Notts County vs Grimsby Prediction & Tips | EFL Trophy | FootballTips.app
Notts County
HomeFull Time
2 - 1
HT: 1 - 0
Tuesday 22 September
Grimsby
Awayauto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified Very High Model Confidence
12.15
X3.40
22.86
Recommended Bet
No tip
No qualifying edge — see Value Comparison below
57
Best near-miss
Key Factors
Season: Home 1.20 PPG vs Away 1.40 PPG
Recent Form (weighted): Home 0.65 PPG vs Away 2.10 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 1.20 GPG vs Away 1.50 GPG
Defense (venue): Home 0.60 conc vs Away 1.50 conc
donut_small Win Probabilities
27%
22%
51%
Notts County
Draw
Grimsby
payments
Value Comparison
| Outcome | Market Odds | True Odds (AI) | Fair Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 Goals | 1.69 | 1.89 | 1.81 | -10.5% |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 2.09 | 2.13 | 2.24 | -1.7% |
| Notts County Win | 2.11 | 3.76 | 2.38 | -43.8% |
| Draw | 3.58 | 4.49 | 4.03 | -20.3% |
| Grimsby Town Win | 2.68 | 2.77 | 3.02 | -3.2% |
| BTTS - Yes | 1.58 | 1.83 | 1.72 | -13.6% |
| BTTS - No | 2.20 | 2.21 | 2.39 | -0.3% |
Fair Odds remove the bookmaker margin. Value is raw EV vs market odds; hover a badge for the edge vs fair odds.
compareTeam Comparison
Based on 7 matchesNotts CountyvsGrimsby
1.00Goals / Match1.57
1.29Conceded / Match0.86
0Clean Sheets4
3.43Shots on Target / Match5.00
45.4%Possession %52.7%
73.7%Pass Accuracy %70.5%
radarTeam Profile
Notts County
Grimsby
sports_soccer
31Attack70
shield
40Defense69
swap_horiz
25Possession31
gps_fixed
41Efficiency53
auto_fix_high
19Creativity80
gavel
41Discipline56
sports_soccerGoals & Scoring
7Goals Scored11
9Goals Conceded6
0Clean Sheets4
16Big Chances28
12Big Chances Missed22
1Penalty Goals1
gps_fixedShooting
86Total Shots108
24Shots on Target35
swap_horizPassing & Possession
45.4%Avg Possession52.7%
2,508Total Passes2,550
73.7%Pass Accuracy70.5%
shieldDefending
124Tackles104
58Interceptions64
15Saves12
47.9%Duels Won51.9%
gavelDiscipline
96Fouls91
16Yellow Cards10
8Offsides17
analyticsOther
31Corners52
31Successful Dribbles40
1Errors Leading to Goal1
6.99Avg Rating7.41
history Recent Form
Notts CountyL
L
D
D
W
GrimsbyW
W
D
D
D
group Head to Head
PL28 Feb 2026
0-1
PL13 Dec 2025
0-2
PL11 Mar 2025
0-2
PL22 Aug 2024
4-1
PL13 Jan 2024
5-5
63%
Over 2.5 Goals
56%
Both Team Score
Head-to-Head Detailed
Over 1.5 Goals
81%
13 / 16 matches
Over 2.5 Goals
63%
10 / 16 matches
Over 3.5 Goals
31%
5 / 16 matches
Both Teams to Score
56%
9 / 16 matches
Notts County CS
25%
Clean Sheets
Grimsby CS
25%
Clean Sheets
Recent Matches
28 Feb 2026
Notts County
0 - 1
Grimsby Town
13 Dec 2025
Grimsby Town
0 - 2
Notts County
11 Mar 2025
Grimsby Town
0 - 2
Notts County
22 Aug 2024
Notts County
4 - 1
Grimsby Town
13 Jan 2024
Grimsby Town
5 - 5
Notts County
12 Aug 2023
Notts County
3 - 2
Grimsby Town
23 May 2022
Notts County
1 - 2
Grimsby Town
5 Feb 2022
Notts County
1 - 2
Grimsby Town
30 Oct 2021
Grimsby Town
0 - 1
Notts County
27 Apr 2019
Notts County
2 - 1
Grimsby Town
22 Dec 2018
Grimsby Town
4 - 0
Notts County
4 Sept 2018
Grimsby Town
2 - 1
Notts County
Current Form Comparison
Form (Overall)
1.20
Form (Overall)
1.40
Grimsby is +17% better in terms of Points Per Game
Reading
2 - 0
Notts County
Notts County
0 - 1
Bradford City
Huddersfield Town
1 - 1
Notts County
Doncaster Rovers
1 - 1
Notts County
Notts County
2 - 1
Burton Albion
Grimsby Town
2 - 0
Crawley Town
Grimsby Town
2 - 0
Bristol Rovers
Cheltenham Town
2 - 2
Grimsby Town
Accrington Stanley
2 - 2
Grimsby Town
Grimsby Town
2 - 2
Fleetwood Town
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