Portland Timbers vs Minnesota United Prediction & Tips | MLS | FootballTips.app
Portland Timbers
HomeFull Time
5 - 4
HT: 3 - 2
Sunday 6 September
Minnesota United
Awayauto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified Very High Confidence
12.21
X3.84
22.84
Recommended Bet
check_circle
Home Win
Odds: 2.30Stake: High (9/10)
90
Opp. Value
Key Factors
Season: Home 1.27 PPG vs Away 1.32 PPG
Recent Form (weighted): Home 2.10 PPG vs Away 1.35 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 2.18 GPG vs Away 1.73 GPG
Defense (venue): Home 1.64 conc vs Away 1.91 conc
donut_small Win Probabilities
52%
25%
23%
Portland Timbers
Draw
Minnesota United
payments
Value Comparison
| Outcome | Market Odds | True Odds (AI) | Fair Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 Goals | 1.49 | 1.74 | — | -14.2% |
| Portland Timbers Win | 2.30 | 1.92 | 2.46 | +20.0% |
| Draw | 3.50 | 4.06 | 3.75 | -13.8% |
| Minnesota United Win | 2.86 | 4.31 | 3.06 | -33.7% |
| BTTS - Yes | 1.44 | 1.76 | — | -18.0% |
Fair Odds remove the bookmaker margin. Value is raw EV vs market odds; hover a badge for the edge vs fair odds.
Match Preview
Antony Alves looked to have earned Portland Timbers a point when he scored an 89th-minute penalty last weekend, only for Austin FC to net a winner three minutes into stoppage time. The hosts can at least fall back on their strong recent home form, having won three of their last four at Providence Park.
Minnesota United were also denied points in stoppage time in gameweek 23 as Tyrese Spicer pegged Cameron Knowles' men back in a 3-3 draw with Orlando City. That result made it one win in 11 MLS outings for the away side.
Lineups
Lineup Predictions & Ratings
Portland Timbers
Starting 11
-James Pantemis
GK6.90
-Jimer Fory
DL6.70
-Kamal Miller
DC6.66
-Finn Surman
DC6.91
-Eric Miller
DR6.31
-José Caicedo
DMC6.63
-Cole Bassett
DMC6.74
-Kristoffer Velde
AML7.18
-David da Costa
AMC6.81
-Antony
AMR6.48
-Gage Guerra
FW6.32
Minnesota United
Starting 11
-Alec Smir
GK6.50
-Morris Duggan
DC6.80
-Michael Boxall
DC6.42
-Jefferson Díaz
DC6.78
-Anthony Markanich
DML7.04
-Wil Trapp
MC6.33
-Owen Gene
MC6.52
-Kyle Duncan
DMR6.67
-Kelvin Yeboah
FWL6.87
-Marcus Caldeira
FW6.77
-Joaquín Pereyra
FWR7.24
Ratings based on player performance in recent matches
compareTeam Comparison
Based on 22 matchesPortland TimbersvsMinnesota United
1.77Goals / Match1.36
1.77Conceded / Match1.45
1Clean Sheets5
4.59Shots on Target / Match5.00
50.3%Possession %46.2%
86.9%Pass Accuracy %82.1%
radarTeam Profile
Portland Timbers
Minnesota United
sports_soccer
61Attack53
shield
39Defense48
swap_horiz
58Possession47
gps_fixed
76Efficiency61
auto_fix_high
68Creativity68
gavel
51Discipline51
sports_soccerGoals & Scoring
39Goals Scored30
39Goals Conceded32
1Clean Sheets5
69Big Chances69
42Big Chances Missed49
1Penalty Goals1
gps_fixedShooting
285Total Shots298
101Shots on Target110
swap_horizPassing & Possession
50.3%Avg Possession46.2%
10,900Total Passes9,485
86.9%Pass Accuracy82.1%
shieldDefending
319Tackles339
226Interceptions207
96Saves72
53.3%Duels Won48.7%
gavelDiscipline
220Fouls269
38Yellow Cards43
3Red Cards0
49Offsides40
analyticsOther
101Corners125
125Successful Dribbles137
7Errors Leading to Goal2
6.87Avg Rating6.83
Statistical Comparison
Portland TimbersMetricMinnesota United
38
Goals
30
29
Assists
24
6.5
Average Ratings
6.5
25.8
Average Age
27.3
182.1
Average Height (cm)
184.3
0.8
Shots pg
0.9
60%
Aerial Duel Success
53%
0.5
Dribbles pg
0.4
1
Tackles pg
1.2
history Recent Form
Portland TimbersL
W
W
W
W
Minnesota UnitedW
D
D
L
L
group Head to Head
PL19 Apr 2026
2-0
PL31 Aug 2025
1-1
PL20 Jul 2025
1-1
PL30 Jun 2024
3-2
PL19 May 2024
2-1
60%
Over 2.5 Goals
70%
Both Team Score
Head-to-Head Detailed
Over 1.5 Goals
75%
15 / 20 matches
Over 2.5 Goals
60%
12 / 20 matches
Over 3.5 Goals
45%
9 / 20 matches
Both Teams to Score
70%
14 / 20 matches
Portland Timbers CS
10%
Clean Sheets
Minnesota United CS
25%
Clean Sheets
Recent Matches
19 Apr 2026
Minnesota United
2 - 0
Portland Timbers
31 Aug 2025
Minnesota United
1 - 1
Portland Timbers
20 Jul 2025
Portland Timbers
1 - 1
Minnesota United
30 Jun 2024
Portland Timbers
3 - 2
Minnesota United
19 May 2024
Minnesota United
2 - 1
Portland Timbers
2 Jul 2023
Minnesota United
4 - 1
Portland Timbers
21 May 2023
Portland Timbers
0 - 1
Minnesota United
11 Sept 2022
Portland Timbers
1 - 0
Minnesota United
30 Jul 2022
Minnesota United
4 - 4
Portland Timbers
21 Nov 2021
Portland Timbers
3 - 1
Minnesota United
25 Jul 2021
Minnesota United
2 - 1
Portland Timbers
27 Jun 2021
Portland Timbers
0 - 1
Minnesota United
Current Form Comparison
Form (Overall)
1.82
Form (Overall)
1.55
Portland Timbers is +17% better in terms of Points Per Game
Portland Timbers
1 - 2
Austin
Portland Timbers
3 - 1
San Diego
Portland Timbers
3 - 1
Tijuana
Portland Timbers
5 - 2
Puebla
Portland Timbers
2 - 1
Seattle Sounders
SJ Earthquakes
1 - 5
Minnesota United
Real Salt Lake
1 - 1
Minnesota United
Tigres UANL
0 - 0
Minnesota United
Sporting KC
2 - 1
Minnesota United
New England Revolution
2 - 1
Minnesota United
Weekly Newsletter
Subscribe for Betting Tips
Get exclusive predictions delivered to your inbox.
Join our community of smart bettors. Get exclusive predictions, value picks, and statistical analysis delivered straight to your inbox.
Free Weekly Tips
Value Opportunities