Osasuna vs Rayo Vallecano Prediction & Tips | LaLiga | FootballTips.app
Osasuna
HomeFull Time
1 - 1
HT: 1 - 0
Saturday 19 September
Rayo Vallecano
Awayauto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified Medium Confidence
12.39
X3.32
23.08
Recommended Bet
cancel
Over 2.5 Goals
Odds: 2.11Stake: High (9/10)
87
Opp. Value
Key Factors
League Rank: Home #13 vs Away #11
Season: Home 1.17 PPG vs Away 1.17 PPG
Recent Form (weighted): Home 1.25 PPG vs Away 0.30 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 0.33 GPG vs Away 1.33 GPG
donut_small Win Probabilities
43%
25%
32%
Osasuna
Draw
Rayo Vallecano
payments
Value Comparison
| Outcome | Market Odds | True Odds (AI) | Fair Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 Goals | 2.11 | 1.72 | 2.17 | +22.7% |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 1.80 | 2.39 | 1.85 | -24.7% |
| CA Osasuna Win | 2.37 | 2.34 | 2.54 | +1.2% |
| Draw | 3.30 | 3.95 | 3.53 | -16.4% |
| Rayo Vallecano Win | 2.90 | 3.13 | 3.10 | -7.4% |
| BTTS - Yes | 1.75 | 1.78 | 1.90 | -1.6% |
| BTTS - No | 1.95 | 2.28 | 2.11 | -14.7% |
Fair Odds remove the bookmaker margin. Value is raw EV vs market odds; hover a badge for the edge vs fair odds.
Match Preview
Osasuna are on a tricky run of form, losing their last three games in La Liga. During that period, they've managed to concede 11 goals.
Rayo Vallecano have failed to keep a clean sheet in their last 12 games, so there could be goals in this one. They have, however, won two of their last three matches.
Osasuna won both of their meetings with Rayo Vallecano last season. There hasn't been a goalless draw in the last 18 meetings between the two sides.
Lineups
Lineup Predictions & Ratings
Osasuna
Starting 11
-Sergio Herrera
GK6.07
-Abel Bretones
DL6.29
-Rockson Yeboah
DC6.32
-Alejandro Catena
DC6.57
-Iñigo Arguibide
DR6.30
-Iker Muñoz
DMC6.48
-Jon Moncayola
DMC6.34
-Kike Barja
AML6.34
-Rubén García
AMC6.46
-Romain Del Castillo
AMR6.13
-Ante Budimir
FW7.10
Rayo Vallecano
Starting 11
-Emil Audero
GK7.13
-Adrià Pedrosa
DL6.88
-Pathé Ciss
DC6.71
-Florian Lejeune
DC6.26
-Andrei Ratiu
DR6.47
-Gnangoro
DMC6.38
-Óscar Valentín
DMC6.42
-Álvaro García
AML6.73
-Pedro Díaz
AMC6.53
-Jozhua Vertrouwd
AMR6.02
-Sergio Camello
FW7.39
Ratings based on player performance in recent matches
compareTeam Comparison
Based on 6 matchesOsasunavsRayo Vallecano
0.83Goals / Match1.67
2.00Conceded / Match2.50
2Clean Sheets0
4.00Shots on Target / Match5.00
47.0%Possession %46.3%
81.6%Pass Accuracy %80.2%
radarTeam Profile
Osasuna
Rayo Vallecano
sports_soccer
19Attack47
shield
41Defense32
swap_horiz
46Possession46
gps_fixed
64Efficiency81
auto_fix_high
28Creativity56
gavel
43Discipline13
sports_soccerGoals & Scoring
5Goals Scored10
12Goals Conceded15
2Clean Sheets0
13Big Chances12
9Big Chances Missed7
3Penalty Goals0
gps_fixedShooting
56Total Shots75
24Shots on Target30
swap_horizPassing & Possession
47.0%Avg Possession46.3%
2,447Total Passes2,194
81.6%Pass Accuracy80.2%
shieldDefending
101Tackles101
42Interceptions64
13Saves21
50.9%Duels Won45.8%
gavelDiscipline
77Fouls81
14Yellow Cards15
0Red Cards2
13Offsides7
analyticsOther
17Corners33
38Successful Dribbles46
2Errors Leading to Goal3
7.06Avg Rating6.87
Statistical Comparison
OsasunaMetricRayo Vallecano
5
Goals
10
2
Assists
7
6.4
Average Ratings
6.4
28.4
Average Age
28.5
183.7
Average Height (cm)
180.9
0.8
Shots pg
1
54%
Aerial Duel Success
45%
0.4
Dribbles pg
0.7
1.2
Tackles pg
1.3
history Recent Form
OsasunaL
W
D
L
W
Rayo VallecanoL
L
L
L
W
group Head to Head
PL24 Jan 2026
1-3
PL14 Sept 2025
2-0
PL19 Jan 2025
1-1
PL16 Sept 2024
3-1
PL20 Apr 2024
2-1
56%
Over 2.5 Goals
50%
Both Team Score
Head-to-Head Detailed
Over 1.5 Goals
72%
13 / 18 matches
Over 2.5 Goals
56%
10 / 18 matches
Over 3.5 Goals
28%
5 / 18 matches
Both Teams to Score
50%
9 / 18 matches
Osasuna CS
39%
Clean Sheets
Rayo Vallecano CS
17%
Clean Sheets
Recent Matches
24 Jan 2026
Rayo Vallecano
1 - 3
CA Osasuna
14 Sept 2025
CA Osasuna
2 - 0
Rayo Vallecano
19 Jan 2025
CA Osasuna
1 - 1
Rayo Vallecano
16 Sept 2024
Rayo Vallecano
3 - 1
CA Osasuna
20 Apr 2024
Rayo Vallecano
2 - 1
CA Osasuna
15 Dec 2023
CA Osasuna
1 - 0
Rayo Vallecano
14 Apr 2023
Rayo Vallecano
2 - 1
CA Osasuna
4 Sept 2022
CA Osasuna
2 - 1
Rayo Vallecano
12 Feb 2022
Rayo Vallecano
0 - 3
CA Osasuna
2 Oct 2021
CA Osasuna
1 - 0
Rayo Vallecano
2 Feb 2018
CA Osasuna
1 - 1
Rayo Vallecano
10 Sept 2017
Rayo Vallecano
0 - 3
CA Osasuna
Current Form Comparison
Form (Overall)
1.33
Form (Overall)
0.00
Osasuna is +100% better in terms of Points Per Game
CA Osasuna
0 - 2
RCD Espanyol
CA Osasuna
1 - 0
Getafe CF
CA Osasuna
0 - 0
Levante UD
CA Osasuna
0 - 2
Al Ain
CA Osasuna
2 - 0
Racing Santander
Real Madrid
4 - 1
Rayo Vallecano
FC Barcelona
5 - 2
Rayo Vallecano
Sevilla FC
2 - 1
Rayo Vallecano
Ipswich Town
3 - 0
Rayo Vallecano
Sporting Charleroi
2 - 3
Rayo Vallecano
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