Portugal vs Spain Prediction & Tips | World Championship - Play Offs | FootballTips.app

Portugal

Portugal

Home
Full Time
0 - 1
HT: 0 - 0
Monday 6 July
Spain

Spain

Away
PortugalTimelineSpain
2nd Half
Semedo N.Out: Mendes N.
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56'
Leao R.Out: Joao Felix
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71'
Dalot D.Out: Cancelo J.
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71'
Torres F.Out: Baena A.
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75'
Conceicao F.Out: Neto P.
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83'
Silva B.Out: Vitinha
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83'
Ruiz F.Out: Pedri
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85'
Merino M.Out: Olmo D.
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85'
Silva B.
89'
Merino M.Assist: Torres F.
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90+1'
Veiga R.
90+4'
Iglesias B.Out: Oyarzabal M.
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90+7'
Torres F.
90+8'

Top stats

0.60Expected goals (xG)1.77
44%Ball possession56%
10Total shots15
2Shots on target6
1Big chances3
3Corner kicks7
84% (357/426)Passes88% (467/531)
2Yellow cards1

Shots

0.60Expected goals (xG)1.77
0.87xG on target (xGOT)1.47
10Total shots15
2Shots on target6
5Shots off target6
3Blocked shots3
7Shots inside the box8
3Shots outside the box7
1Hit the woodwork0

Attack

1Big chances3
3Corner kicks7
11Touches in opposition box28
0Accurate through passes3
2Offsides1
13Free kicks9

Passes

84% (357/426)Passes88% (467/531)
45% (24/53)Long passes47% (17/36)
70% (80/114)Passes in final third79% (121/153)
31% (4/13)Crosses6% (1/16)
0.56Expected assists (xA)1.04
20Throw ins17

Defense

9Fouls13
64% (9/14)Tackles79% (15/19)
44Duels won35
23Clearances14
7Interceptions5
4Errors leading to shot1
0Errors leading to goal0

Goalkeeping

5Goalkeeper saves2
1.47xGOT faced0.87
0.47Goals prevented0.87
6Goal kicks6
auto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified Very High Confidence
14.18
X3.73
21.92

Recommended Bet

Away Win
Stake: Medium (7/10)
69
Opp. Value

Key Factors

Season: Home 2.10 PPG vs Away 2.20 PPG
Recent Form (weighted): Home 2.20 PPG vs Away 2.70 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 3.50 GPG vs Away 2.67 GPG
Defense (venue): Home 0.83 conc vs Away 0.33 conc

donut_small Win Probabilities

27%
23%
50%
Portugal
Draw
Spain

Match Preview

Portugal have only won two of their four games at the World Cup so far, drawing against DR Congo and Colombia. They secured a 2-1 victory over Croatia last time out, but it took a 94th-minute winner from Goncalo Ramos.

Spain are yet to concede at the World Cup, winning their last three games by scoring eight goals. This is undoubtedly their toughest test of the tournament, but they've proven to be a force to be reckoned with so far.

These two sides have met plenty of times over the years. Their last meeting was in 2025 in the UEFA Nations League. Portugal won on penalties that day, which was their first victory over Spain since 2010.

Lineups

Lineup Predictions & Ratings

Portugal

Starting 11
-Diogo Costa
GK7.21
-Nuno Mendes
DL7.38
-Renato Veiga
DC7.07
-Rúben Dias
DC7.48
-João Cancelo
DR6.90
-Vitinha
DMC6.78
-João Neves
DMC6.92
-Rafael Leão
AML6.80
-Bruno Fernandes
AMC7.20
-Pedro Neto
AMR6.46
-Cristiano Ronaldo
FW7.06

Spain

Starting 11
-Unai Simón
GK6.96
-Marc Cucurella
DL7.20
-Aymeric Laporte
DC7.59
-Pau Cubarsí
DC7.31
-Pedro Porro
DR8.44
-Pedri
DMC7.40
-Rodri
DMC7.47
-Álex Baena
AML7.31
-Dani Olmo
AMC6.70
-Lamine Yamal
AMR7.31
-Mikel Oyarzabal
FW7.66
Ratings based on player performance in recent matches

Statistical Comparison

PortugalMetricSpain
7
Goals
7
4
Assists
7
6.7
Average Ratings
7
27.7
Average Age
25.9
182.4
Average Height (cm)
180.8
1.2
Shots pg
1.5
60%
Aerial Duel Success
73%
0.9
Dribbles pg
1.1
1.2
Tackles pg
1.3

history Recent Form

PortugalPortugal
2.1 GPG
W
D
W
D
W
SpainSpain
2.2 GPG
W
W
W
D
W

group Head to Head

PL8 Jun 2025
Portugal
2-2
Spain
PL27 Sept 2022
Portugal
0-1
Spain
PL2 Jun 2022
Spain
1-1
Portugal
PL4 Jun 2021
Spain
0-0
Portugal
PL7 Oct 2020
Portugal
0-0
Spain
29%
Over 2.5 Goals
43%
Both Team Score

Head-to-Head Detailed

Over 1.5 Goals
43%
3 / 7 matches
Over 2.5 Goals
29%
2 / 7 matches
Over 3.5 Goals
29%
2 / 7 matches
Both Teams to Score
43%
3 / 7 matches
Portugal CS
29%
Clean Sheets
Spain CS
57%
Clean Sheets

Recent Matches

8 Jun 2025
Portugal
2 - 2
Spain
27 Sept 2022
Portugal
0 - 1
Spain
2 Jun 2022
Spain
1 - 1
Portugal
4 Jun 2021
Spain
0 - 0
Portugal
7 Oct 2020
Portugal
0 - 0
Spain
15 Jun 2018
Portugal
3 - 3
Spain
29 Jun 2010
Spain
1 - 0
Portugal

Current Form Comparison

Form (Overall)
Portugal
2.10
Form (Overall)
Spain
2.20

Spain is +5% better in terms of Points Per Game

Portugal
2 - 1
Croatia
Colombia
0 - 0
Portugal
Portugal
5 - 0
Uzbekistan
Portugal
1 - 1
Congo DR
Portugal
2 - 1
Nigeria
Spain
3 - 0
Austria
Uruguay
0 - 1
Spain
Spain
4 - 0
Saudi Arabia
Spain
0 - 0
Cape Verde Islands
Peru
1 - 3
Spain

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