Ponferradina vs Lugo Prediction & Tips | Primera RFEF - Group 1 | FootballTips.app
Ponferradina
HomeFull Time
0 - 0
HT: 0 - 0
Friday 4 September
Lugo
Awayauto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified Medium Confidence
11.88
X2.91
24.21
Recommended Bet
cancel
Away Win
Odds: 3.90Stake: Low (4/10)
41
Opp. Value
Key Factors
Season: Home 1.80 PPG vs Away 1.10 PPG
Recent Form (weighted): Home 3.00 PPG vs Away 3.00 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 1.00 GPG vs Away 1.33 GPG
Defense (venue): Home 0.40 conc vs Away 1.50 conc
donut_small Win Probabilities
46%
29%
25%
Ponferradina
Draw
Lugo
payments
Value Comparison
| Outcome | Market Odds | True Odds (AI) | Fair Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 Goals | 2.40 | 2.10 | — | +14.4% |
| SD Ponferradina Win | 1.75 | 2.17 | 2.03 | -19.5% |
| Draw | 3.00 | 3.43 | 3.48 | -12.5% |
| CD Lugo Win | 3.90 | 4.03 | 4.53 | -3.2% |
| BTTS - Yes | 2.14 | 2.06 | — | +3.8% |
Fair Odds remove the bookmaker margin. Value is raw EV vs market odds; hover a badge for the edge vs fair odds.
Lineups
Lineup Predictions & Ratings
Ponferradina
Starting 11
7Carlos Calderón López
RW6.52
19Pablo Muñoz
LW6.70
21Sérigné Faye
CF7.22
5Eneko Undabarrena Ubillos
CM7.03
6Federico San Emeterio
CM6.93
8Arturo Molina Tornero
CAM6.56
3Sergio Nieto Álvarez
LB6.49
4Aymane Jelbat
CB7.00
22Emiliano Hernández Moreno
RB6.97
30Álex Domínguez
GK6.72
Substitutes
10Borja Valle Balonga
CF6.40
11Quicala Bari
RW6.74
17Ange Josue Chibozo
SS6.31
-Ntji Tounkara Diarrá
CM
-David Andújar Jiménez
CB
-José Luis Aranda Rojas
-Aleix Roig Martínez
LB
-Álvaro Abajas Martín
GK
Lugo
Starting 11
14Alejandro Gallar Falguera
LW6.41
17Oscar Castellano Zamora
LW6.37
6Kevin Presa Duarte
CM6.57
15Pablo Parrilla González
20Alberto Terence Ulloa Gálvez
CM6.37
36Guillermo Berzal Rueda
3Pere Haro Crespo
LB6.26
4Ibaider Garriz Mendaza
6.26
5Pol Moreno Sánchez
CB6.25
25Fernando Embadje
GK6.12
Substitutes
11Dauda Mohammed
LW6.50
33Mateo Muñoz Gavino
12Antonio Perera Calderón
CM
2Yago Rodriguez Ribao
23Hugo Pascual Pérez-Griffo
-Marc Martínez Aranda
GK
Ratings based on player performance in recent matches
history Recent Form
PonferradinaW
LugoW
group Head to Head
PL1 Feb 2026
0-2
PL16 Nov 2025
1-1
PL23 Mar 2025
0-1
PL14 Dec 2024
0-1
PL17 Mar 2024
0-0
35%
Over 2.5 Goals
35%
Both Team Score
Head-to-Head Detailed
Over 1.5 Goals
48%
11 / 23 matches
Over 2.5 Goals
35%
8 / 23 matches
Over 3.5 Goals
17%
4 / 23 matches
Both Teams to Score
35%
8 / 23 matches
Ponferradina CS
43%
Clean Sheets
Lugo CS
43%
Clean Sheets
Recent Matches
1 Feb 2026
CD Lugo
0 - 2
SD Ponferradina
16 Nov 2025
SD Ponferradina
1 - 1
CD Lugo
23 Mar 2025
SD Ponferradina
0 - 1
CD Lugo
14 Dec 2024
CD Lugo
0 - 1
SD Ponferradina
17 Mar 2024
SD Ponferradina
0 - 0
CD Lugo
17 Sept 2023
CD Lugo
0 - 0
SD Ponferradina
2 Apr 2023
CD Lugo
0 - 0
SD Ponferradina
11 Dec 2022
SD Ponferradina
1 - 0
CD Lugo
17 Apr 2022
SD Ponferradina
3 - 1
CD Lugo
6 Nov 2021
CD Lugo
1 - 2
SD Ponferradina
8 Jul 2020
SD Ponferradina
0 - 1
CD Lugo
18 Sept 2019
CD Lugo
2 - 2
SD Ponferradina
Current Form Comparison
Form (Overall)
1.80
Form (Overall)
1.10
Ponferradina is +64% better in terms of Points Per Game
UD Ourense
0 - 1
SD Ponferradina
Unionistas de Salamanca CF
1 - 3
CD Lugo
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