Portland Timbers vs St. Louis City Prediction & Tips | MLS | FootballTips.app
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AI Prediction
verified High Confidence
12.29
X3.85
22.72
Recommended Bet
No tip
No qualifying edge — see Value Comparison below
Key Factors
Season: Home 1.35 PPG vs Away 1.61 PPG
Recent Form (weighted): Home 2.25 PPG vs Away 2.30 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 2.42 GPG vs Away 1.25 GPG
Defense (venue): Home 1.83 conc vs Away 1.42 conc
donut_small Win Probabilities
46%
28%
25%
Portland Timbers
Draw
St. Louis City
payments
Value Comparison
| Outcome | Market Odds | True Odds (AI) | Fair Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 Goals | 1.47 | 1.60 | 1.58 | -7.9% |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 2.55 | 2.68 | 2.73 | -4.7% |
| Portland Timbers Win | 2.29 | 2.16 | 2.40 | +5.9% |
| Draw | 3.70 | 3.53 | 3.87 | +4.8% |
| St. Louis City Win | 2.95 | 3.93 | 3.09 | -25.0% |
| BTTS - Yes | 1.44 | 1.67 | 1.55 | -13.6% |
| BTTS - No | 2.63 | 2.50 | 2.83 | +5.2% |
Fair Odds remove the bookmaker margin. Value is raw EV vs market odds; hover a badge for the edge vs fair odds.
Match Preview
Portland played their part in a nine-goal thriller against Minnesota United as Vincent Janssen's hat-trick contributed to a dramatic 5-4 win at Providence Park. Marti Cifuentes' side have won four of their last five at home but face a tough test in midweek.
St. Louis City responded well after going behind inside the first two minutes to Western Conference leaders Vancouver Whitecaps on Sunday, scoring three times before the break to set up a 3-1 away win. The visitors are now unbeaten in 13 MLS matches.
Lineups
Lineup Predictions & Ratings
Portland Timbers
Starting 11
-James Pantemis
GK6.86
-Jimer Fory
DL6.69
-Kamal Miller
DC6.60
-Finn Surman
DC6.84
-Eric Miller
DR6.28
-Diego Chará
DMC6.47
-Cole Bassett
DMC6.76
-Kristoffer Velde
AML7.23
-David da Costa
AMC6.84
-Antony
AMR6.51
-Vincent Janssen
FW6.65
St. Louis City
Starting 11
-Roman Bürki
GK6.50
-Dante Polvara
DC6.80
-Timo Baumgartl
DC6.67
-Fallou Fall
DC6.78
-Tomas Totland
ML6.80
-Daniel Edelman
MC6.80
-Lukas MacNaughton
MC6.70
-Conrad Wallem
MR6.58
-Alexandru Matan
AMC6.63
-Jeong Sang-Bin
FW6.48
-Damion Downs
FW6.00
Ratings based on player performance in recent matches
compareTeam Comparison
Based on 23 / 26 matchesPortland TimbersvsSt. Louis City
1.91Goals / Match1.58
1.87Conceded / Match1.42
1Clean Sheets8
4.61Shots on Target / Match4.85
50.3%Possession %53.9%
86.8%Pass Accuracy %85.5%
radarTeam Profile
Portland Timbers
St. Louis City
sports_soccer
65Attack50
shield
38Defense51
swap_horiz
58Possession63
gps_fixed
81Efficiency71
auto_fix_high
71Creativity60
gavel
52Discipline41
sports_soccerGoals & Scoring
44Goals Scored41
43Goals Conceded37
1Clean Sheets8
75Big Chances64
44Big Chances Missed40
2Penalty Goals1
gps_fixedShooting
296Total Shots339
106Shots on Target126
swap_horizPassing & Possession
50.3%Avg Possession53.9%
11,443Total Passes12,330
86.8%Pass Accuracy85.5%
shieldDefending
341Tackles382
236Interceptions233
100Saves79
53.5%Duels Won49.9%
gavelDiscipline
232Fouls344
39Yellow Cards40
3Red Cards4
51Offsides48
analyticsOther
105Corners164
130Successful Dribbles186
8Errors Leading to Goal9
6.87Avg Rating6.86
Statistical Comparison
Portland TimbersMetricSt. Louis City
42
Goals
35
32
Assists
24
6.6
Average Ratings
6.5
28.3
Average Age
26.5
181.5
Average Height (cm)
183.7
0.8
Shots pg
0.9
60%
Aerial Duel Success
54%
0.5
Dribbles pg
0.3
1.1
Tackles pg
1.1
history Recent Form
Portland TimbersW
L
W
W
W
St. Louis CityW
D
W
W
D
group Head to Head
PL14 Jul 2025
2-1
PL9 Jun 2025
2-1
PL25 Aug 2024
4-4
PL10 Aug 2024
3-1
PL9 Jun 2024
0-0
86%
Over 2.5 Goals
86%
Both Team Score
Head-to-Head Detailed
Over 1.5 Goals
86%
6 / 7 matches
Over 2.5 Goals
86%
6 / 7 matches
Over 3.5 Goals
29%
2 / 7 matches
Both Teams to Score
86%
6 / 7 matches
Portland Timbers CS
14%
Clean Sheets
St. Louis City CS
14%
Clean Sheets
Recent Matches
14 Jul 2025
St. Louis City
2 - 1
Portland Timbers
9 Jun 2025
Portland Timbers
2 - 1
St. Louis City
25 Aug 2024
Portland Timbers
4 - 4
St. Louis City
10 Aug 2024
St. Louis City
3 - 1
Portland Timbers
9 Jun 2024
St. Louis City
0 - 0
Portland Timbers
30 Apr 2023
St. Louis City
1 - 2
Portland Timbers
12 Mar 2023
Portland Timbers
1 - 2
St. Louis City
Current Form Comparison
Form (Overall)
1.92
Form (Overall)
1.33
Portland Timbers is +44% better in terms of Points Per Game
Portland Timbers
5 - 4
Minnesota United
Portland Timbers
1 - 2
Austin
Portland Timbers
3 - 1
San Diego
Portland Timbers
3 - 1
Tijuana
Portland Timbers
5 - 2
Puebla
Vancouver Whitecaps
1 - 3
St. Louis City
Sporting KC
1 - 1
St. Louis City
SJ Earthquakes
1 - 3
St. Louis City
LA Galaxy
1 - 3
St. Louis City
DC United
1 - 1
St. Louis City
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