Palmeiras vs Fluminense Prediction & Tips | Serie A Betano | FootballTips.app

Palmeiras

Palmeiras

Home
Full Time
2 - 1
HT: 2 - 1
Thursday 26 February
Fluminense

Fluminense

Away
PalmeirasTimelineFluminense
1st Half
Fabio
8'
Vitor Roque(Penalty)
sports_soccer
9'
Allan EliasAssist: Lopez J.
sports_soccer
13'
OtavioOut: Bernal F.
sync_alt
25'
Freytes J.
30'
Martinelli
34'
Khellven
35'
Acosta L.
sports_soccer
40'
2nd Half
Soteldo Y.Out: Acosta L.
sync_alt
46'
Arias J.Out: Lopez J.
sync_alt
59'
Giay A.Out: Khellven
sync_alt
59'
John KennedyOut: Serna K.
sync_alt
61'
HerculesOut: Martinelli
sync_alt
61'
Arias J.
62'
Ignacio
69'
Lucas EvangelistaOut: Andreas Pereira
sync_alt
70'
Sosa R.Out: Vitor Roque
sync_alt
70'
Felipe AndersonOut: Allan Elias
sync_alt
87'
Moreno S.Out: PH Ganso
sync_alt
87'
Marlon Freitas
88'
Abel Ferreira
90+8'

Top stats

1.59Expected goals (xG)1.23
35%Ball possession65%
14Total shots18
6Shots on target7
1Big chances2
5Corner kicks11
82% (259/315)Passes90% (517/574)
3Yellow cards4

Shots

1.59Expected goals (xG)1.23
1.22xG on target (xGOT)1.00
14Total shots18
6Shots on target7
4Shots off target5
4Blocked shots6
10Shots inside the box10
4Shots outside the box8
2Hit the woodwork1

Attack

1Big chances2
5Corner kicks11
23Touches in opposition box28
0Accurate through passes0
3Offsides2
16Free kicks16

Passes

82% (259/315)Passes90% (517/574)
56% (25/45)Long passes57% (20/35)
71% (71/100)Passes in final third86% (127/148)
27% (3/11)Crosses36% (8/22)
0.67Expected assists (xA)1.28
9Throw ins17

Defense

16Fouls16
77% (10/13)Tackles38% (5/13)
51Duels won41
25Clearances17
7Interceptions6
0Errors leading to shot1
0Errors leading to goal0

Goalkeeping

6Goalkeeper saves5
1.00xGOT faced1.22
0.00Goals prevented-0.78
auto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified High Confidence
11.67
X3.77
24.99

Recommended Bet

Home Win
Stake: Low (2/10)
19
Opp. Value

Key Factors

League Rank: Home #1 vs Away #4
Season: Home 2.00 PPG vs Away 2.50 PPG
Recent Form (weighted): Home 2.47 PPG vs Away 2.33 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 2.80 GPG vs Away 1.20 GPG

donut_small Win Probabilities

43%
32%
25%
Palmeiras
Draw
Fluminense

Match Preview

At Allianz Parque on February 26th, 2026, Palmeiras will go head-to-head against Fluminense in a Brasileiro Serie A showdown.

Palmeiras currently leads the standings in 1st place, while Fluminense follows closely behind in the 3rd position.

Both teams have accumulated 7 points each in the league.

Palmeiras has displayed dominance with 4 wins in 5 home matches, whereas Fluminense has secured 2 wins in their last 3 league fixtures.

In their past encounters, Palmeiras has experienced a 50% loss rate in the last 6 head-to-head matches in Brasileiro Serie A against Fluminense.

Based on the statistical data and current form, our model predicts Palmeiras to emerge victorious with a scoreline of 3-1.

Lineups

Lineup Predictions & Ratings

Palmeiras

Starting 11
9Vitor Roque
CF7.30
42José Manuel López
CF7.29
8Andreas Pereira
CAM8.06
27Marlon Rodrigues Freitas
CDM6.88
18Mauricio
CAM6.98
40Allan Andrade Elias
6.80
12Khellven
RB6.69
15Gustavo Gómez
CB7.28
22Joaquín Piquerez Moreira
LB7.15
26Murilo
CB7.13
1Carlos Miguel dos Santos Pereira
6.68
Substitutes
-Felipe Anderson
RW
-Jhon Arias
LW
19Ramón Sosa Acosta
LW6.86
4Agustín Giay
4.38
6Jefte Vital da Silva Dias
30Lucas Evangelista Santana de Oliveira
CM3.48
31Luighi Hanri Sousa Santos
6.56
-Emiliano Martínez
CDM
48Larson Torna Ferreira dos Santos
2.17
50Luis Felipe Pacheco da Costa
2.17
-Bruno Fuchs
CB
-Marcelo Lomba do Nascimento
GK

Fluminense

Starting 11
99John Kennedy
CF6.89
90Kevin Steven Serna Jaramillo
6.86
8Matheus Martinelli
7.09
17Agustín Canobbio Graviz (Injured)
RW6.32
32Luciano Acosta
CAM7.34
2Samuel Xavier Brito
RB6.84
6Renê
LB7.16
22Juan Freytes
CB6.89
1Fábio
GK6.90
Substitutes
-Yeferson Julio Soteldo Martínez
LW
10Ganso
CAM4.36
11Jefferson Savarino
RW3.33
-Matheus dos Reis Francisco
16Nonato (Injured)
CAM7.69
30Santiago Moreno
2.17
-Ignácio
CB
13Guilherme Arana
LB4.38
-Igor Rabello da Costa
CB
23Guga
RB2.17
-Otávio Henrique Passos Santos
CDM
-Vitor Eudes
GK
Ratings based on player performance in recent matches

League Standings Context

For Palmeiras

PosTeamPWDLPts
1São Paulo431010
2Palmeiras32107
3Fluminense32107

For Fluminense

PosTeamPWDLPts
2Palmeiras32107
3Fluminense32107
4Bahia32107

Advanced Stats (Avg per match)

19.3/ 87.3
Dangerous Attacks
41.1/ 102.5
37.0%
Shots on Target
43.0%
14.6
Total Shots
14.3
53.0%
Possession
57.0%

Team Performance (Avg)

1.8
Goals Scored / Match
1.6
0.9
Goals Conceded / Match
0.7

Head-to-Head Summary

2
Palmeiras Wins
33%
1
Draws
17%
3
Fluminense Wins
50%
Total H2H Matches: 6

Recent Form Stats

MarketPalmeirasFluminense
Over 1.5 Goals
58%7/12
50%6/12
Over 2.5 Goals
50%6/12
42%5/12
Both Teams to Score
42%5/12
50%6/12
* Based on last 12 matches

Past Matches

Last 6: Palmeiras

BrP
Palmeiras
4 - 0
Capivariano SP
BrP
Palmeiras
1 - 1
Guarani
Br1
Palmeiras
5 - 1
Vitória
BrP
Palmeiras
3 - 1
São Paulo
BrP
Palmeiras
1 - 0
Mirassol SP
BrP
Palmeiras
1 - 0
Santos

Home Games: Palmeiras

BrP
Palmeiras
4 - 0
Capivariano SP
BrP
Palmeiras
1 - 1
Guarani
Br1
Palmeiras
5 - 1
Vitória
BrP
Palmeiras
3 - 1
São Paulo
BrP
Palmeiras
1 - 0
Mirassol SP
BrP
Palmeiras
1 - 0
Santos

Last 6: Fluminense

BrC
Vasco da Gama
0 - 1
Fluminense
Br1
Bahia
1 - 1
Fluminense
BrC
Botafogo
0 - 1
Fluminense
BrC
Nova Iguacu RJ
2 - 3
Fluminense
BrC
Boavista RJ
1 - 0
Fluminense

Away Games: Fluminense

BrC
Vasco da Gama
0 - 1
Fluminense
Br1
Bahia
1 - 1
Fluminense
BrC
Botafogo
0 - 1
Fluminense
BrC
Nova Iguacu RJ
2 - 3
Fluminense
BrC
Boavista RJ
1 - 0
Fluminense

history Recent Form

PalmeirasPalmeiras
2.0 GPG
W
W
D
FluminenseFluminense
2.5 GPG
W
D
W

group Head to Head

PL23 Nov 2025
Palmeiras
0-0
Fluminense
PL23 Jul 2025
Fluminense
1-2
Palmeiras
PL8 Dec 2024
Palmeiras
0-1
Fluminense
PL25 Jul 2024
Fluminense
1-0
Palmeiras
PL3 Dec 2023
Palmeiras
1-0
Fluminense
42%
Over 2.5 Goals
42%
Both Team Score

Head-to-Head Detailed

Over 1.5 Goals
65%
17 / 26 matches
Over 2.5 Goals
42%
11 / 26 matches
Over 3.5 Goals
8%
2 / 26 matches
Both Teams to Score
42%
11 / 26 matches
Palmeiras CS
35%
Clean Sheets
Fluminense CS
27%
Clean Sheets

Recent Matches

23 Nov 2025
Palmeiras
0 - 0
Fluminense
23 Jul 2025
Fluminense
1 - 2
Palmeiras
8 Dec 2024
Palmeiras
0 - 1
Fluminense
25 Jul 2024
Fluminense
1 - 0
Palmeiras
3 Dec 2023
Palmeiras
1 - 0
Fluminense
6 Aug 2023
Fluminense
2 - 1
Palmeiras
27 Aug 2022
Fluminense
1 - 1
Palmeiras
8 May 2022
Palmeiras
1 - 1
Fluminense
14 Nov 2021
Fluminense
2 - 1
Palmeiras
24 Jul 2021
Palmeiras
1 - 0
Fluminense
15 Nov 2020
Palmeiras
2 - 0
Fluminense
13 Aug 2020
Fluminense
1 - 1
Palmeiras

Current Form Comparison

Form (Overall)
Palmeiras
2.00
Form (Overall)
Fluminense
2.50

Fluminense is +25% better in terms of Points Per Game

Internacional
1 - 3
Palmeiras
Palmeiras
5 - 1
Vitória
Atlético Mineiro
2 - 2
Palmeiras
Fluminense
1 - 0
Botafogo
Bahia
1 - 1
Fluminense
Fluminense
2 - 1
Grêmio

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