Palmeiras (Bra) vs LDU Quito (Ecu) Prediction & Tips | Copa Libertadores - Play Offs | FootballTips.app

Palmeiras (Bra)

Palmeiras (Bra)

Home
7h
22:00
Copa Libertadores - Play Offs
LDU Quito (Ecu)

LDU Quito (Ecu)

Away

Who wins?

auto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified Low Confidence
11.23
X5.20
212.70

Recommended Bet

Over 2.5 Goals
Odds: 1.95Stake: Medium (6/10)
64
Opp. Value

Key Factors

League Rank: Home #2 vs Away #2
Season: Home 1.88 PPG vs Away 1.75 PPG
Recent Form (weighted): Home 1.25 PPG vs Away 1.90 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 1.75 GPG vs Away 0.50 GPG

donut_small Win Probabilities

46%
26%
28%
Palmeiras (Bra)
Draw
LDU Quito (Ecu)
payments

Value Comparison

OutcomeMarket OddsTrue Odds (AI)Value
Over 2.5 Goals1.951.86+4.8%
Under 2.5 Goals1.902.16-12.1%
Palmeiras Win1.282.15-40.6%
Draw5.003.90+28.2%
LDU Quito Win13.003.58+262.9%
BTTS - Yes1.442.24-35.6%
BTTS - No2.621.81+44.8%

Fair Odds remove the bookmaker margin. Value is raw EV vs market odds; hover a badge for the edge vs fair odds.

Match Preview

Palmeiras take on LDU in the Copa Libertadores elimination phase at Allianz Parque on 2026-09-10 GMT.

The Brazilian side arrives with four victories from eight league fixtures and a strong record at home, having won 19 of their past 26 matches on their own ground.

LDU have experienced three draws in their last six games across all competitions, while suffering two defeats in their previous four Copa Libertadores away trips.

Looking at recent encounters, Palmeiras have claimed victory in 50 percent of the last four head to head matches against LDU.

Our model predicts under 2.5 goals scored.

League Standings Context

For Palmeiras (Bra)

PosTeamPWDLPts
1Cerro Porteño641113
2Palmeiras632111
3Sporting Cristal62046

For LDU Quito (Ecu)

PosTeamPWDLPts
1LDU640212
2Mirassol SP640212

Advanced Stats (Avg per match)

41.5/ 95.2
Dangerous Attacks
46.5/ 85.8
32.0%
Shots on Target
26.0%
15.3
Total Shots
13.2
54.0%
Possession
53.0%

Team Performance (Avg)

1.7
Goals Scored / Match
1.1
0.8
Goals Conceded / Match
0.8

Head-to-Head Summary

2
Palmeiras (Bra) Wins
50%
0
Draws
0%
2
LDU Quito (Ecu) Wins
50%
Total H2H Matches: 4

Recent Form Stats

MarketPalmeiras (Bra)LDU Quito (Ecu)
Over 1.5 Goals
67%35/52
42%22/52
Over 2.5 Goals
50%26/52
17%9/52
Both Teams to Score
52%27/52
23%12/52
* Based on last 52 matches

Past Matches

Last 6: Palmeiras (Bra)

BrC
Palmeiras
3 - 0
Santos
Br1
Palmeiras
4 - 1
Vasco da Gama
CLA
Palmeiras
1 - 1
Cerro Porteño
Br1
Palmeiras
0 - 0
Internacional
BrC
Palmeiras
3 - 0
Fortaleza
Br1
Palmeiras
1 - 2
Atlético Mineiro

Home Games: Palmeiras (Bra)

BrC
Palmeiras
3 - 0
Santos
Br1
Palmeiras
4 - 1
Vasco da Gama
CLA
Palmeiras
1 - 1
Cerro Porteño
Br1
Palmeiras
0 - 0
Internacional
BrC
Palmeiras
3 - 0
Fortaleza
Br1
Palmeiras
1 - 2
Atlético Mineiro

Last 6: LDU Quito (Ecu)

Ec1
Tecnico
1 - 3
LDU
Ec1
Guayaquil City
2 - 1
LDU
Ec1
SD Aucas
0 - 1
LDU
CLA
Mirassol SP
1 - 1
LDU
Ec1
Barcelona SC
0 - 1
LDU
Ec1
Manta FC
1 - 1
LDU

Away Games: LDU Quito (Ecu)

Ec1
Tecnico
1 - 3
LDU
Ec1
Guayaquil City
2 - 1
LDU
Ec1
SD Aucas
0 - 1
LDU
CLA
Mirassol SP
1 - 1
LDU
Ec1
Barcelona SC
0 - 1
LDU
Ec1
Manta FC
1 - 1
LDU

history Recent Form

Palmeiras (Bra)Palmeiras (Bra)
1.9 GPG
D
D
W
L
D
LDU Quito (Ecu)LDU Quito (Ecu)
1.8 GPG
W
D
L
W
W

group Head to Head

PL31 Oct 2025
Palmeiras
4-0
LDU Quito
PL24 Oct 2025
LDU Quito
3-0
Palmeiras
100%
Over 2.5 Goals
0%
Both Team Score

Head-to-Head Detailed

Over 1.5 Goals
100%
2 / 2 matches
Over 2.5 Goals
100%
2 / 2 matches
Over 3.5 Goals
50%
1 / 2 matches
Both Teams to Score
0%
0 / 2 matches
Palmeiras (Bra) CS
50%
Clean Sheets
LDU Quito (Ecu) CS
50%
Clean Sheets

Recent Matches

31 Oct 2025
Palmeiras
4 - 0
LDU Quito
24 Oct 2025
LDU Quito
3 - 0
Palmeiras

Current Form Comparison

Form (Overall)
Palmeiras (Bra)
1.88
Form (Overall)
LDU Quito (Ecu)
1.75

Palmeiras (Bra) is +7% better in terms of Points Per Game

Botafogo
0 - 0
Palmeiras
Mirassol
1 - 1
Palmeiras
Palmeiras
4 - 1
Vasco da Gama
Fluminense
3 - 2
Palmeiras
Palmeiras
0 - 0
Internacional
Técnico Universitario
1 - 3
LDU Quito
LDU Quito
0 - 0
Mushuc Runa SC
Guayaquil City FC
2 - 1
LDU Quito
LDU Quito
2 - 0
CS Emelec
SD Aucas
0 - 1
LDU Quito

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