Portugal vs Norway Prediction & Tips | UEFA Nations League - League A | FootballTips.app

Portugal

Portugal

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20h
18:45
UEFA Nations League - League A
Norway

Norway

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Who wins?

auto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified Very High Model Confidence
11.62
X4.36
24.60

Recommended Bet

No tip
No qualifying edge — see Value Comparison below

Key Factors

Season: Home 2.30 PPG vs Away 1.60 PPG
Recent Form (weighted): Home 2.55 PPG vs Away 0.90 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 1.86 GPG vs Away 2.00 GPG
Defense (venue): Home 0.71 conc vs Away 1.20 conc

donut_small Win Probabilities

56%
23%
21%
Portugal
Draw
Norway
payments

Value Comparison

OutcomeMarket OddsTrue Odds (AI)Value
Over 2.5 Goals1.481.80-17.6%
Under 2.5 Goals2.612.26+15.7%
Portugal Win1.711.78-3.8%
Draw4.404.34+1.3%
Norway Win4.144.82-14.1%
BTTS - Yes1.511.72-12.3%
BTTS - No2.452.39+2.7%

Fair Odds remove the bookmaker margin. Value is raw EV vs market odds; hover a badge for the edge vs fair odds.

Match Preview

Second-half goals from Vitinha and Joao Felix helped Portugal claim all three points at Parken on Thursday night as Jorge Jesus' side beat Denmark 4-2. Sunday's hosts have a 100% record in League A, Group 4, heading into the second round of fixtures.

Norway travel to the Estádio do Dragão looking to avenge a 2-1 defeat to Portugal in gameweek two of the Nations League. Stale Solbakken's men were beaten 2-1 on the road by Wales on Thursday, making it back-to-back defeats for the visitors.

Lineups

Lineup Predictions & Ratings

Portugal

Starting 11
-Diogo Costa
GK6.57
-Nuno Mendes
DL7.31
-Renato Veiga
DC6.89
-Rúben Dias
DC6.92
-João Cancelo
DR6.93
-Vitinha
DMC6.77
-Rúben Neves
DMC6.74
-Rafael Leão
AML6.56
-Bruno Fernandes
AMC7.89
-João Félix
AMR7.64
-Gonçalo Ramos
FW7.40

Norway

Starting 11
-Ørjan Nyland
GK6.01
-David Møller Wolfe
DL5.70
-Leo Østigård
DC6.42
-Kristoffer Ajer
DC6.74
-Marcus Pedersen
DR6.48
-Patrick Berg
MC6.54
-Sander Berge
MC6.76
-Martin Ødegaard
MC7.19
-Andreas Schjelderup
FWL6.79
-Erling Haaland
FW7.60
-Oscar Bobb
FWR6.99
Ratings based on player performance in recent matches

Statistical Comparison

PortugalMetricNorway
7
Goals
5
6
Assists
5
6.7
Average Ratings
6.5
27.3
Average Age
26.7
183.4
Average Height (cm)
185.3
1.5
Shots pg
1.4
47%
Aerial Duel Success
60%
2
Dribbles pg
0.7
1.1
Tackles pg
1.1

history Recent Form

PortugalPortugal
2.3 GPG
W
W
W
L
W
NorwayNorway
1.6 GPG
L
L
W
L
W

group Head to Head

PL27 Sept 2026
Norway
1-2
Portugal
PL29 May 2016
Portugal
3-0
Norway
100%
Over 2.5 Goals
50%
Both Team Score

Head-to-Head Detailed

Over 1.5 Goals
100%
2 / 2 matches
Over 2.5 Goals
100%
2 / 2 matches
Over 3.5 Goals
0%
0 / 2 matches
Both Teams to Score
50%
1 / 2 matches
Portugal CS
50%
Clean Sheets
Norway CS
0%
Clean Sheets

Recent Matches

27 Sept 2026
Norway
1 - 2
Portugal
29 May 2016
Portugal
3 - 0
Norway

Current Form Comparison

Form (Overall)
Portugal
2.30
Form (Overall)
Norway
1.60

Portugal is +44% better in terms of Points Per Game

Denmark
2 - 4
Portugal
Norway
1 - 2
Portugal
Portugal
1 - 0
Wales
Portugal
0 - 1
Spain
Portugal
2 - 1
Croatia
Wales
2 - 1
Norway
Norway
1 - 2
Portugal
Norway
3 - 2
Denmark
Norway
1 - 2
England
Brazil
1 - 2
Norway

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