Philadelphia Union vs FC Cincinnati Prediction & Tips | MLS | FootballTips.app

Philadelphia Union

Philadelphia Union

Home
7h
23:45
MLS
FC Cincinnati

FC Cincinnati

Away

Who wins?

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AI Prediction
verified Very High Confidence
11.68
X4.43
24.14

Recommended Bet

No tip
No qualifying edge — see Value Comparison below

Key Factors

Season: Home 1.17 PPG vs Away 1.41 PPG
Recent Form (weighted): Home 1.90 PPG vs Away 0.50 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 1.27 GPG vs Away 1.64 GPG
Defense (venue): Home 1.00 conc vs Away 2.73 conc

donut_small Win Probabilities

47%
23%
30%
Philadelphia Union
Draw
FC Cincinnati
payments

Value Comparison

OutcomeMarket OddsTrue Odds (AI)Value
Over 2.5 Goals1.351.80-24.9%
Under 2.5 Goals3.102.25+37.6%
Philadelphia Union Win1.702.13-20.2%
Draw4.204.42-5.0%
FC Cincinnati Win4.503.29+36.9%
BTTS - Yes2.751.80+52.6%
BTTS - No1.402.25-37.7%

Fair Odds remove the bookmaker margin. Value is raw EV vs market odds; hover a badge for the edge vs fair odds.

Match Preview

Philadelphia Union will host FC Cincinnati in a Major League Soccer fixture at Subaru Park, scheduled for September 10, 2026.

Both teams sit mid-table, with Philadelphia Union currently in 9th place having accumulated 27 points, while FC Cincinnati hold the 6th position with 31 points so far in the campaign.

Philadelphia Union arrive on the back of an impressive home form, recording 4 wins in their last 6 matches at Subaru Park in Major League Soccer.

FC Cincinnati, on the other hand, have found themselves locked in tight encounters away from home, managing 3 draws in their last 6 away games across all competitions.

Looking at recent meetings between the sides, Philadelphia Union have struggled, losing 3 out of their last 6 head-to-head clashes against FC Cincinnati.

Prediction: Philadelphia Union and FC Cincinnati to draw with probability 38%

Teenage sensation Cavan Sullivan continued in his rich vein of form in gameweek 23 as his second-half goal put the icing on a 2-0 home win over CF Montreal. Ryan Richter's side are now unbeaten in eight MLS outings with six wins during that period.

FC Cincinnati's game against DC United was postponed at the weekend, meaning Pat Noonan's men travel to Philadelphia looking to avenge a 4-0 away defeat against Nashville SC last time out. That result ended a four-match unbeaten streak for Wednesday's visitors.

Lineups

Lineup Predictions & Ratings

Philadelphia Union

Starting 11
-Andre Blake
GK6.50
-Kai Wagner
DL7.22
-Nathan Harriel
DC7.00
-Neil Pierre
DC7.35
-Frankie Westfield
DR7.13
-Indiana Vassilev
ML6.46
-Jovan Lukic
MC6.47
-Danley Jean Jacques
MC6.75
-Cavan Sullivan
MR6.88
-Milan Iloski
FW7.04
-Bruno Damiani
FW6.75

FC Cincinnati

Starting 11
-Roman Celentano
GK6.58
-Kyle Smith
DC6.18
-Matt Miazga
DC6.24
-Miles Robinson
DC6.43
-Ender Echenique
DML6.77
-Gerardo Valenzuela
MC6.58
-Obinna Nwobodo
MC6.37
-Kenji Mboma Dem
MC6.78
-Pavel Bucha
DMR6.85
-Evander
FW7.79
-Kévin Denkey
FW7.00
Ratings based on player performance in recent matches

compareTeam Comparison

Based on 23 / 22 matches
Philadelphia UnionvsFC Cincinnati
1.57Goals / Match2.23
1.70Conceded / Match2.32
4Clean Sheets2
4.96Shots on Target / Match6.05
46.6%Possession %50.4%
75.4%Pass Accuracy %85.5%

radarTeam Profile

Philadelphia Union
FC Cincinnati
AttackDefensePossessionEfficiencyCreativityDiscipline
sports_soccer
63Attack74
shield
47Defense27
swap_horiz
33Possession64
gps_fixed
54Efficiency93
auto_fix_high
68Creativity84
gavel
20Discipline26

sports_soccerGoals & Scoring

36Goals Scored49
39Goals Conceded51
4Clean Sheets2
70Big Chances71
44Big Chances Missed39
3Penalty Goals5

gps_fixedShooting

373Total Shots306
114Shots on Target133

swap_horizPassing & Possession

46.6%Avg Possession50.4%
8,506Total Passes10,180
75.4%Pass Accuracy85.5%

shieldDefending

396Tackles335
292Interceptions196
47Saves82
51.3%Duels Won50.0%

gavelDiscipline

350Fouls260
55Yellow Cards48
4Red Cards6
32Offsides35

analyticsOther

140Corners106
133Successful Dribbles191
4Errors Leading to Goal5
6.77Avg Rating6.85

Statistical Comparison

Philadelphia UnionMetricFC Cincinnati
35
Goals
48
26
Assists
34
6.5
Average Ratings
6.5
24.5
Average Age
26.9
180.8
Average Height (cm)
182.1
1.1
Shots pg
0.8
57%
Aerial Duel Success
53%
0.5
Dribbles pg
0.6
1.3
Tackles pg
1.1

League Standings Context

For Philadelphia Union

PosTeamPWDLPts
8Orlando City SC23841128
9Philadelphia Union23761027
10New York Red Bulls23761027

For FC Cincinnati

PosTeamPWDLPts
5Charlotte FC23106736
6FC Cincinnati2287731
7New York City FC2378829

Advanced Stats (Avg per match)

55.6/ 105.0
Dangerous Attacks
41.0/ 100.5
32.0%
Shots on Target
43.0%
15.5
Total Shots
14.0
48.0%
Possession
51.0%

Team Performance (Avg)

1.7
Goals Scored / Match
2.5
1.5
Goals Conceded / Match
2.0

Head-to-Head Summary

3
Philadelphia Union Wins
50%
0
Draws
0%
3
FC Cincinnati Wins
50%
Total H2H Matches: 6

Recent Form Stats

MarketPhiladelphia UnionFC Cincinnati
Over 1.5 Goals
77%23/30
90%27/30
Over 2.5 Goals
57%17/30
70%21/30
Both Teams to Score
60%18/30
67%20/30
* Based on last 30 matches

Past Matches

Last 6: Philadelphia Union

Us1
Philadelphia Union
2 - 0
Montreal Impact
Us1
Philadelphia Union
2 - 2
Inter Miami CF
LC
Philadelphia Union
0 - 2
Santos Laguna
LC
Philadelphia Union
3 - 1
Club Necaxa
Us1
Philadelphia Union
3 - 2
Atlanta United
Us1
Philadelphia Union
1 - 0
Seattle Sounders

Home Games: Philadelphia Union

Us1
Philadelphia Union
2 - 0
Montreal Impact
Us1
Philadelphia Union
2 - 2
Inter Miami CF
LC
Philadelphia Union
0 - 2
Santos Laguna
LC
Philadelphia Union
3 - 1
Club Necaxa
Us1
Philadelphia Union
3 - 2
Atlanta United
Us1
Philadelphia Union
1 - 0
Seattle Sounders

Last 6: FC Cincinnati

Us1
Nashville SC
4 - 0
FC Cincinnati
Us1
Orlando City SC
1 - 1
FC Cincinnati
Us1
Columbus Crew
2 - 1
FC Cincinnati
Us1
San Diego
3 - 3
FC Cincinnati
Us1
Charlotte FC
2 - 2
FC Cincinnati
Us1
Chicago Fire
2 - 3
FC Cincinnati

Away Games: FC Cincinnati

Us1
Nashville SC
4 - 0
FC Cincinnati
Us1
Orlando City SC
1 - 1
FC Cincinnati
Us1
Columbus Crew
2 - 1
FC Cincinnati
Us1
San Diego
3 - 3
FC Cincinnati
Us1
Charlotte FC
2 - 2
FC Cincinnati
Us1
Chicago Fire
2 - 3
FC Cincinnati

history Recent Form

Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia Union
1.4 GPG
W
D
L
W
W
FC CincinnatiFC Cincinnati
0.7 GPG
L
D
L
D
D

group Head to Head

PL31 Aug 2025
FC Cincinnati
0-1
Philadelphia Union
PL2 Mar 2025
Philadelphia Union
4-1
FC Cincinnati
PL19 Oct 2024
Philadelphia Union
1-2
FC Cincinnati
PL14 Aug 2024
FC Cincinnati
2-4
Philadelphia Union
PL20 Jun 2024
FC Cincinnati
4-3
Philadelphia Union
47%
Over 2.5 Goals
47%
Both Team Score

Head-to-Head Detailed

Over 1.5 Goals
71%
12 / 17 matches
Over 2.5 Goals
47%
8 / 17 matches
Over 3.5 Goals
29%
5 / 17 matches
Both Teams to Score
47%
8 / 17 matches
Philadelphia Union CS
41%
Clean Sheets
FC Cincinnati CS
18%
Clean Sheets

Recent Matches

31 Aug 2025
FC Cincinnati
0 - 1
Philadelphia Union
2 Mar 2025
Philadelphia Union
4 - 1
FC Cincinnati
19 Oct 2024
Philadelphia Union
1 - 2
FC Cincinnati
14 Aug 2024
FC Cincinnati
2 - 4
Philadelphia Union
20 Jun 2024
FC Cincinnati
4 - 3
Philadelphia Union
26 Nov 2023
FC Cincinnati
1 - 0
Philadelphia Union
17 Sept 2023
Philadelphia Union
2 - 2
FC Cincinnati
9 Apr 2023
FC Cincinnati
1 - 0
Philadelphia Union
21 Oct 2022
Philadelphia Union
1 - 0
FC Cincinnati
7 Aug 2022
FC Cincinnati
3 - 1
Philadelphia Union
19 Jun 2022
Philadelphia Union
1 - 1
FC Cincinnati
31 Oct 2021
Philadelphia Union
2 - 0
FC Cincinnati

Current Form Comparison

Form (Overall)
Philadelphia Union
1.45
Form (Overall)
FC Cincinnati
0.73

Philadelphia Union is +99% better in terms of Points Per Game

Philadelphia Union
2 - 0
Montreal Impact
Philadelphia Union
2 - 2
Inter Miami
Philadelphia Union
0 - 2
Santos Laguna
Philadelphia Union
3 - 1
Necaxa
Philadelphia Union
3 - 2
Atlanta United FC
Nashville SC
4 - 0
FC Cincinnati
Orlando City
1 - 1
FC Cincinnati
Columbus Crew
2 - 1
FC Cincinnati
San Diego
3 - 3
FC Cincinnati
Charlotte
2 - 2
FC Cincinnati

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