Peninsula vs Moreton City Excelsior Prediction & Tips | NPL Queensland - Play Offs | FootballTips.app
Peninsula
HomeFull Time
3 - 2
HT: 2 - 1
Saturday 5 September
Moreton City Excelsior
AwayPeninsulaTimelineMoreton City Excelsior
1st Half
Joseph N.
sports_soccer
12'
Scott J.
sports_soccer
19'
Joseph N.
sports_soccer
20'
2nd Half
Walters M.(Penalty)
sports_soccer
62'
Miyazawa H. ()
sports_soccer
73'
Top stats
45%Ball possession55%
11Total shots9
4Shots on target4
4Corner kicks6
Shots
11Total shots9
4Shots on target4
7Shots off target5
Attack
4Corner kicks6
auto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified Low Confidence
12.03
X3.70
22.88
Recommended Bet
cancel
Draw
Odds: 3.75Stake: Low (4/10)
42
Opp. Value
Key Factors
⚠️ Using limited statistical data
Attack Quality: Home 42% on target vs Away 41% on target
Standings: Home GD +22 (45pts) vs Away GD +16 (39pts)
Sofascore Stats: Away superiority - Best: Possession (+17), Discipline (+5)
donut_small Win Probabilities
39%
Peninsula Win
31%
Draw
31%
Moreton City Excelsior Win
Peninsula
Draw
Moreton City Excelsior
payments
Value Comparison
| Outcome | Market Odds | True Odds (AI) | Fair Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 Goals | 1.44 | 1.68 | 1.55 | -14.5% |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 2.62 | 2.46 | 2.82 | +6.4% |
| Home Win | 2.05 | 2.59 | 2.29 | -20.7% |
| Draw | 3.75 | 3.26 | 4.19 | +14.9% |
| Away Win | 2.75 | 3.26 | 3.07 | -15.6% |
| BTTS - Yes | 2.62 | 1.77 | 2.82 | +48.3% |
| BTTS - No | 1.44 | 2.30 | 1.55 | -37.5% |
Fair Odds remove the bookmaker margin. Value is raw EV vs market odds; hover a badge for the edge vs fair odds.
compareTeam Comparison
Based on 23 matchesPeninsulavsMoreton City Excelsior
2.17Goals / Match2.30
1.35Conceded / Match1.52
6Clean Sheets6
51.6%Possession %60.4%
79.4%Pass Accuracy %84.1%
radarTeam Profile
Peninsula
Moreton City Excelsior
sports_soccer
55Attack59
shield
48Defense46
swap_horiz
60Possession77
gps_fixed
55Efficiency56
auto_fix_high
45Creativity45
gavel
61Discipline56
sports_soccerGoals & Scoring
50Goals Scored53
31Goals Conceded35
6Clean Sheets6
2Penalty Goals7
gps_fixedShooting
341Total Shots350
swap_horizPassing & Possession
51.6%Avg Possession60.4%
10,451Total Passes11,775
79.4%Pass Accuracy84.1%
shieldDefending
968Interceptions824
71Saves73
47.4%Duels Won49.9%
gavelDiscipline
215Fouls249
41Yellow Cards45
1Red Cards0
57Offsides65
analyticsOther
132Corners119
280Successful Dribbles359
League Standings Context
For Peninsula
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | QLD Lions | 22 | 17 | 2 | 3 | 53 |
| 2 | Peninsula Power | 22 | 13 | 6 | 3 | 45 |
| 3 | Moreton City Excelsior | 22 | 12 | 3 | 7 | 39 |
For Moreton City Excelsior
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Peninsula Power | 22 | 13 | 6 | 3 | 45 |
| 3 | Moreton City Excelsior | 22 | 12 | 3 | 7 | 39 |
| 4 | Gold Coast Knights | 22 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 38 |
Advanced Stats (Avg per match)
94.9/ 140.5
Dangerous Attacks
79.8/ 124.2
42.0%
Shots on Target
41.0%
14.3
Total Shots
15.0
52.0%
Possession
60.0%
Team Performance (Avg)
2.1
Goals Scored / Match
2.2
1.4
Goals Conceded / Match
1.5
Head-to-Head Summary
1
Peninsula Wins
17%
3
Draws
50%
2
Moreton City Excelsior Wins
33%
Total H2H Matches: 6
Recent Form Stats
| Market | Peninsula | Moreton City Excelsior |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 88%21/24 | 83%20/24 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 75%18/24 | 71%17/24 |
| Both Teams to Score | 71%17/24 | 54%13/24 |
* Based on last 24 matches
Past Matches
Last 6: Peninsula
AuQ
Peninsula Power
2 - 2
Brisbane City
AuQ
Peninsula Power
0 - 0
WDSC Wolves FC
AuQ
Peninsula Power
3 - 1
Brisbane Roar U21
AuQ
Peninsula Power
3 - 2
Magic United
AuQ
Peninsula Power
2 - 0
Gold Coast Knights
AuQ
Peninsula Power
3 - 2
QLD Lions
Home Games: Peninsula
AuQ
Peninsula Power
2 - 2
Brisbane City
AuQ
Peninsula Power
0 - 0
WDSC Wolves FC
AuQ
Peninsula Power
3 - 1
Brisbane Roar U21
AuQ
Peninsula Power
3 - 2
Magic United
AuQ
Peninsula Power
2 - 0
Gold Coast Knights
AuQ
Peninsula Power
3 - 2
QLD Lions
Last 6: Moreton City Excelsior
AuQ
Olympic FC QLD
1 - 2
Moreton City Excelsior
AuQ
Brisbane Roar U21
2 - 0
Moreton City Excelsior
AuQ
Gold Coast Knights
2 - 1
Moreton City Excelsior
AuQ
Gold Coast United
0 - 1
Moreton City Excelsior
AuQ
Rochedale Rovers
2 - 5
Moreton City Excelsior
AuQ
Eastern Suburbs
0 - 0
Moreton City Excelsior
Away Games: Moreton City Excelsior
AuQ
Olympic FC QLD
1 - 2
Moreton City Excelsior
AuQ
Brisbane Roar U21
2 - 0
Moreton City Excelsior
AuQ
Gold Coast Knights
2 - 1
Moreton City Excelsior
AuQ
Gold Coast United
0 - 1
Moreton City Excelsior
AuQ
Rochedale Rovers
2 - 5
Moreton City Excelsior
AuQ
Eastern Suburbs
0 - 0
Moreton City Excelsior
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