Peterborough vs Colchester Prediction & Tips | EFL Trophy | FootballTips.app
Peterborough
HomeFull Time
3 - 1
HT: 3 - 0
Tuesday 22 September
Colchester
Awayauto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified Very High Model Confidence
11.91
X3.55
23.24
Recommended Bet
No tip
No qualifying edge — see Value Comparison below
55
Best near-miss
Key Factors
Season: Home 1.20 PPG vs Away 1.30 PPG
Recent Form (weighted): Home 0.40 PPG vs Away 0.85 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 1.20 GPG vs Away 1.40 GPG
Defense (venue): Home 1.60 conc vs Away 1.60 conc
donut_small Win Probabilities
33%
24%
44%
Peterborough
Draw
Colchester
payments
Value Comparison
| Outcome | Market Odds | True Odds (AI) | Fair Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 Goals | 1.64 | 1.90 | 1.73 | -13.7% |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 2.24 | 2.11 | 2.37 | +6.1% |
| Peterborough United Win | 1.94 | 3.07 | 2.18 | -36.8% |
| Draw | 3.60 | 4.24 | 4.04 | -15.2% |
| Colchester United Win | 3.03 | 3.09 | 3.40 | -1.8% |
| BTTS - Yes | 1.53 | 1.82 | 1.67 | -15.8% |
| BTTS - No | 2.30 | 2.22 | 2.50 | +3.4% |
Fair Odds remove the bookmaker margin. Value is raw EV vs market odds; hover a badge for the edge vs fair odds.
compareTeam Comparison
Based on 7 matchesPeterboroughvsColchester
0.57Goals / Match1.14
1.71Conceded / Match1.43
1Clean Sheets1
2.71Shots on Target / Match4.14
59.3%Possession %52.4%
80.6%Pass Accuracy %76.8%
radarTeam Profile
Peterborough
Colchester
sports_soccer
20Attack36
shield
23Defense39
swap_horiz
57Possession49
gps_fixed
26Efficiency48
auto_fix_high
29Creativity54
gavel
57Discipline59
sports_soccerGoals & Scoring
4Goals Scored8
12Goals Conceded10
1Clean Sheets1
11Big Chances13
8Big Chances Missed10
gps_fixedShooting
95Total Shots90
19Shots on Target29
swap_horizPassing & Possession
59.3%Avg Possession52.4%
3,405Total Passes2,904
80.6%Pass Accuracy76.8%
shieldDefending
93Tackles100
37Interceptions63
21Saves22
48.1%Duels Won54.4%
gavelDiscipline
67Fouls76
10Yellow Cards7
1Red Cards1
9Offsides14
analyticsOther
38Corners29
42Successful Dribbles55
3Errors Leading to Goal0
7.05Avg Rating7.10
history Recent Form
PeterboroughL
D
L
D
L
ColchesterD
D
L
L
W
group Head to Head
PL21 Nov 2023
1-0
PL16 Apr 2016
1-4
PL15 Aug 2015
2-1
PL10 Jan 2015
0-2
PL7 Dec 2014
1-0
45%
Over 2.5 Goals
55%
Both Team Score
Head-to-Head Detailed
Over 1.5 Goals
73%
8 / 11 matches
Over 2.5 Goals
45%
5 / 11 matches
Over 3.5 Goals
27%
3 / 11 matches
Both Teams to Score
55%
6 / 11 matches
Peterborough CS
9%
Clean Sheets
Colchester CS
36%
Clean Sheets
Recent Matches
21 Nov 2023
Colchester United
1 - 0
Peterborough United
16 Apr 2016
Colchester United
1 - 4
Peterborough United
15 Aug 2015
Peterborough United
2 - 1
Colchester United
10 Jan 2015
Peterborough United
0 - 2
Colchester United
7 Dec 2014
Colchester United
1 - 0
Peterborough United
30 Aug 2014
Colchester United
1 - 3
Peterborough United
2 Apr 2014
Peterborough United
2 - 0
Colchester United
26 Oct 2013
Colchester United
1 - 0
Peterborough United
6 Aug 2013
Colchester United
1 - 5
Peterborough United
22 Feb 2011
Peterborough United
1 - 1
Colchester United
28 Jan 2011
Colchester United
2 - 1
Peterborough United
Current Form Comparison
Form (Overall)
1.20
Form (Overall)
1.30
Colchester is +8% better in terms of Points Per Game
Peterborough United
0 - 2
Doncaster Rovers
Milton Keynes Dons
1 - 1
Peterborough United
Peterborough United
1 - 2
Sheffield Wednesday
Peterborough United
0 - 0
Stevenage
Blackpool
4 - 0
Peterborough United
Colchester United
1 - 1
Cheltenham Town
Colchester United
1 - 1
Crewe Alexandra
Swindon Town
3 - 1
Colchester United
Bristol Rovers
2 - 0
Colchester United
Colchester United
1 - 0
Rochdale
Weekly Newsletter
Subscribe for Betting Tips
Get exclusive predictions delivered to your inbox.
Join our community of smart bettors. Get exclusive predictions, value picks, and statistical analysis delivered straight to your inbox.
Free Weekly Tips
Value Opportunities