Olympiacos Piraeus vs Jagiellonia Prediction & Tips | Europa League - League phase | FootballTips.app

Olympiacos Piraeus

Olympiacos Piraeus

Home
Full Time
2 - 1
HT: 1 - 1
Wednesday 16 September
Jagiellonia

Jagiellonia

Away
Olympiacos PiraeusTimelineJagiellonia
1st Half
Szmyt K. (Prelec N.)
sports_soccer
20'
Wojtuszek N.
29'
Onyemaechi B.
38'
Gonzalez A. (Retsos P.)
sports_soccer
43'
2nd Half
Tiknizyan N.Out: Onyemaechi B.
sync_alt
46'
Kozlowski E.Out: Romanczuk T.
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46'
Montoia G.
54'
Yaremchuk R.Out: Gonzalez A.
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62'
Finndell H.Out: Klynge A.
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63'
Sylla Y.Out: Imaz J.
sync_alt
63'
Lozano S.Out: Prelec N.
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75'
Hezze S.
76'
Bailey L.Out: Hezze S.
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77'
Puerta G.Out: Chiquinho
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77'
Vital B.
80'
Pedersen M.Out: Saliakas M.
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82'
Yaremchuk R.Assist: Freuler R.
sports_soccer
84'
Agbonifo J.Out: Conceicao R.
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87'
No statistics available for this match
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AI Prediction
verified High Model Confidence
11.36
X5.02
27.67

Recommended Bet

No tip
No qualifying edge — see Value Comparison below

Key Factors

⚠️ Using limited statistical data
Model Consensus: 2-1 (Home)
⛔ insufficient_data: SofaScore stats required for both teams (home 4, away 7; need 5+ each)
⛔ insufficient_data: SofaScore stats required for both teams (home 4, away 7; need 5+ each)

donut_small Win Probabilities

70%
15%
15%
Olympiacos Piraeus
Draw
Jagiellonia
payments

Value Comparison

OutcomeMarket OddsTrue Odds (AI)Value
Over 2.5 Goals1.621.86-13.0%
Olympiacos Win1.361.43-4.8%
Draw5.026.59-23.8%
Jagiellonia Bialystok Win7.676.75+13.6%

Fair Odds remove the bookmaker margin. Value is raw EV vs market odds; hover a badge for the edge vs fair odds.

Match Preview

Olympiacos begin their Europa League campaign at home to Jagiellonia Białystok after dropping out of Champions League qualifying, while the Polish visitors arrive having successfully negotiated the Europa League play-offs. Imanol Alguacil’s side are looking to recover from a disappointing European exit and a surprise domestic defeat at the weekend.

The Greek champions were eliminated 2-1 on aggregate by NEC Nijmegen in the Champions League third qualifying round. After a goalless first leg in Piraeus, Olympiacos lost 2-1 after extra time in the Netherlands, with Ayoub El Kaabi scoring their only goal of the tie.

Jagiellonia reached the league phase in far more convincing fashion, beating Iberia 1999 6-1 on aggregate. A 4-0 home victory gave them control of the tie before Jesús Imaz and Anders Klynge scored in a 2-1 away win to complete qualification.

This will be the first competitive meeting between the clubs, although Olympiacos beat them 5-0 in a friendly in 2019. The hosts have not won their opening match in any of their last four major European campaigns, while Jagiellonia are entering their third consecutive season in the main phase of a UEFA competition.

The visitors also travel with an impressive continental away record, remaining unbeaten on the road in Europe since the start of last season. Olympiacos, by contrast, have won only one of their last six European home matches and were beaten 1-0 by OFI Crete in their most recent domestic outing.

Even so, the hosts retain a considerable advantage in experience and individual quality. El Kaabi's absence significantly reduces their attacking threat, but with Jota Silva, Leon Bailey and Chiquinho supporting Armando González, Olympiacos should still have enough creativity to test a Jagiellonia defence stepping up to a stronger level of competition.

Lineups

Lineup Predictions & Ratings

Olympiacos Piraeus

Starting 11
-Stefan Ortega
GK
-Nayair Tiknizyan
DL
-Lorenzo Pirola
DC
-Panagiotis Retsos
DC
-Marcus Pedersen
DR
-Remo Freuler
DMC
-Gustavo Puerta
DMC
-Leon Bailey
AML
-Chiquinho
AMC
-Jota Silva
AMR
-Armando González
FW

Jagiellonia

Starting 11
-Slawomir Abramowicz
GK
-Guilherme Montóia
DL
-Yuki Kobayashi
DC
-Bernardo Vital
DC
-Norbert Wojtuszek
DR
-Taras Romanczuk
DMC
-Kajetan Szmyt
ML
-Jesús Imaz
MC
-Anders Klynge
MC
-Jeremy Agbonifo
MR
-Nik Prelec
FW
Ratings based on player performance in recent matches

compareTeam Comparison

Based on 4 / 7 matches
Olympiacos PiraeusvsJagiellonia
0.75Goals / Match1.57
0.50Conceded / Match1.43
2Clean Sheets1
6.25Shots on Target / Match4.14
61.5%Possession %55.6%
83.5%Pass Accuracy %83.7%

sports_soccerGoals & Scoring

3Goals Scored11
2Goals Conceded10
2Clean Sheets1
15Big Chances12
13Big Chances Missed6
1Penalty Goals2

gps_fixedShooting

78Total Shots89
25Shots on Target29

swap_horizPassing & Possession

61.5%Avg Possession55.6%
1,987Total Passes3,269
83.5%Pass Accuracy83.7%

shieldDefending

69Tackles116
18Interceptions53
8Saves22
49.2%Duels Won50.6%

gavelDiscipline

63Fouls98
9Yellow Cards12
1Red Cards0
7Offsides12

analyticsOther

37Corners25
33Successful Dribbles45
1Errors Leading to Goal0
7.54Avg Rating7.25

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