Novorizontino vs Avai Prediction & Tips | Serie B | FootballTips.app

Novorizontino
HomeFull Time
3 - 1
HT: 3 - 1
Saturday 5 September

Avai
AwayNovorizontinoTimelineAvai
1st Half
Madson (Robson)
sports_soccer
9'
Allyson (Jean Lucas)
sports_soccer
24'
Douglas Teixeira
34'
Romulo (Penalty missed)
close
37'
RobsonAssist: Reidiney
sports_soccer
39'
Romulo (Jordi)
sports_soccer
45+7'
2nd Half
IsaiasOut: Vizeu F.
sync_alt
46'
Patrick
46'
Leo ChuOut: Luiz Henrique
sync_alt
60'
Kaua GabrielOut: Gabriel Cipriano
sync_alt
60'
Reidiney
61'
Matheus BianquiOut: Reidiney
sync_alt
65'
Immig V.Out: Douglas Teixeira
sync_alt
71'
Ze RicardoOut: Wenderson
sync_alt
71'
Diego GaloOut: Nicolas Careca
sync_alt
74'
CarlaoOut: Robson
sync_alt
74'
JuninhoOut: Romulo
sync_alt
79'
Ivan AlvarinoOut: Madson
sync_alt
79'
Top stats
2.64Expected goals (xG)0.44
53%Ball possession47%
18Total shots7
8Shots on target4
5Big chances1
8Corner kicks2
84% (396/473)Passes83% (366/440)
2Yellow cards1
Shots
2.64Expected goals (xG)0.44
3.15xG on target (xGOT)1.21
18Total shots7
8Shots on target4
7Shots off target1
3Blocked shots2
13Shots inside the box4
5Shots outside the box3
1Hit the woodwork0
1Headed goals1
Attack
5Big chances1
8Corner kicks2
24Touches in opposition box10
1Accurate through passes0
0Offsides3
10Free kicks13
Passes
84% (396/473)Passes83% (366/440)
46% (33/71)Long passes45% (24/53)
65% (97/150)Passes in final third72% (48/67)
33% (11/33)Crosses27% (4/15)
1.13Expected assists (xA)0.56
26Throw ins30
Defense
13Fouls10
75% (3/4)Tackles79% (11/14)
31Duels won51
9Clearances30
9Interceptions10
0Errors leading to shot0
0Errors leading to goal0
Goalkeeping
3Goalkeeper saves5
1.21xGOT faced3.15
0.21Goals prevented0.15
4Goal kicks3
auto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified Very High Confidence
11.45
X3.99
27.04
Recommended Bet
Away Win
Odds: 7.04Stake: Medium (6/10)
62
Opp. Value
Key Factors
League Rank: Home #4 vs Away #16
Season: Home 1.72 PPG vs Away 1.16 PPG
Recent Form (weighted): Home 1.95 PPG vs Away 1.80 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 1.58 GPG vs Away 1.08 GPG
donut_small Win Probabilities
61%
Novorizontino Win
22%
Draw
17%
Avai Win
Novorizontino
Draw
Avai
payments
Value Comparison
| Outcome | Market Odds | True Odds (AI) | Fair Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 Goals | 1.95 | 2.19 | — | -10.9% |
| Novorizontino Win | 1.45 | 1.64 | 1.57 | -11.4% |
| Draw | 3.99 | 4.49 | 4.32 | -11.2% |
| Avaí Win | 7.04 | 6.01 | 7.62 | +17.2% |
| BTTS - Yes | 2.00 | 2.02 | — | -1.2% |
Fair Odds remove the bookmaker margin. Value is raw EV vs market odds; hover a badge for the edge vs fair odds.
compareTeam Comparison
Based on 25 matchesNovorizontinovsAvai
1.64Goals / Match1.08
0.88Conceded / Match1.24
9Clean Sheets7
5.16Shots on Target / Match3.52
48.0%Possession %46.8%
80.1%Pass Accuracy %79.2%
radarTeam Profile
Novorizontino
Avai
sports_soccer
58Attack26
shield
56Defense54
swap_horiz
42Possession42
gps_fixed
64Efficiency49
auto_fix_high
62Creativity32
gavel
42Discipline17
sports_soccerGoals & Scoring
41Goals Scored27
22Goals Conceded31
9Clean Sheets7
65Big Chances36
39Big Chances Missed22
3Penalty Goals2
gps_fixedShooting
377Total Shots306
129Shots on Target88
swap_horizPassing & Possession
48.0%Avg Possession46.8%
9,148Total Passes9,218
80.1%Pass Accuracy79.2%
shieldDefending
337Tackles360
213Interceptions235
52Saves92
50.4%Duels Won48.7%
gavelDiscipline
343Fouls393
49Yellow Cards66
1Red Cards4
49Offsides36
analyticsOther
154Corners103
145Successful Dribbles165
5Errors Leading to Goal4
6.88Avg Rating6.74
history Recent Form
W
W
L
L
W
W
W
L
D
L
group Head to Head
PL4 May 2026
3-3
PL3 Aug 2025
1-1
PL7 Apr 2025
1-1
PL23 Oct 2024
2-0
PL9 Jul 2024
0-1
14%
Over 2.5 Goals
43%
Both Team Score
Head-to-Head Detailed
Over 1.5 Goals
71%
5 / 7 matches
Over 2.5 Goals
14%
1 / 7 matches
Over 3.5 Goals
14%
1 / 7 matches
Both Teams to Score
43%
3 / 7 matches
Novorizontino CS
43%
Clean Sheets
Avai CS
14%
Clean Sheets
Recent Matches
4 May 2026
Avaí
3 - 3
Novorizontino
3 Aug 2025
Novorizontino
1 - 1
Avaí
7 Apr 2025
Avaí
1 - 1
Novorizontino
23 Oct 2024
Novorizontino
2 - 0
Avaí
9 Jul 2024
Avaí
0 - 1
Novorizontino
12 Sept 2023
Avaí
1 - 0
Novorizontino
24 May 2023
Novorizontino
2 - 0
Avaí
Current Form Comparison
Form (Overall)
1.92
Form (Overall)
0.92
Novorizontino is +109% better in terms of Points Per Game
Novorizontino
2 - 1
Sport Recife
Novorizontino
3 - 0
América Mineiro
Novorizontino
0 - 1
Juventude
Novorizontino
0 - 1
Criciúma
Novorizontino
3 - 0
Atlético GO
Ponte Preta
0 - 2
Avaí
Operário PR
1 - 2
Avaí
Juventude
1 - 0
Avaí
São Bernardo
1 - 1
Avaí
Botafogo SP
3 - 1
Avaí
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