few weeks.

On paper, this is Forest's best fixture on paper, against a Burnley team who have won just once since November, and with 18th-place Tottenham struggling, victory here could prove vital in their survival bid.

Burnley could be just days away from having their relegation to the Championship confirmed after last weekend's Brighton defeat left them 12 points from safety with just six games left.

The Clarets are unbeaten on their last four trips to the City Ground in all competitions (W1 D3).

Lineups

Lineup Predictions & Ratings

Nottingham

Starting 11
-Matz Sels
GK6.54
-Neco Williams
DL6.97
-Nikola Milenkovic
DC6.58
-Jair Cunha
DC6.33
-Ola Aina
DR6.84
-Ibrahim Sangaré
DMC6.68
-Elliot Anderson
DMC7.15
-Omari Hutchinson
AML6.56
-Morgan Gibbs-White
AMC6.68
-Callum Hudson-Odoi
AMR6.58
-Igor Jesus
FW6.51

Burnley

Starting 11
-Martin Dúbravka
GK6.73
-Quilindschy Hartman
DL6.60
-Maxime Estève
DC6.54
-Bashir Humphreys
DC6.66
-Kyle Walker
DR6.48
-James Ward-Prowse
DMC6.63
-Florentino
DMC6.48
-Jaidon Anthony
AML6.59
-Lesley Ugochukwu
AMC6.34
-Marcus Edwards
AMR6.33
-Zian Flemming
FW6.62
Ratings based on player performance in recent matches

compareTeam Comparison

Based on 32 matches
NottinghamvsBurnley

radarTeam Profile

Nottingham
Burnley
AttackDefensePossessionEfficiencyCreativityDiscipline
sports_soccer
28Attack19
shield
47Defense36
swap_horiz
51Possession32
gps_fixed
48Efficiency64
auto_fix_high
27Creativity19
gavel
60Discipline56

sports_soccerGoals & Scoring

32Goals Scored33
44Goals Conceded63
8Clean Sheets4
51Big Chances48
32Big Chances Missed28
2Penalty Goals2

gps_fixedShooting

407Total Shots297
127Shots on Target97

swap_horizPassing & Possession

47.2%Avg Possession41.5%
13,150Total Passes12,144
82.4%Pass Accuracy78.6%

shieldDefending

533Tackles527
253Interceptions287
86Saves114
49.5%Duels Won46.7%

gavelDiscipline

342Fouls317
50Yellow Cards54
1Red Cards3
51Offsides51

analyticsOther

173Corners119
239Successful Dribbles163
7Errors Leading to Goal10
6.78Avg Rating6.65

Statistical Comparison

NottinghamMetricBurnley
32
Goals
30
22
Assists
23
6.4
Average Ratings
6.4
26
Average Age
27.4
184.1
Average Height (cm)
183.9
0.8
Shots pg
0.6
48%
Aerial Duel Success
46%
0.7
Dribbles pg
0.4
1.3
Tackles pg
1.2

history Recent Form

NottinghamNottingham
1.0 GPG
D
W
D
D
L
BurnleyBurnley
0.6 GPG
L
L
D
L
L

group Head to Head

PL20 Sept 2025
Burnley
1-1
Nottingham Forest
PL19 May 2024
Burnley
1-2
Nottingham Forest
PL18 Sept 2023
Nottingham Forest
1-1
Burnley
PL30 Aug 2023
Nottingham Forest
0-1
Burnley
PL23 Feb 2016
Burnley
1-0
Nottingham Forest
35%
Over 2.5 Goals
59%
Both Team Score

Head-to-Head Detailed

Over 1.5 Goals
82%
14 / 17 matches
Over 2.5 Goals
35%
6 / 17 matches
Over 3.5 Goals
18%
3 / 17 matches
Both Teams to Score
59%
10 / 17 matches
Nottingham CS
12%
Clean Sheets
Burnley CS
29%
Clean Sheets

Recent Matches

20 Sept 2025
Burnley
1 - 1
Nottingham Forest
19 May 2024
Burnley
1 - 2
Nottingham Forest
18 Sept 2023
Nottingham Forest
1 - 1
Burnley
30 Aug 2023
Nottingham Forest
0 - 1
Burnley
23 Feb 2016
Burnley
1 - 0
Nottingham Forest
20 Oct 2015
Nottingham Forest
1 - 1
Burnley
22 Feb 2014
Burnley
3 - 1
Nottingham Forest
23 Nov 2013
Nottingham Forest
1 - 1
Burnley
24 Sept 2013
Burnley
2 - 1
Nottingham Forest
1 Apr 2013
Burnley
1 - 1
Nottingham Forest
8 Dec 2012
Nottingham Forest
2 - 0
Burnley
31 Jan 2012
Nottingham Forest
0 - 2
Burnley

Current Form Comparison

Form (Overall)
Nottingham
1.03
Form (Overall)
Burnley
0.63

Nottingham is +63% better in terms of Points Per Game

Nottingham Forest
1 - 1
Aston Villa
Tottenham Hotspur
0 - 3
Nottingham Forest
Nottingham Forest
0 - 0
Fulham
Manchester City
2 - 2
Nottingham Forest
Brighton & Hove Albion
2 - 1
Nottingham Forest
Burnley
0 - 2
Brighton & Hove Albion
Fulham
3 - 1
Burnley
Burnley
0 - 0
AFC Bournemouth
Everton
2 - 0
Burnley
Burnley
3 - 4
Brentford

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