Portsmouth vs Derby Prediction & Tips | Championship | FootballTips.app

Portsmouth
HomeFull Time
0 - 1
HT: 0 - 1
Monday 16 March

Derby
AwayPortsmouthTimelineDerby
1st Half
Szmodics S. ()
sports_soccer
8'
Chaplin C.
40'
Szmodics S.
41'
2nd Half
Clarke M.
53'
Fraulo O.Out: Brewster R.
sync_alt
61'
Shaughnessy C.Out: Swanson Z.
sync_alt
63'
Swift J.Out: Chaplin C.
sync_alt
63'
Swift J.
67'
Ozoh D.Out: Szmodics S.
sync_alt
72'
Morris C.Out: Agyemang P.
sync_alt
72'
Segecic A.Out: Alli M.
sync_alt
77'
Bishop C.Out: Adams E.
sync_alt
77'
Brereton Diaz B.
78'
Banel J.Out: Brereton Diaz B.
sync_alt
83'
Forsyth C.Out: Murkin D.
sync_alt
83'
Kirk M.Out: Brown J.
sync_alt
83'
Clark B.
86'
Ward J.
88'
Fraulo O.
90+2'
Top stats
1.72Expected goals (xG)1.00
68%Ball possession32%
27Total shots10
9Shots on target4
1Big chances1
11Corner kicks3
80% (396/493)Passes60% (145/243)
2Yellow cards6
Shots
1.72Expected goals (xG)1.00
0.83xG on target (xGOT)1.09
27Total shots10
9Shots on target4
6Shots off target4
12Blocked shots2
18Shots inside the box8
9Shots outside the box2
0Hit the woodwork2
Attack
1Big chances1
11Corner kicks3
38Touches in opposition box12
0Accurate through passes0
1Offsides2
13Free kicks14
Passes
80% (396/493)Passes60% (145/243)
36% (25/70)Long passes24% (16/68)
65% (116/178)Passes in final third33% (24/73)
22% (9/41)Crosses25% (2/8)
1.02Expected assists (xA)0.39
18Throw ins17
Defense
14Fouls13
75% (15/20)Tackles31% (4/13)
55Duels won58
23Clearances55
13Interceptions8
0Errors leading to shot0
0Errors leading to goal0
Goalkeeping
3Goalkeeper saves9
1.09xGOT faced0.83
0.09Goals prevented0.83
auto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified Very High Confidence
12.23
X3.15
23.58
Recommended Bet
check_circle
Away Win
Stake: High (9/10)
88
Opp. Value
Key Factors
League Rank: Home #21 vs Away #8
Season: Home 1.11 PPG vs Away 1.46 PPG
Recent Form (weighted): Home 0.55 PPG vs Away 1.35 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 1.06 GPG vs Away 1.56 GPG
donut_small Win Probabilities
23%
Portsmouth Win
21%
Draw
55%
Derby Win
Portsmouth
Draw
Derby
compareTeam Comparison
Based on 36 / 37 matchesPortsmouthvsDerby
1.00Goals / Match1.46
1.31Conceded / Match1.30
7Clean Sheets8
3.72Shots on Target / Match3.38
51.6%Possession %43.6%
75.2%Pass Accuracy %74.6%
radarTeam Profile
Portsmouth
Derby
sports_soccer
26Attack37
shield
38Defense46
swap_horiz
36Possession27
gps_fixed
43Efficiency74
auto_fix_high
16Creativity32
gavel
62Discipline40
sports_soccerGoals & Scoring
36Goals Scored54
47Goals Conceded48
7Clean Sheets8
56Big Chances79
42Big Chances Missed46
1Penalty Goals4
gps_fixedShooting
450Total Shots386
134Shots on Target125
swap_horizPassing & Possession
51.6%Avg Possession43.6%
13,972Total Passes12,340
75.2%Pass Accuracy74.6%
shieldDefending
472Tackles544
291Interceptions328
91Saves107
50.3%Duels Won48.8%
gavelDiscipline
348Fouls444
62Yellow Cards85
1Red Cards3
59Offsides54
analyticsOther
212Corners169
188Successful Dribbles199
5Errors Leading to Goal4
6.75Avg Rating6.76
history Recent Form
L
D
L
L
W
L
W
W
L
L
group Head to Head
PL20 Dec 2025
1-1
PL12 Apr 2025
2-2
PL13 Dec 2024
4-0
PL2 Apr 2024
2-2
PL16 Sept 2023
1-1
57%
Over 2.5 Goals
79%
Both Team Score
Head-to-Head Detailed
Over 1.5 Goals
93%
13 / 14 matches
Over 2.5 Goals
57%
8 / 14 matches
Over 3.5 Goals
43%
6 / 14 matches
Both Teams to Score
79%
11 / 14 matches
Portsmouth CS
7%
Clean Sheets
Derby CS
21%
Clean Sheets
Recent Matches
20 Dec 2025
Derby County
1 - 1
Portsmouth
12 Apr 2025
Portsmouth
2 - 2
Derby County
13 Dec 2024
Derby County
4 - 0
Portsmouth
2 Apr 2024
Portsmouth
2 - 2
Derby County
16 Sept 2023
Derby County
1 - 1
Portsmouth
29 Apr 2023
Derby County
1 - 1
Portsmouth
18 Nov 2022
Portsmouth
0 - 0
Derby County
12 Aug 2015
Portsmouth
2 - 1
Derby County
21 Apr 2012
Portsmouth
1 - 2
Derby County
29 Oct 2011
Derby County
3 - 1
Portsmouth
5 Feb 2011
Portsmouth
1 - 1
Derby County
6 Nov 2010
Derby County
2 - 0
Portsmouth
Current Form Comparison
Form (Overall)
1.11
Form (Overall)
1.46
Derby is +32% better in terms of Points Per Game
Portsmouth
1 - 2
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Wrexham
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Millwall
1 - 3
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Millwall
1 - 0
Derby County
Derby County
2 - 1
Sheffield Wednesday
Derby County
3 - 1
Blackburn Rovers
Hull City
4 - 2
Derby County
Watford
2 - 0
Derby County
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