Palermo vs Sampdoria Prediction & Tips | Serie B | FootballTips.app

Palermo

Palermo

Home
Full Time
3 - 1
HT: 2 - 0
Monday 7 September
Sampdoria

Sampdoria

Away
PalermoTimelineSampdoria
1st Half
Strefezza G. (Augello T.)
sports_soccer
9'
Henderson L.
18'
Insigne L.
18'
Vavassori D.Out: Strefezza G.
sync_alt
21'
Pohjanpalo J. ()
sports_soccer
33'
2nd Half
Palumbo A.Out: Hernani
sync_alt
46'
Bani M.
47'
Begic T.Out: Sinani D.
sync_alt
53'
Insigne L.
sports_soccer
63'
Estevez N.Out: Ranocchia F.
sync_alt
65'
Cassandro T.Out: Pierozzi N.
sync_alt
65'
Abildgaard O.Out: Insigne L.
sync_alt
70'
Mezzotero L.Out: Verschaeren Y.
sync_alt
83'
Gabrielloni A.Out: Pohjanpalo J.
sync_alt
84'
Palumbo A.
90+2'
Palumbo A. (Johnsen D.)
sports_soccer
90+4'
Cicconi M.
90+6'

Top stats

1.60Expected goals (xG)1.70
46%Ball possession54%
14Total shots14
6Shots on target5
2Big chances4
2Corner kicks5
79% (330/419)Passes83% (405/490)
2Yellow cards3

Shots

1.60Expected goals (xG)1.70
1.67xG on target (xGOT)1.91
14Total shots14
6Shots on target5
5Shots off target9
3Blocked shots0
10Shots inside the box9
4Shots outside the box5
0Hit the woodwork1

Attack

2Big chances4
2Corner kicks5
21Touches in opposition box24
0Accurate through passes1
1Offsides2
10Free kicks14

Passes

79% (330/419)Passes83% (405/490)
36% (20/56)Long passes45% (21/47)
56% (49/88)Passes in final third73% (124/170)
36% (5/14)Crosses6% (1/17)
0.40Expected assists (xA)1.49
19Throw ins14

Defense

14Fouls10
80% (8/10)Tackles27% (3/11)
38Duels won42
28Clearances18
6Interceptions7
1Errors leading to shot0
0Errors leading to goal0

Goalkeeping

4Goalkeeper saves3
1.91xGOT faced1.67
0.91Goals prevented-1.33
12Goal kicks9
auto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified Very High Confidence
11.78
X3.52
24.59

Recommended Bet

Home Win
Odds: 1.68Stake: Medium (6/10)
61
Opp. Value

Key Factors

League Rank: Home #7 vs Away #16
Season: Home 2.00 PPG vs Away 1.20 PPG
Recent Form (weighted): Home 3.00 PPG vs Away 0.45 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 3.00 GPG vs Away 0.50 GPG

donut_small Win Probabilities

58%
23%
19%
Palermo
Draw
Sampdoria
payments

Value Comparison

OutcomeMarket OddsTrue Odds (AI)Value
Over 2.5 Goals1.872.09-10.5%
Palermo Win1.681.73-2.8%
Draw3.704.31-14.2%
Sampdoria Win4.605.28-12.9%
BTTS - Yes1.801.81-0.6%

Fair Odds remove the bookmaker margin. Value is raw EV vs market odds; hover a badge for the edge vs fair odds.

Match Preview

Palermo boast a perfect record so far, winning all four of their official matches this season across the Coppa Italia and Serie B.

The Rosanero dispatched Lecce and Mantova in the cup before claiming league victories over Juve Stabia (1-0) and Arezzo (3-2).

Sampdoria, by contrast, have picked up just a single point from two matches and arrive off the back of a disappointing home defeat to Juve Stabia.

History favors the hosts in recent encounters: Palermo have won two of the last three meetings between the sides, with the last direct clash at the Stadio Renzo Barbera ending in a 1-0 victory for the Sicilians.

Lineups

Lineup Predictions & Ratings

Palermo

Starting 11
-Mattia Perin
GK
-Tommaso Augello
DL
-Pietro Ceccaroni
DC
-Mattia Bani
DC
-Niccolò Pierozzi
DR
-Jacopo Segre
DMC
-Filippo Ranocchia
DMC
-Gabriel Strefezza
AML
-Hernani
AMC
-Dennis Johnsen
AMR
-Joel Pohjanpalo
FW

Sampdoria

Starting 11
-Peter Vindahl
GK
-Manuel Cicconi
DL
-Mattia Viti
DC
-Stefan Gartenmann
DC
-Alessandro Di Pardo
DR
-Liam Henderson
MC
-Oliver Abildgaard
MC
-Antoine Makoumbou
MC
-Tjas Begic
FWL
-Gennaro Tutino
FW
-Danel Sinani
FWR
Ratings based on player performance in recent matches

compareTeam Comparison

Based on 2 matches
PalermovsSampdoria
2.00Goals / Match1.00
1.00Conceded / Match1.50
1Clean Sheets0
6.00Shots on Target / Match7.50
52.0%Possession %55.0%
81.7%Pass Accuracy %83.8%

sports_soccerGoals & Scoring

4Goals Scored2
2Goals Conceded3
1Clean Sheets0
6Big Chances1
5Big Chances Missed0

gps_fixedShooting

33Total Shots38
12Shots on Target15

swap_horizPassing & Possession

52.0%Avg Possession55.0%
837Total Passes916
81.7%Pass Accuracy83.8%

shieldDefending

27Tackles32
15Interceptions18
7Saves4
42.6%Duels Won50.8%

gavelDiscipline

34Fouls16
6Yellow Cards3
3Offsides3

analyticsOther

10Corners14
12Successful Dribbles17
0Errors Leading to Goal1
7.03Avg Rating7.01

history Recent Form

PalermoPalermo
2.0 GPG
W
W
SampdoriaSampdoria
1.2 GPG
L
D

group Head to Head

PL10 Feb 2026
Sampdoria
3-3
Palermo
PL12 Dec 2025
Palermo
1-0
Sampdoria
PL8 Mar 2025
Sampdoria
1-1
Palermo
PL24 Nov 2024
Palermo
1-1
Sampdoria
PL17 May 2024
Palermo
2-0
Sampdoria
29%
Over 2.5 Goals
62%
Both Team Score

Head-to-Head Detailed

Over 1.5 Goals
90%
19 / 21 matches
Over 2.5 Goals
29%
6 / 21 matches
Over 3.5 Goals
19%
4 / 21 matches
Both Teams to Score
62%
13 / 21 matches
Palermo CS
29%
Clean Sheets
Sampdoria CS
10%
Clean Sheets

Recent Matches

10 Feb 2026
Sampdoria
3 - 3
Palermo
12 Dec 2025
Palermo
1 - 0
Sampdoria
8 Mar 2025
Sampdoria
1 - 1
Palermo
24 Nov 2024
Palermo
1 - 1
Sampdoria
17 May 2024
Palermo
2 - 0
Sampdoria
6 Apr 2024
Palermo
2 - 2
Sampdoria
4 Nov 2023
Sampdoria
1 - 0
Palermo
26 Feb 2017
Palermo
1 - 1
Sampdoria
2 Oct 2016
Sampdoria
1 - 1
Palermo
1 May 2016
Palermo
2 - 0
Sampdoria
20 Dec 2015
Sampdoria
2 - 0
Palermo
25 Jan 2015
Sampdoria
1 - 1
Palermo

Current Form Comparison

Form (Overall)
Palermo
2.00
Form (Overall)
Sampdoria
1.20

Palermo is +67% better in terms of Points Per Game

Arezzo
2 - 3
Palermo
Palermo
1 - 0
Juve Stabia
Sampdoria
1 - 2
Juve Stabia
Cesena
1 - 1
Sampdoria

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