Perugia vs Pineto Prediction & Tips | Serie C - Group B | FootballTips.app

Perugia
HomeFull Time
2 - 1
HT: 1 - 1
Sunday 6 September

Pineto
AwayPerugiaTimelinePineto
1st Half
Forte R.
sports_soccer
8'
Ienco S.
35'
Canotto L.(Penalty)
sports_soccer
39'
Borsoi M.Out: Cavallini G.
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40'
2nd Half
Papazov D.Out: Tozzuolo A.
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64'
Conti G.Out: Carriero G.
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65'
Asmussen A.Out: Forte R.
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67'
Angeli M.Out: Canotto L.
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71'
Angeli M.Out: Canotto L.
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71'
Scheffer M.Out: Ienco S.
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72'
Pistillo D.Out: Guadagni G.
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73'
Nebuloso G.Out: Pellegrino A.
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84'
Di Renzo G.Out: D'Orazio T.
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84'
Angeli M.
89'
Kabashi E. ()
sports_soccer
90+2'
Top stats
1.45Expected goals (xG)0.80
54%Ball possession46%
15Total shots10
5Shots on target5
1Big chances1
6Corner kicks2
79% (269/341)Passes73% (212/292)
1Yellow cards1
Shots
1.45Expected goals (xG)0.80
1.53xG on target (xGOT)1.48
15Total shots10
5Shots on target5
5Shots off target3
5Blocked shots2
10Shots inside the box3
5Shots outside the box7
0Hit the woodwork0
Attack
1Big chances1
6Corner kicks2
22Touches in opposition box7
0Accurate through passes0
4Offsides1
11Free kicks11
Passes
79% (269/341)Passes73% (212/292)
54% (22/41)Long passes42% (20/48)
63% (56/89)Passes in final third62% (43/69)
39% (7/18)Crosses15% (2/13)
0.74Expected assists (xA)0.48
22Throw ins33
Defense
11Fouls11
46% (6/13)Tackles67% (8/12)
40Duels won37
25Clearances17
7Interceptions6
0Errors leading to shot0
0Errors leading to goal0
Goalkeeping
4Goalkeeper saves3
1.48xGOT faced1.53
0.48Goals prevented-0.47
5Goal kicks5
auto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified Medium Confidence
11.83
X3.00
24.29
Recommended Bet
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Away Win
Odds: 4.70Stake: Medium (5/10)
50
Opp. Value
Key Factors
Season: Home 1.20 PPG vs Away 0.80 PPG
Recent Form (weighted): Home 1.91 PPG vs Away 1.00 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 1.00 GPG vs Away 0.25 GPG
Defense (venue): Home 1.20 conc vs Away 1.00 conc
donut_small Win Probabilities
50%
Perugia Win
26%
Draw
24%
Pineto Win
Perugia
Draw
Pineto
payments
Value Comparison
| Outcome | Market Odds | True Odds (AI) | Fair Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 Goals | 2.32 | 1.98 | — | +17.2% |
| Perugia Win | 1.83 | 2.01 | 1.95 | -9.0% |
| Draw | 3.25 | 3.82 | 3.47 | -14.9% |
| Pineto Win | 4.70 | 4.15 | 5.01 | +13.2% |
| BTTS - Yes | 2.00 | 2.05 | — | -2.6% |
Fair Odds remove the bookmaker margin. Value is raw EV vs market odds; hover a badge for the edge vs fair odds.
compareTeam Comparison
Based on 2 matchesPerugiavsPineto
1.50Goals / Match0.00
1.00Conceded / Match0.00
1Clean Sheets2
sports_soccerGoals & Scoring
3Goals Scored0
2Goals Conceded0
1Clean Sheets2
gavelDiscipline
2Yellow Cards4
0Red Cards2
history Recent Form
D
W
D
D
group Head to Head
PL28 Feb 2026
0-1
PL19 Oct 2025
3-0
PL28 Mar 2025
3-0
PL16 Nov 2024
3-1
PL18 Aug 2024
0-2
57%
Over 2.5 Goals
43%
Both Team Score
Head-to-Head Detailed
Over 1.5 Goals
86%
6 / 7 matches
Over 2.5 Goals
57%
4 / 7 matches
Over 3.5 Goals
29%
2 / 7 matches
Both Teams to Score
43%
3 / 7 matches
Perugia CS
29%
Clean Sheets
Pineto CS
29%
Clean Sheets
Recent Matches
28 Feb 2026
Perugia
0 - 1
Pineto
19 Oct 2025
Pineto
3 - 0
Perugia
28 Mar 2025
Perugia
3 - 0
Pineto
16 Nov 2024
Pineto
3 - 1
Perugia
18 Aug 2024
Pineto
0 - 2
Perugia
23 Mar 2024
Perugia
2 - 2
Pineto
18 Nov 2023
Pineto
1 - 1
Perugia
Current Form Comparison
Form (Overall)
1.20
Form (Overall)
0.80
Perugia is +50% better in terms of Points Per Game
Vis Pesaro
2 - 2
Perugia
Perugia
1 - 0
Ostia Mare Lidocalcio
Pineto
0 - 0
Livorno
Latina
0 - 0
Pineto
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