Osasuna vs Real Madrid Prediction & Tips | LaLiga | FootballTips.app

Osasuna

Osasuna

Home
Full Time
2 - 1
HT: 1 - 0
Saturday 21 February
Real Madrid

Real Madrid

Away
OsasunaTimelineReal Madrid
1st Half
Oroz A.
32'
Courtois T.
37'
Budimir A.(Penalty)
sports_soccer
38'
2nd Half
Diaz B.Out: Camavinga E.
sync_alt
64'
Alexander-Arnold T.Out: Carvajal D.
sync_alt
64'
Moncayola J.
66'
Bretones A.Out: Garcia R.
sync_alt
66'
Garcia R.Out: Budimir A.
sync_alt
67'
Munoz I.Out: Oroz A.
sync_alt
71'
Vinicius Junior (Valverde F.)
sports_soccer
73'
Garcia G.Out: Valverde F.
sync_alt
75'
Ceballos D.Out: Guler A.
sync_alt
82'
Arguibide I.Out: Rosier V.
sync_alt
83'
Moro R.Out: Moncayola J.
sync_alt
83'
Alexander-Arnold T.
84'
Vinicius Junior
88'
Garcia R.Assist: Moro R.
sports_soccer
90'
Alaba D.
90+3'

Top stats

2.29Expected goals (xG)1.70
39%Ball possession61%
13Total shots15
2Shots on target5
3Big chances3
3Corner kicks7
83% (293/353)Passes90% (511/570)
2Yellow cards4

Shots

2.29Expected goals (xG)1.70
1.09xG on target (xGOT)1.85
13Total shots15
2Shots on target5
6Shots off target5
5Blocked shots5
11Shots inside the box7
2Shots outside the box8
1Hit the woodwork0

Attack

3Big chances3
3Corner kicks7
20Touches in opposition box28
0Accurate through passes2
1Offsides2
10Free kicks19

Passes

83% (293/353)Passes90% (511/570)
48% (16/33)Long passes50% (20/40)
78% (87/112)Passes in final third83% (138/167)
31% (5/16)Crosses24% (5/21)
1.16Expected assists (xA)1.65
10Throw ins14

Defense

19Fouls10
75% (6/8)Tackles77% (10/13)
35Duels won44
26Clearances16
9Interceptions8
1Errors leading to shot0
0Errors leading to goal1

Goalkeeping

4Goalkeeper saves1
1.85xGOT faced1.09
0.85Goals prevented-0.91
auto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified Very High Confidence
14.96
X4.20
21.69

Recommended Bet

cancel
Away Win
Stake: High (9/10)
88
Opp. Value

Key Factors

League Rank: Home #10 vs Away #1
Season: Home 1.25 PPG vs Away 2.50 PPG
Recent Form (weighted): Home 2.00 PPG vs Away 3.00 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 1.82 GPG vs Away 2.00 GPG

donut_small Win Probabilities

2%
2%
96%
Osasuna
Draw
Real Madrid

Lineup Predictions & Ratings

Osasuna

Starting 11
-Sergio Herrera
GK6.87
-Javi Galán
DL7.45
-Alejandro Catena
DC6.78
-Jorge Herrando
DC6.47
-Valentin Rosier
DR6.58
-Jon Moncayola
DMC6.64
-Lucas Torró
DMC6.64
-Aimar Oroz
AML6.68
-Víctor Muñoz
AMC6.75
-Rubén García
AMR6.80
-Ante Budimir
FW6.85

Real Madrid

Starting 11
-Thibaut Courtois
GK6.68
-Álvaro Carreras
DL7.02
-Raúl Asencio
DC6.70
-Dean Huijsen
DC6.92
-Trent Alexander-Arnold
DR6.72
-Aurélien Tchouaméni
MC7.04
-Eduardo Camavinga
MC6.85
-Federico Valverde
MC7.11
-Arda Güler
AMC7.10
-Vinícius Júnior
FW7.34
-Kylian Mbappé
FW8.05
Ratings based on player performance in recent matches

Match Preview

In a La Liga clash on February 21, 2026, Osasuna will host Real Madrid at Estadio El Sadar.

Osasuna has secured 6 wins in 11 home matches this season, while Real Madrid enters the match on the back of 5 wins in their last 6 games across all competitions.

Looking at their head-to-head record, Osasuna has struggled against Real Madrid, losing 83% of their last 6 encounters.

Furthermore, Osasuna has witnessed over 2.5 goals in 4 of their last 6 matches against Real Madrid, with Real Madrid also seeing over 2.5 goals in 67% of their recent 6 away fixtures.

With both teams showing a tendency for high-scoring games in their recent encounters, the fans can expect an entertaining match with potentially plenty of goals.

Prediction: Over 2.5 goals.

Osasuna are on a strong run of form at the moment, undefeated in their previous five games. At home, they've lost just twice all season, winning six times from 11 games.

Real Madrid are now top of the La Liga table, after Barcelona slipped up against Girona on Monday. They've won eight games on the bounce, while they are also unbeaten in eight away matches.

Earlier in the season when these two sides met, Real Madrid secured a 1-0 victory. It's been a while since Osasuna have beaten Madrid, with their last victory coming all the way back in 2011.

compareTeam Comparison

Based on 24 matches
OsasunavsReal Madrid
1.17Goals / Match2.21
1.17Conceded / Match0.79
6Clean Sheets11
3.50Shots on Target / Match7.04
44.8%Possession %59.0%
79.1%Pass Accuracy %89.5%

radarTeam Profile

Osasuna
Real Madrid
AttackDefensePossessionEfficiencyCreativityDiscipline
sports_soccer
27Attack88
shield
52Defense67
swap_horiz
42Possession86
gps_fixed
65Efficiency73
auto_fix_high
27Creativity74
gavel
26Discipline46

sports_soccerGoals & Scoring

28Goals Scored53
28Goals Conceded19
6Clean Sheets11
38Big Chances86
19Big Chances Missed51
3Penalty Goals11

gps_fixedShooting

260Total Shots446
84Shots on Target169

swap_horizPassing & Possession

44.8%Avg Possession59.0%
8,967Total Passes13,958
79.1%Pass Accuracy89.5%

shieldDefending

377Tackles417
193Interceptions170
87Saves51
49.9%Duels Won55.1%

gavelDiscipline

320Fouls240
58Yellow Cards40
4Red Cards5
31Offsides41

analyticsOther

76Corners154
169Successful Dribbles253
5Errors Leading to Goal2
6.82Avg Rating7.09

Statistical Comparison

OsasunaMetricReal Madrid
27
Goals
53
20
Assists
39
6.5
Average Ratings
6.7
28.8
Average Age
24.8
183
Average Height (cm)
183.7
0.7
Shots pg
1.1
54%
Aerial Duel Success
57%
0.8
Dribbles pg
0.9
1.4
Tackles pg
1.2

League Standings Context

For Osasuna

PosTeamPWDLPts
9Real Sociedad2487931
10Osasuna24861030
11Getafe24851129

For Real Madrid

PosTeamPWDLPts
1Real Madrid24193260
2Barcelona24191458

Advanced Stats (Avg per match)

45.2/ 90.9
Dangerous Attacks
64.5/ 113.1
35.0%
Shots on Target
39.0%
11.8
Total Shots
18.5
47.0%
Possession
58.0%

Team Performance (Avg)

1.5
Goals Scored / Match
2.3
1.2
Goals Conceded / Match
1.1

Head-to-Head Summary

0
Osasuna Wins
0%
1
Draws
17%
5
Real Madrid Wins
83%
Total H2H Matches: 6

Recent Form Stats

MarketOsasunaReal Madrid
Over 1.5 Goals
71%20/28
111%31/28
Over 2.5 Goals
46%13/28
86%24/28
Both Teams to Score
50%14/28
75%21/28
* Based on last 28 matches

Past Matches

Last 6: Osasuna

Es1
Osasuna
2 - 2
Villarreal
Es1
Osasuna
3 - 2
Real Oviedo
Es1
Osasuna
1 - 1
Athletic Bilbao
Es1
Osasuna
3 - 0
Deportivo Alavés
Es1
Osasuna
2 - 0
Levante
Es1
Osasuna
1 - 3
Real Sociedad

Home Games: Osasuna

Es1
Osasuna
2 - 2
Villarreal
Es1
Osasuna
3 - 2
Real Oviedo
Es1
Osasuna
1 - 1
Athletic Bilbao
Es1
Osasuna
3 - 0
Deportivo Alavés
Es1
Osasuna
2 - 0
Levante
Es1
Osasuna
1 - 3
Real Sociedad

Last 6: Real Madrid

UCL
SL Benfica
0 - 1
Real Madrid
Es1
Valencia
0 - 2
Real Madrid
UCL
SL Benfica
4 - 2
Real Madrid
Es1
Villarreal
0 - 2
Real Madrid
EsC
Albacete Balompie
3 - 2
Real Madrid
SSC
Barcelona
3 - 2
Real Madrid

Away Games: Real Madrid

UCL
SL Benfica
0 - 1
Real Madrid
Es1
Valencia
0 - 2
Real Madrid
UCL
SL Benfica
4 - 2
Real Madrid
Es1
Villarreal
0 - 2
Real Madrid
EsC
Albacete Balompie
3 - 2
Real Madrid
SSC
Barcelona
3 - 2
Real Madrid

history Recent Form

OsasunaOsasuna
1.3 GPG
D
W
D
W
W
Real MadridReal Madrid
2.5 GPG
W
W
W
W
W

group Head to Head

PL19 Aug 2025
Real Madrid
1-0
CA Osasuna
PL15 Feb 2025
CA Osasuna
1-1
Real Madrid
PL9 Nov 2024
Real Madrid
4-0
CA Osasuna
PL16 Mar 2024
CA Osasuna
2-4
Real Madrid
PL7 Oct 2023
Real Madrid
4-0
CA Osasuna
53%
Over 2.5 Goals
50%
Both Team Score

Head-to-Head Detailed

Over 1.5 Goals
77%
23 / 30 matches
Over 2.5 Goals
53%
16 / 30 matches
Over 3.5 Goals
47%
14 / 30 matches
Both Teams to Score
50%
15 / 30 matches
Osasuna CS
17%
Clean Sheets
Real Madrid CS
47%
Clean Sheets

Recent Matches

19 Aug 2025
Real Madrid
1 - 0
CA Osasuna
15 Feb 2025
CA Osasuna
1 - 1
Real Madrid
9 Nov 2024
Real Madrid
4 - 0
CA Osasuna
16 Mar 2024
CA Osasuna
2 - 4
Real Madrid
7 Oct 2023
Real Madrid
4 - 0
CA Osasuna
6 May 2023
Real Madrid
2 - 1
CA Osasuna
18 Feb 2023
CA Osasuna
0 - 2
Real Madrid
2 Oct 2022
Real Madrid
1 - 1
CA Osasuna
20 Apr 2022
CA Osasuna
1 - 3
Real Madrid
27 Oct 2021
Real Madrid
0 - 0
CA Osasuna
1 May 2021
Real Madrid
2 - 0
CA Osasuna
9 Jan 2021
CA Osasuna
0 - 0
Real Madrid

Current Form Comparison

Form (Overall)
Osasuna
1.25
Form (Overall)
Real Madrid
2.50

Real Madrid is +100% better in terms of Points Per Game

Elche CF
0 - 0
CA Osasuna
Celta de Vigo
1 - 2
CA Osasuna
CA Osasuna
2 - 2
Villarreal
Rayo Vallecano
1 - 3
CA Osasuna
CA Osasuna
3 - 2
Real Oviedo
Real Madrid
4 - 1
Real Sociedad
Valencia CF
0 - 2
Real Madrid
Real Madrid
2 - 1
Rayo Vallecano
Villarreal
0 - 2
Real Madrid
Real Madrid
2 - 0
Levante UD

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