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Paderborn vs Freiburg Prediction & Tips | Bundesliga | FootballTips.app

Paderborn

Paderborn

Home
Full Time
0 - 1
HT: 0 - 1
Saturday 5 September
Freiburg

Freiburg

Away
PaderbornTimelineFreiburg
1st Half
Eggestein M. ()
sports_soccer
26'
Curda L.
38'
Suzuki Y.
43'
2nd Half
Tigges S.Out: Philippe R.
sync_alt
46'
ter Horst J.
48'
Lienhart P.
56'
Engelhardt Y.
59'
Kubler L.Out: Beste J.
sync_alt
74'
Grifo V.Out: Scherhant D.
sync_alt
74'
Batista Meier O.Out: Ulrich L.
sync_alt
74'
Yilmaz B.Out: Engelhardt Y.
sync_alt
82'
Goto K.Out: Suzuki Y.
sync_alt
82'
Sticker J.Out: ter Horst J.
sync_alt
82'
Marino S.Out: Pieringer M.
sync_alt
82'
Mohr N.Out: Hansen M.
sync_alt
89'
Scheller T.
90+3'

Top stats

0.77Expected goals (xG)1.24
59%Ball possession41%
14Total shots16
3Shots on target5
0Big chances1
5Corner kicks4
82% (443/538)Passes75% (276/366)
3Yellow cards3

Shots

0.77Expected goals (xG)1.24
0.61xG on target (xGOT)2.18
14Total shots16
3Shots on target5
6Shots off target3
5Blocked shots8
7Shots inside the box9
7Shots outside the box7
0Hit the woodwork0

Attack

0Big chances1
5Corner kicks4
25Touches in opposition box23
2Accurate through passes0
1Offsides1
10Free kicks16

Passes

82% (443/538)Passes75% (276/366)
37% (23/63)Long passes46% (28/61)
58% (60/103)Passes in final third65% (63/97)
7% (1/14)Crosses38% (6/16)
0.98Expected assists (xA)0.77
13Throw ins17

Defense

16Fouls10
50% (8/16)Tackles68% (13/19)
51Duels won65
29Clearances35
11Interceptions12
2Errors leading to shot0
0Errors leading to goal0

Goalkeeping

4Goalkeeper saves3
2.18xGOT faced0.61
1.18Goals prevented0.61
5Goal kicks9
auto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified Very High Confidence
13.49
X3.84
22.01

Recommended Bet

Home Win
Odds: 3.44Stake: Medium (7/10)
67
Opp. Value

Key Factors

League Rank: Home #9 vs Away #4
Season: Home 1.70 PPG vs Away 2.20 PPG
Recent Form (weighted): Home 1.00 PPG vs Away 3.00 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 1.33 GPG vs Away 3.33 GPG

donut_small Win Probabilities

33%
23%
44%
Paderborn
Draw
Freiburg
payments

Value Comparison

OutcomeMarket OddsTrue Odds (AI)Value
Over 2.5 Goals1.721.67+3.0%
Paderborn Win3.443.02+13.8%
Draw3.704.37-15.4%
Freiburg Win2.032.27-10.6%
BTTS - Yes1.531.71-10.4%

Fair Odds remove the bookmaker margin. Value is raw EV vs market odds; hover a badge for the edge vs fair odds.

Match Preview

Paderborn marked their return to the Bundesliga with a point and a clean sheet against Mainz 05 at the MEWA Arena. However, Ralf Kettemann will hope his side can restrict Freiburg to fewer shots than the 21 given up against Die Nullfünfer.

Yuito Suzuki scored a hat-trick against Werder Bremen last weekend as the Japanese midfielder inspired a dominant 4-1 win at Europa-Park Stadion. Julian Schuster's men now travel to the Home Deluxe Arena, where they will take on one of the three newly promoted sides.

Lineups

Lineup Predictions & Ratings

Paderborn

Starting 11
-Nahuel Noll
GK7.29
-Jonah Sticker
DC6.20
-Tjark Scheller
DC7.66
-Jano ter Horst
DC7.38
-Raphael Obermair
DML6.81
-Santiago Castañeda
MC7.33
-Laurin Ulrich
MC6.15
-Laurin Curda
DMR8.17
-Gabriel Vidovic
AMC6.54
-Marvin Pieringer
AMC6.57
-Stefano Marino
FW6.38

Freiburg

Starting 11
-Mio Backhaus
GK5.39
-Jordy Makengo
DL6.62
-Philipp Lienhart
DC7.29
-Matthias Ginter
DC7.24
-Lukas Kübler
DR7.33
-Yannik Engelhardt
DMC6.39
-Maximilian Eggestein
DMC6.74
-Derry Scherhant
AML6.95
-Yuito Suzuki
AMC9.11
-Niklas Beste
AMR7.06
-Igor Matanovic
FW9.20
Ratings based on player performance in recent matches

compareTeam Comparison

Based on 1 matches
PaderbornvsFreiburg
0.00Goals / Match4.00
0.00Conceded / Match1.00
1Clean Sheets0
0.00Shots on Target / Match5.00
49.0%Possession %53.0%
83.5%Pass Accuracy %89.3%

sports_soccerGoals & Scoring

0Goals Scored4
0Goals Conceded1
1Clean Sheets0
1Big Chances3
1Big Chances Missed0

gps_fixedShooting

10Total Shots19
0Shots on Target5

swap_horizPassing & Possession

49.0%Avg Possession53.0%
462Total Passes487
83.5%Pass Accuracy89.3%

shieldDefending

15Tackles8
14Interceptions7
4Saves2
50.5%Duels Won44.0%

gavelDiscipline

10Fouls13
2Yellow Cards1
1Offsides0

analyticsOther

2Corners6
3Successful Dribbles10
0Errors Leading to Goal1
7.80Avg Rating7.50

Statistical Comparison

PaderbornMetricFreiburg
0
Goals
4
0
Assists
3
6.8
Average Ratings
6.9
23.5
Average Age
26.7
185
Average Height (cm)
185.9
1.4
Shots pg
2.1
54%
Aerial Duel Success
50%
2
Dribbles pg
1.5
2.3
Tackles pg
1.5

history Recent Form

PaderbornPaderborn
1.7 GPG
D
FreiburgFreiburg
2.2 GPG
W

group Head to Head

PL1 Nov 2023
Freiburg
1-3
Paderborn
PL25 Jan 2020
Freiburg
0-2
Paderborn
PL24 Aug 2019
Paderborn
1-3
Freiburg
PL29 Apr 2016
Paderborn
1-2
Freiburg
PL22 Nov 2015
Freiburg
4-1
Paderborn
71%
Over 2.5 Goals
86%
Both Team Score

Head-to-Head Detailed

Over 1.5 Goals
100%
7 / 7 matches
Over 2.5 Goals
71%
5 / 7 matches
Over 3.5 Goals
43%
3 / 7 matches
Both Teams to Score
86%
6 / 7 matches
Paderborn CS
14%
Clean Sheets
Freiburg CS
0%
Clean Sheets

Recent Matches

1 Nov 2023
Freiburg
1 - 3
Paderborn
25 Jan 2020
Freiburg
0 - 2
Paderborn
24 Aug 2019
Paderborn
1 - 3
Freiburg
29 Apr 2016
Paderborn
1 - 2
Freiburg
22 Nov 2015
Freiburg
4 - 1
Paderborn
2 May 2015
Freiburg
1 - 2
Paderborn
6 Dec 2014
Paderborn
1 - 1
Freiburg

Current Form Comparison

Form (Overall)
Paderborn
1.70
Form (Overall)
Freiburg
2.20

Freiburg is +29% better in terms of Points Per Game

Mainz 05
0 - 0
Paderborn
Freiburg
4 - 1
Werder Bremen

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Paderborn vs Freiburg Prediction & Tips | Bundesliga | FootballTips.app