PAOK

PAOK

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Thursday 19 February
Celta Vigo

Celta Vigo

Away
PAOKTimelineCelta Vigo
1st Half
Aspas I. (Roman M.)
sports_soccer
34'
Swedberg W.Assist: Aspas I.
sports_soccer
43'
2nd Half
Rueda J.Out: Mingueza O.
sync_alt
61'
Jutgla F.Out: Iglesias B.
sync_alt
61'
Alvarez H.Out: Swedberg W.
sync_alt
65'
Lopez F.Out: Aspas I.
sync_alt
65'
Alvarez H.
67'
Michailidis G.Out: Vogliacco A.
sync_alt
67'
Chatsidis D.Out: Camara M.
sync_alt
67'
Baba A. R.Out: Taylor G.
sync_alt
67'
Rueda J.
72'
Jeremejeff A. (Zivkovic A.)
sports_soccer
77'
Vecino M.Out: Roman M.
sync_alt
86'
Zivkovic A.
90'

Top stats

0.63Expected goals (xG)0.97
57%Ball possession43%
5Total shots9
2Shots on target8
2Big chances3
3Corner kicks3
89% (505/567)Passes86% (374/433)
1Yellow cards2

Shots

0.63Expected goals (xG)0.97
0.94xG on target (xGOT)3.00
5Total shots9
2Shots on target8
1Shots off target1
2Blocked shots0
2Shots inside the box7
3Shots outside the box2
0Hit the woodwork0

Attack

2Big chances3
3Corner kicks3
15Touches in opposition box22
1Accurate through passes3
4Offsides4
11Free kicks10

Passes

89% (505/567)Passes86% (374/433)
45% (25/55)Long passes47% (16/34)
78% (112/143)Passes in final third73% (52/71)
12% (3/25)Crosses29% (2/7)
0.95Expected assists (xA)1.21
24Throw ins15

Defense

10Fouls11
55% (6/11)Tackles69% (9/13)
27Duels won39
11Clearances32
4Interceptions6
0Errors leading to shot0
0Errors leading to goal0

Goalkeeping

6Goalkeeper saves1
3.00xGOT faced0.94
1.00Goals prevented-0.06
auto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified Very High Confidence
12.50
X3.29
22.93

Recommended Bet

Home Win
Stake: High (10/10)
100
Opp. Value

Key Factors

Season: Home 2.30 PPG vs Away 1.60 PPG
Recent Form (weighted): Home 1.90 PPG vs Away 0.80 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 2.20 GPG vs Away 0.83 GPG
Defense (venue): Home 0.20 conc vs Away 1.00 conc

donut_small Win Probabilities

78%
10%
12%
PAOK
Draw
Celta Vigo

Match Preview

PAOK and Celta Vigo will meet in the Europa League at Stadio Toumbas on February 19, 2026.

The upcoming match between these two teams promises to be an intriguing encounter.

PAOK has shown solid form with 3 wins in their last 6 Europa League matches and an impressive record of 15 wins in 21 home matches this season.

Meanwhile, Celta Vigo has recorded 4 wins in the Europa League this season, with 2 losses in their 4 away matches.

In their recent head-to-head matchup, PAOK suffered a defeat against Celta Vigo.

This history could add an extra layer of competitiveness to the upcoming fixture.

Both teams will look to secure a positive result as they face off in this crucial Europa League encounter.

Our algorithm predicts Celta Vigo to emerge victorious with a scoreline of 1-2.

A tie already familiar before it even begins. These sides met in the league phase in October, where Celta de Vigo claimed a 3–1 win in Galicia, meaning PAOK enter the first leg knowing a home advantage must be converted into a lead before travelling to Spain.

Toumba has been exactly the kind of place where they usually manage that. PAOK remain unbeaten at home this season across all competitions (16 wins, five draws) and have avoided defeat in four Europa League home matches. Their overall league-phase campaign was steady rather than spectacular, but their success was built almost entirely on home stability, something reinforced by a low-scoring trend, with only two of their last ten competitive matches seeing both teams score.

Celta arrive in a far more uncertain rhythm. They have gone five matches without victory and have won just one of their last six Europa League away games. The Spanish side consistently score but struggle to close matches, conceding eight of their 11 league-phase goals after half-time. That pattern shapes the match dynamic: PAOK tend to control structure early, while Celta games open up late.

The first leg hinges on tempo. PAOK need a controlled match, pressing selectively and protecting their defensive structure while seeking a narrow advantage. Celta benefit from chaos and late phases, where their games typically open and scoring frequency rises.

Given PAOK’s home dominance but attacking absences, the hosts appear better equipped to avoid defeat than to create separation. That leaves a scenario where containment favours Greece, but progression over two legs may still favour Spain unless PAOK find an early breakthrough before the match stretches beyond their preferred rhythm.

Lineups

Lineup Predictions & Ratings

PAOK

Starting 11
-Jirí Pavlenka
GK6.80
-Abdul Baba
DL6.72
-Giannis Michailidis
DC6.89
-Tomasz Kedziora
DC6.59
-Jonjoe Kenny
DR6.93
-Soualiho Meïté
DMC7.12
-Christos Zafeiris
DMC
-Andrija Zivkovic
AML7.05
-Taison
AMC6.65
-Dimitrios Chatsidis
AMR
-Alexander Jeremejeff
FW

Celta Vigo

Starting 11
-Ionut Radu
GK6.22
-Sergio Carreira
DL6.28
-Carl Starfelt
DC6.83
-Marcos Alonso
DC6.74
-Javi Rodríguez
DC6.46
-Javi Rueda
DR6.77
-Williot Swedberg
ML7.00
-Miguel Román
MC6.53
-Fer López
MC6.82
-Ferran Jutglà
MR6.18
-Borja Iglesias
FW6.44
Ratings based on player performance in recent matches

compareTeam Comparison

Based on 8 matches
PAOKvsCelta Vigo

radarTeam Profile

PAOK
Celta Vigo
AttackDefensePossessionEfficiencyCreativityDiscipline
sports_soccer
74Attack54
shield
57Defense27
swap_horiz
49Possession54
gps_fixed
92Efficiency82
auto_fix_high
61Creativity52
gavel
27Discipline33

sports_soccerGoals & Scoring

17Goals Scored15
14Goals Conceded11
3Clean Sheets1
29Big Chances21
18Big Chances Missed14
1Penalty Goals0

gps_fixedShooting

103Total Shots90
46Shots on Target34

swap_horizPassing & Possession

46.9%Avg Possession48.3%
3,225Total Passes3,811
82.4%Pass Accuracy85.3%

shieldDefending

129Tackles115
76Interceptions44
29Saves19
50.7%Duels Won46.0%

gavelDiscipline

100Fouls109
17Yellow Cards17
2Red Cards1
13Offsides12

analyticsOther

36Corners27
54Successful Dribbles46
1Errors Leading to Goal1
6.84Avg Rating6.77

Statistical Comparison

PAOKMetricCelta Vigo
17
Goals
13
13
Assists
10
6.6
Average Ratings
6.5
29.1
Average Age
26.3
181
Average Height (cm)
182.2
0.9
Shots pg
1
53%
Aerial Duel Success
43%
0.6
Dribbles pg
0.4
1.7
Tackles pg
1.1

League Standings Context

For PAOK

PosTeamPWDLPts
16Celta Vigo841313
17PAOK833212
18Lille840412

For Celta Vigo

PosTeamPWDLPts
15Crvena Zvezda842214
16Celta Vigo841313
17PAOK833212

Advanced Stats (Avg per match)

59.6/ 105.0
Dangerous Attacks
46.7/ 100.7
39.0%
Shots on Target
36.0%
14.0
Total Shots
11.8
57.0%
Possession
52.0%

Team Performance (Avg)

2.0
Goals Scored / Match
1.5
0.9
Goals Conceded / Match
1.1

Head-to-Head Summary

0
PAOK Wins
0%
0
Draws
0%
1
Celta Vigo Wins
100%
Total H2H Matches: 1

Recent Form Stats

MarketPAOKCelta Vigo
Over 1.5 Goals
75%30/40
73%29/40
Over 2.5 Goals
53%21/40
43%17/40
Both Teams to Score
43%17/40
57%23/40
* Based on last 40 matches

Past Matches

Last 6: PAOK

Gr1
PAOK
0 - 0
AEK
GrC
PAOK
2 - 0
Panathinaikos
Gr1
Aris Salonica
0 - 0
PAOK
GrC
Panathinaikos
0 - 1
PAOK
Gr1
PAOK
4 - 1
Panserraikos
UEL
Lyon
4 - 2
PAOK

Home Games: PAOK

Gr1
PAOK
0 - 0
AEK
GrC
PAOK
2 - 0
Panathinaikos
Gr1
PAOK
4 - 1
Panserraikos
UEL
PAOK
2 - 0
Real Betis
Gr1
PAOK
3 - 0
OFI Creta
GrC
PAOK
1 - 1
Atromitos FC

Last 6: Celta Vigo

Es1
Espanyol
2 - 2
Celta Vigo
Es1
Celta Vigo
1 - 2
Osasuna
Es1
Getafe
0 - 0
Celta Vigo
UEL
Crvena Zvezda
1 - 1
Celta Vigo
Es1
Real Sociedad
3 - 1
Celta Vigo
UEL
Celta Vigo
2 - 1
Lille

Away Games: Celta Vigo

Es1
Espanyol
2 - 2
Celta Vigo
Es1
Getafe
0 - 0
Celta Vigo
UEL
Crvena Zvezda
1 - 1
Celta Vigo
Es1
Real Sociedad
3 - 1
Celta Vigo
Es1
Sevilla
0 - 1
Celta Vigo
Es1
Real Oviedo
0 - 0
Celta Vigo

history Recent Form

PAOKPAOK
2.3 GPG
D
D
W
W
W
Celta VigoCelta Vigo
1.6 GPG
D
L
D
L
W

group Head to Head

PL2 Oct 2025
Celta de Vigo
3-1
PAOK
100%
Over 2.5 Goals
100%
Both Team Score

Head-to-Head Detailed

Over 1.5 Goals
100%
1 / 1 matches
Over 2.5 Goals
100%
1 / 1 matches
Over 3.5 Goals
100%
1 / 1 matches
Both Teams to Score
100%
1 / 1 matches
PAOK CS
0%
Clean Sheets
Celta Vigo CS
0%
Clean Sheets

Recent Matches

2 Oct 2025
Celta de Vigo
3 - 1
PAOK

Current Form Comparison

Form (Overall)
PAOK
2.30
Form (Overall)
Celta Vigo
1.60

PAOK is +44% better in terms of Points Per Game

PAOK
0 - 0
AEK Athens
Aris
0 - 0
PAOK
PAOK
4 - 1
Panserraikos
PAOK
3 - 0
OFI
Panaitolikos
0 - 3
PAOK
RCD Espanyol
2 - 2
Celta de Vigo
Celta de Vigo
1 - 2
CA Osasuna
Getafe CF
0 - 0
Celta de Vigo
Real Sociedad
3 - 1
Celta de Vigo
Celta de Vigo
3 - 0
Rayo Vallecano

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