Once Caldas vs Alianza Prediction & Tips | Copa Colombia - Second stage | FootballTips.app
Once Caldas
HomeFull Time
1 - 0
HT: 1 - 0
Thursday 10 September
Alianza
AwayOnce CaldasTimelineAlianza
1st Half
Roa A. ()
sports_soccer
17'
Alvarado J.
43'
2nd Half
Moreno D.Out: Zapata Ramirez J. A.
sync_alt
64'
Quinones J.Out: Colorado A.
sync_alt
64'
Villegas C.Out: Perez Balcazar J. E.
sync_alt
72'
Rada H.Out: Viveros J.
sync_alt
72'
Torres E.Out: Barrios M.
sync_alt
74'
Beltran J.Out: Roa A.
sync_alt
77'
Moreno D. (Penalty missed)
close
83'
No statistics available for this match
auto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified Model Confidence
11.33
X4.18
28.22
Recommended Bet
No tip
No qualifying edge — see Value Comparison below
Key Factors
⚠️ Using limited statistical data
Attack Quality: Home 38% on target vs Away 27% on target
Standings: Home GD +0 (0pts) vs Away GD +3 (7pts)
⛔ No market cleared quality gates — no tip published
donut_small Win Probabilities
44%
Once Caldas Win
26%
Draw
30%
Alianza Win
Once Caldas
Draw
Alianza
payments
Value Comparison
| Outcome | Market Odds | True Odds (AI) | Fair Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 Goals | 1.92 | 2.06 | 2.03 | -6.9% |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 1.87 | 1.94 | 1.97 | -3.7% |
| Home Win | 1.44 | 2.26 | 1.53 | -36.3% |
| Draw | 4.00 | 3.86 | 4.25 | +3.7% |
| Away Win | 8.50 | 3.35 | 9.03 | +153.4% |
| BTTS - Yes | 1.50 | 1.78 | 1.60 | -15.8% |
| BTTS - No | 2.50 | 2.28 | 2.67 | +9.7% |
Fair Odds remove the bookmaker margin. Value is raw EV vs market odds; hover a badge for the edge vs fair odds.
compareTeam Comparison
Based on 28 / 4 matchesOnce CaldasvsAlianza
1.57Goals / Match1.25
1.21Conceded / Match1.00
4Clean Sheets2
54.1%Possession %43.4%
84.3%Pass Accuracy %83.4%
sports_soccerGoals & Scoring
44Goals Scored5
34Goals Conceded4
4Clean Sheets2
4Penalty Goals1
gps_fixedShooting
419Total Shots39
swap_horizPassing & Possession
54.1%Avg Possession43.4%
11,806Total Passes1,448
84.3%Pass Accuracy83.4%
shieldDefending
204Interceptions156
86Saves14
49.4%Duels Won45.1%
gavelDiscipline
285Fouls65
80Yellow Cards11
3Red Cards0
63Offsides7
analyticsOther
148Corners7
125Successful Dribbles38
League Standings Context
For Alianza
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Deportivo Cali | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 12 |
| 2 | Alianza Petrolera | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 |
| 3 | Boca Juniors Cali | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 |
Advanced Stats (Avg per match)
39.7/ 83.5
Dangerous Attacks
35.9/ 77.5
38.0%
Shots on Target
27.0%
14.3
Total Shots
10.7
54.0%
Possession
46.0%
Team Performance (Avg)
1.7
Goals Scored / Match
0.8
1.1
Goals Conceded / Match
1.5
Head-to-Head Summary
1
Once Caldas Wins
17%
2
Draws
33%
3
Alianza Wins
50%
Total H2H Matches: 6
Recent Form Stats
| Market | Once Caldas | Alianza |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 87%26/30 | 67%20/30 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 50%15/30 | 40%12/30 |
| Both Teams to Score | 70%21/30 | 47%14/30 |
* Based on last 30 matches
Past Matches
Last 6: Once Caldas
Co1
Once Caldas
0 - 1
América de Cali
Co1
Once Caldas
5 - 1
Cúcuta Deportivo
CoC
Once Caldas
3 - 0
Envigado FC
Co1
Once Caldas
0 - 1
Junior Barranquilla
Co1
Once Caldas
1 - 0
Atlético Nacional
Co1
Once Caldas
2 - 1
Internacional de Bogotá
Home Games: Once Caldas
Co1
Once Caldas
0 - 1
América de Cali
Co1
Once Caldas
5 - 1
Cúcuta Deportivo
CoC
Once Caldas
3 - 0
Envigado FC
Co1
Once Caldas
0 - 1
Junior Barranquilla
Co1
Once Caldas
1 - 0
Atlético Nacional
Co1
Once Caldas
2 - 1
Internacional de Bogotá
Last 6: Alianza
Co1
América de Cali
3 - 0
Alianza Petrolera
Co1
Cúcuta Deportivo
1 - 0
Alianza Petrolera
CoC
Atlético Bucaramanga
1 - 2
Alianza Petrolera
CoC
Deportivo Cali
1 - 0
Alianza Petrolera
CoC
Boca Juniors Cali
1 - 1
Alianza Petrolera
Co1
Llaneros FC (COL)
0 - 0
Alianza Petrolera
Away Games: Alianza
Co1
América de Cali
3 - 0
Alianza Petrolera
Co1
Cúcuta Deportivo
1 - 0
Alianza Petrolera
CoC
Atlético Bucaramanga
1 - 2
Alianza Petrolera
CoC
Deportivo Cali
1 - 0
Alianza Petrolera
CoC
Boca Juniors Cali
1 - 1
Alianza Petrolera
Co1
Llaneros FC (COL)
0 - 0
Alianza Petrolera
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