Nottingham vs Fenerbahce Prediction & Tips | Europa League - Play Offs | FootballTips.app

Nottingham

Nottingham

Home
Full Time
1 - 2
HT: 0 - 1
Thursday 26 February
Fenerbahce

Fenerbahce

Away
NottinghamTimelineFenerbahce
1st Half
Akturkoglu K. (Cherif S.)
sports_soccer
22'
Lucca L.
40'
2nd Half
Semedo N.Out: Nene D.
sync_alt
46'
Hudson-Odoi C.Out: McAtee J.
sync_alt
46'
Aina O.Out: Murillo
sync_alt
46'
Igor JesusOut: Lucca L.
sync_alt
46'
Sangare I.Out: Yates R.
sync_alt
46'
Akturkoglu K.(Penalty)
sports_soccer
48'
Asensio M.Out: Aydin O.
sync_alt
63'
Hudson-Odoi C. (Aina O.)
sports_soccer
68'
Mercan L.Out: Brown A.
sync_alt
76'
Ekici A.Out: Cherif S.
sync_alt
76'
Gibbs-White M.Out: Dominguez N.
sync_alt
84'

Top stats

1.18Expected goals (xG)1.77
54%Ball possession46%
13Total shots11
4Shots on target4
3Big chances3
5Corner kicks3
86% (459/531)Passes83% (391/470)
1Yellow cards0

Shots

1.18Expected goals (xG)1.77
1.28xG on target (xGOT)2.31
13Total shots11
4Shots on target4
7Shots off target3
2Blocked shots4
8Shots inside the box7
5Shots outside the box4
0Hit the woodwork0

Attack

3Big chances3
5Corner kicks3
24Touches in opposition box20
0Accurate through passes1
0Offsides3
8Free kicks12

Passes

86% (459/531)Passes83% (391/470)
44% (21/48)Long passes47% (22/47)
80% (123/154)Passes in final third66% (56/85)
32% (7/22)Crosses27% (3/11)
0.59Expected assists (xA)0.67
16Throw ins23

Defense

12Fouls8
68% (15/22)Tackles45% (9/20)
53Duels won49
28Clearances12
13Interceptions12
2Errors leading to shot1
0Errors leading to goal0

Goalkeeping

3Goalkeeper saves3
2.31xGOT faced1.28
0.31Goals prevented0.28
auto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified Very High Confidence
11.55
X4.44
25.69

Recommended Bet

Home Win
Stake: Medium (6/10)
58
Opp. Value

Key Factors

Season: Home 1.30 PPG vs Away 1.80 PPG
Recent Form (weighted): Home 0.70 PPG vs Away 2.20 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 1.00 GPG vs Away 2.25 GPG
Defense (venue): Home 0.40 conc vs Away 1.25 conc

donut_small Win Probabilities

64%
16%
19%
Nottingham
Draw
Fenerbahce

Match Preview

Nottingham Forest will take on Fenerbahçe in the Europa League at The City Ground on February 26, 2026.

Nottingham Forest has been in good form, securing 4 wins in their last 6 Europa League matches and winning 3 out of 4 home fixtures this season.

On the other hand, Fenerbahçe has also been performing well, with 4 wins in their last 6 matches and boasting a 53% away win rate this season.

In their previous encounters, Nottingham Forest has emerged victorious in the single head-to-head match they have played against Fenerbahçe in the league.

Our algorithm predicts Nottingham Forest to come out on top with a probability of 39%.

Nottingham Forest return to The City Ground with one foot already in the last 16 after a commanding 3-0 victory in Istanbul. Murillo opened the scoring before Igor Jesus and Morgan Gibbs-White completed a clinical display that handed Vítor Pereira a dream European start as Forest boss.

That momentum was checked domestically at the weekend, when a 97th-minute concession saw Forest lose to Liverpool, but the performance itself offered encouragement. Pereira described himself as “frustrated and angry,” yet his side’s structure and intensity remained intact. The task now is simple: manage the tie with composure.

History heavily favours the hosts. Forest have kept clean sheets in their last three Europa League home matches and boast a 65% clean-sheet ratio at home in major European competition (17 in 26 games). They are chasing a third successive major European win for the first time since 1983/84.

Fenerbahçe, however, arrive with formidable away form. The Yellow Canaries are unbeaten in 14 away matches in all competitions (W10 D4), though their European record in England tells a different story: one win in ten attempts (D2 L7), dating back to 1996. Even more concerning is their knockout history — they have never progressed from any of the 26 European ties in which they lost the first leg.

Lineups

Lineup Predictions & Ratings

Nottingham

Starting 11
-Stefan Ortega
GK6.89
-Neco Williams
DL6.98
-Murillo
DC6.90
-Nikola Milenkovic
DC6.96
-Ola Aina
DR6.74
-Ibrahim Sangaré
DMC6.86
-Elliot Anderson
DMC6.86
-Callum Hudson-Odoi
AML7.05
-Morgan Gibbs-White
AMC6.70
-Omari Hutchinson
AMR7.46
-Igor Jesus
FW7.30

Fenerbahce

Starting 11
-Engin Biterge
GK
-Archie Brown
DL6.64
-Mert Müldür
DC6.79
-Yigit Demir
DC6.62
-Nélson Semedo
DR6.53
-Mattéo Guendouzi
MC5.58
-Ismail Yüksek
MC7.25
-N'Golo Kanté
MC6.26
-Kerem Aktürkoglu
FWL6.93
-Sidiki Cherif
FW5.97
-Oguz Aydin
FWR6.24
Ratings based on player performance in recent matches

compareTeam Comparison

Based on 9 matches
NottinghamvsFenerbahce

radarTeam Profile

Nottingham
Fenerbahce
AttackDefensePossessionEfficiencyCreativityDiscipline
sports_soccer
78Attack40
shield
69Defense61
swap_horiz
65Possession65
gps_fixed
76Efficiency59
auto_fix_high
57Creativity39
gavel
34Discipline35

sports_soccerGoals & Scoring

18Goals Scored10
7Goals Conceded10
5Clean Sheets3
36Big Chances20
23Big Chances Missed13
4Penalty Goals1

gps_fixedShooting

151Total Shots127
63Shots on Target52

swap_horizPassing & Possession

53.0%Avg Possession59.2%
4,383Total Passes4,557
85.7%Pass Accuracy85.1%

shieldDefending

146Tackles170
69Interceptions70
13Saves25
51.1%Duels Won50.5%

gavelDiscipline

126Fouls89
18Yellow Cards35
1Red Cards1
9Offsides21

analyticsOther

49Corners45
70Successful Dribbles56
6.94Avg Rating6.87

Statistical Comparison

NottinghamMetricFenerbahce
17
Goals
10
8
Assists
8
6.7
Average Ratings
6.5
26
Average Age
25.4
182.2
Average Height (cm)
183.2
1.2
Shots pg
1
55%
Aerial Duel Success
44%
0.9
Dribbles pg
0.7
1.1
Tackles pg
1.6

League Standings Context

For Nottingham

PosTeamPWDLPts
12Ferencvaros843115
13Nottingham Forest842214
14Viktoria Plzen835014

For Fenerbahce

PosTeamPWDLPts
18Lille840412
19Fenerbahçe833212
20Panathinaikos833212

Advanced Stats (Avg per match)

52.2/ 94.6
Dangerous Attacks
50.1/ 101.0
34.0%
Shots on Target
37.0%
14.1
Total Shots
16.2
50.0%
Possession
59.0%

Team Performance (Avg)

1.3
Goals Scored / Match
1.9
1.4
Goals Conceded / Match
1.0

Head-to-Head Summary

1
Nottingham Wins
100%
0
Draws
0%
0
Fenerbahce Wins
0%
Total H2H Matches: 1

Recent Form Stats

MarketNottinghamFenerbahce
Over 1.5 Goals
79%30/38
79%30/38
Over 2.5 Goals
55%21/38
55%21/38
Both Teams to Score
39%15/38
61%23/38
* Based on last 38 matches

Past Matches

Last 6: Nottingham

EPL
Nottingham Forest
0 - 1
Liverpool
EPL
Nottingham Forest
0 - 0
Wolverhampton
EPL
Nottingham Forest
1 - 1
Crystal Palace
UEL
Nottingham Forest
4 - 0
Ferencvaros
EPL
Nottingham Forest
0 - 0
Arsenal
EPL
Nottingham Forest
0 - 2
Everton

Home Games: Nottingham

EPL
Nottingham Forest
0 - 1
Liverpool
EPL
Nottingham Forest
0 - 0
Wolverhampton
EPL
Nottingham Forest
1 - 1
Crystal Palace
UEL
Nottingham Forest
4 - 0
Ferencvaros
EPL
Nottingham Forest
0 - 0
Arsenal
EPL
Nottingham Forest
0 - 2
Everton

Last 6: Fenerbahce

Tr1
Trabzonspor
2 - 3
Fenerbahçe
Tr1
Kocaelispor
0 - 2
Fenerbahçe
UEL
FCSB
1 - 1
Fenerbahçe
Tr1
Alanyaspor
2 - 3
Fenerbahçe
TrC
Halide Edip Adivar
0 - 1
Fenerbahçe
Tr1
Eyüpspor
0 - 3
Fenerbahçe

Away Games: Fenerbahce

Tr1
Trabzonspor
2 - 3
Fenerbahçe
Tr1
Kocaelispor
0 - 2
Fenerbahçe
UEL
FCSB
1 - 1
Fenerbahçe
Tr1
Alanyaspor
2 - 3
Fenerbahçe
TrC
Halide Edip Adivar
0 - 1
Fenerbahçe
Tr1
Eyüpspor
0 - 3
Fenerbahçe

history Recent Form

NottinghamNottingham
1.3 GPG
L
D
L
D
W
FenerbahceFenerbahce
1.8 GPG
D
W
W
W
D

group Head to Head

PL19 Feb 2026
Fenerbahçe
0-3
Nottingham Forest
100%
Over 2.5 Goals
0%
Both Team Score

Head-to-Head Detailed

Over 1.5 Goals
100%
1 / 1 matches
Over 2.5 Goals
100%
1 / 1 matches
Over 3.5 Goals
0%
0 / 1 matches
Both Teams to Score
0%
0 / 1 matches
Nottingham CS
100%
Clean Sheets
Fenerbahce CS
0%
Clean Sheets

Recent Matches

19 Feb 2026
Fenerbahçe
0 - 3
Nottingham Forest

Current Form Comparison

Form (Overall)
Nottingham
1.30
Form (Overall)
Fenerbahce
1.80

Fenerbahce is +38% better in terms of Points Per Game

Nottingham Forest
0 - 1
Liverpool
Nottingham Forest
0 - 0
Wolverhampton Wanderers
Leeds United
3 - 1
Nottingham Forest
Nottingham Forest
1 - 1
Crystal Palace
Brentford
0 - 2
Nottingham Forest
Fenerbahçe
1 - 1
Kasımpaşa
Trabzonspor
2 - 3
Fenerbahçe
Fenerbahçe
3 - 1
Gençlerbirliği
Kocaelispor
0 - 2
Fenerbahçe
Fenerbahçe
1 - 1
Göztepe

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